The Senate-passed budget reconciliation bill would boost the number of uninsured Americans by at least 22 million starting in 2018, relative to current law. Thus, virtually all (at least 92 percent) of the historic health coverage gains that CBO expects health reform to achieve by 2018 would be lost.
According to reports, one of the first acts of the Republican Congress will be to fire Doug Elmendorf, current director of the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, because he won't use "dynamic scoring" for his economic projections. Dynamic scoring is the magical-mystery math Republicans have been pushing since they came up with supply-side "trickle-down" economics. It's based on the belief that cutting taxes unleashes economic growth and thereby produces additional government revenue. Supposedly the added revenue more than makes up for what's lost when Congress hands out the tax cuts. Dynamic scoring would make it easier to enact tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations, because the tax cuts wouldn't look as if they increased the budget deficit.
You're going to hear a lot about Obamacare this fall, especially from Republicans. They'll try to convince you that it was a bad deal. They'll throw numbers at you to make you think that the cost of health insurance is spiraling out of control. In all likelihood those numbers will be incorrect, but how will you know?
Health reform will cut the rate of uninsurance nearly in half. CBO estimates that health reform will reduce the share of the non-elderly population without insurance from 20 percent in the law's absence to about 16 percent in 2014 and about 11 percent in 2016 and beyond. That's 26 million more people with health coverage.