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Climate Predictions

New Studies Back IPCC -- and Then Some

Astrid Caldas | Posted 02.05.2013 | Green
Astrid Caldas

It seems to me that we are at a crucial time, where awareness of climate change is increasing and studies are coming out to support the IPCC, to reduce uncertainty, and to show that the forecasts of future climate are actually panning out.

Statistics, Models, Weather, and Climate

Astrid Caldas | Posted 10.07.2012 | Green
Astrid Caldas

One of the most complex (and, for some, controversial) aspects of climate change studies is that many are based on models. Models are mathematical tools that basically spit out results that are based on the assumptions and data that you feed them.

Underestimation Is Never a Good Thing When It Comes to Risks

Astrid Caldas | Posted 12.20.2011 | Green
Astrid Caldas

When it comes to predictions and forecasts related to climate change itself and its various consequences, there is a striking bias for scientists to keep them on the "safe" side -- that is, estimates where they have highest confidence and are safe from being wrong.