Does the rise of Trump herald an era of home-grown fascism? Human intelligence and vast quantities of metadata seem ill-equipped to help forecast geopolitical events at this scale. Despite decades of sophisticated political science and game theorizing, the truth is that we are very bad at anticipating great historic turns. Why?
The struggle with jihadism is in fact a world war with multiple front lines scattered across the world's major cities. That conclusion is inescapable. It is not the Third World War, because it has little in common with the first two. It is therefore possible to say that this is the first "World War" fought by asymmetric forces simultaneously across the globe.
Henry Wallace, who died 50 years ago this week (November, 18 1965), was one of the most fascinating and controversial political figures in American history. One of the great "what if?" questions of the 20th century is how America might have been different if Wallace, rather than Harry Truman, had succeeded Franklin Roosevelt in the White House.
Virtually all of the world's information moves deep under the sea. Well over 95 percent of everything moving on the global Internet passes through 200 or so highly active cables, some as deep under water as Mount Everest is tall. Recent reports indicate renewed interest by Russian submarine forces in surveillance of our undersea fiber optic cables. The movement of information is the lifeblood of the global economic system: it needs to be more secure from accident and attack.