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Country Risk Solutions

The Rule of Law Is China's Challenge in the South China Sea

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.27.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

The PRC has become masterful at playing the international system against itself, whether on issues related to maritime law or development finance, as has been skillfully demonstrated with the creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.

The Impact of Energy on China/Myanmar Relations

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.14.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

The acquisition of energy has become a dominant influence in China's foreign policy orientation generally, and has been a driving force in its relationship with Myanmar in recent years.

Will Any Presidential Candidate Commit to Fixing Our Nation's Infrastructure?

Dante Disparte | Posted 04.09.2015 | Politics
Dante Disparte

This week's power failure in parts of Washington, D.C. are a reminder, as if one were needed, about the deplorable state of infrastructure more generally in the United States.

Libya's Descent to a Failed State

Giorgio Cafiero | Posted 04.07.2015 | World
Giorgio Cafiero

The failure of last year's election to achieve political unity in Libya was most evident when Fajr Libya, or "Libya Dawn" -- a diverse coalition of armed groups that includes an array of Islamist militias -- rejected the election's outcome and seized control of Tripoli.

The Case Against Political Dynasties in American Politics

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.07.2015 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

What does history teach us about the wisdom of going the 'easy' route and voting for candidates from political dynasties? Does being part of such a dynasty impart one with greater political wisdom or a higher level of achievement?

Entrepreneurialism and National Security

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.25.2015 | Business
Daniel Wagner

Entrepreneurs play an important role in national economic health and economic competitiveness. What is less recognized, and becoming increasingly important, is the role entrepreneurs also play in national security.

What the Islamic State Is Teaching the West About Social Media

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.23.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Daesh used brutality and fear as a form of seduction, appealing to a sense of individualism while glamorizing death and martyrdom.

Lee Kuan Yew's Legacy

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.19.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Say what you will about the type of democracy LKY created, and nurtured, after stepping down as Prime Minister in 1990, the net result is an economic miracle unrivaled in Southeast Asia that has punched way above its weight for decades.

India's Political Influence in Asia

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.17.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

As India continues to gain its footing on the global stage, it continues to revise the manner in which it approaches bilateral, regional and international relations.

Implications of Boko Haram's Allegiance to the Islamic State

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.09.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

By pledging allegiance to Daoesh, Boko Haram will surely gain more credibility and attract more recruits, making it even more difficult for the region's governments to successfully combat it.

The Philippines Has Come Such a Long Way

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.05.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

President Aquino has demonstrated that it is possible to be part of political dynasty yet be focused on the common good, and achieve enough in a single term of office to transform the country from the sick man of Asia to one of its leading economies.

As U.S. Home Ownership Hits a 20-Year Low, Can the Recovery Be for Real?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.28.2015 | Business
Daniel Wagner

Just released data from the U.S. Census Bureau paint a different picture, questioning a fundamental measure of economic health - home ownership levels -- which begs the question, is it all a mirage?

Rising Government Debt and the Next Global Recession

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.11.2015 | Business
Daniel Wagner

The recently released report from the McKinsey Global Institute on global debt is an important, and sobering, look at how little the world appears to have learned from the Global Recession, and just how dangerous levels of sovereign and consumer debt have become in the interim.

Mr. Putin Will Not Change Course in Ukraine or Syria

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.07.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Given the fractured and evolving global political landscape, both sides, and neither side, will achieve all of its objectives. Swimming against the tide has its own appeal at a time when virtually everything about the world order seems to be up for grabs.

The Limits of Japan's Soft Power

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.04.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Japan is determined to be a force for peace and stability in the war-torn Middle East, yet until and unless its constitution is changed to permit the country to project its power in a meaningful manner militarily, its ability to influence events in other regions of the world will remain limited.

Can Peace in Mindanao Ever be Achieved?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.30.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

President Aquino has been determined to end four decades of insurgency before stepping down in 2016, but there is now considerable doubt about whether he, or any successor, can be successful in achieving peace, given the ability of any variety of non-state actors to derail the process.

Africa's Rising Political Violence

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.18.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

It would be nice to be able to say that the threat of Islamic fundamentalism has peaked in Africa, and that the worst is over, but given the current state of affairs that simply is not the case. In all likelihood, the threat will grow -- considerably -- in the years to come.

North Korea, Sony, and Ignorance

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.27.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Given that the vast majority of Americans cannot identify North Korea on a map, or the name of its leader, the very idea that a major film studio would sanction the production of a movie whose plot is based on the assassination of Kim Jong-un is just plain silly.

Why Brazil Is Its Own Worst Enemy

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.22.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

By all rights, given its size, location, and natural resource base, Brazil should be an economic juggernaut. But the truth is that Brazil should never have been designated a BRIC because it is a poorly managed economy that has rarely lived up to its potential.

The U.S., Cuba, and Strategic Foreign Policy

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.17.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

If you ask me, Obama's action on Cuba was a master stroke, and full of foresight. He has undercut Putin's ability to use Cuba as a pressure point against the U.S. going forward and has, in a single action, transformed a net negative for the U.S. and Cuba into a net positive for its government, people, and businesses.

Short Memories, Broken Politics, and the Coming Recession

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.14.2015 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

If the Great Recession wasn't enough to change the hearts and minds of the bankers, legislators, lobbyists and voters, I really don't know what would be. We bear collective responsibility for perpetuating a terribly broken system.

China's Challenge in the South China Sea

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.08.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

The Philippines' attempt to haul China to an international tribunal is a problem because it is invoking the very compulsory jurisdiction which China has disavowed since 2006.

Russia's Expanding Global Influence

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.31.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Russia's new agreement to sell Nigeria arms to combat Boko Haram (BH) is evidence of its desire to expand its global geopolitical influence as well as enhance its reputation for being willing to step in where the West will not.

Time Is Running Out for Iran

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.25.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Just as has been the case every time nuclear negotiations between Iran and the West break down without agreement on fundamental issues, Supreme Iranian leader Khameini resumes lambasting the U.S. and Israel, and conservatives in the Iranian government rejoice.

Why the China/Russia Rapprochement Won't Last

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.10.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Being a big believer in the lessons taught by history, I'm inclined to think that the current 'love fest' between China and Russia will probably have a limited shelf life.