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Daniel Wagner

Can Peace in Mindanao Ever be Achieved?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.30.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

President Aquino has been determined to end four decades of insurgency before stepping down in 2016, but there is now considerable doubt about whether he, or any successor, can be successful in achieving peace, given the ability of any variety of non-state actors to derail the process.

The Global Economy and the U.S. Real Estate Market

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.24.2015 | Business
Daniel Wagner

Since America is not immune to the impact of global economic and political trends, it may not be the case that the current rosy growth projections will ultimately be realized.

Africa's Rising Political Violence

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.18.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

It would be nice to be able to say that the threat of Islamic fundamentalism has peaked in Africa, and that the worst is over, but given the current state of affairs that simply is not the case. In all likelihood, the threat will grow -- considerably -- in the years to come.

North Korea, Sony, and Ignorance

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.27.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Given that the vast majority of Americans cannot identify North Korea on a map, or the name of its leader, the very idea that a major film studio would sanction the production of a movie whose plot is based on the assassination of Kim Jong-un is just plain silly.

Why Brazil Is Its Own Worst Enemy

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.22.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

By all rights, given its size, location, and natural resource base, Brazil should be an economic juggernaut. But the truth is that Brazil should never have been designated a BRIC because it is a poorly managed economy that has rarely lived up to its potential.

The U.S., Cuba, and Strategic Foreign Policy

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.17.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

If you ask me, Obama's action on Cuba was a master stroke, and full of foresight. He has undercut Putin's ability to use Cuba as a pressure point against the U.S. going forward and has, in a single action, transformed a net negative for the U.S. and Cuba into a net positive for its government, people, and businesses.

Short Memories, Broken Politics, and the Coming Recession

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.14.2015 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

If the Great Recession wasn't enough to change the hearts and minds of the bankers, legislators, lobbyists and voters, I really don't know what would be. We bear collective responsibility for perpetuating a terribly broken system.

China's Challenge in the South China Sea

Daniel Wagner | Posted 02.08.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

The Philippines' attempt to haul China to an international tribunal is a problem because it is invoking the very compulsory jurisdiction which China has disavowed since 2006.

Russia's Expanding Global Influence

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.31.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Russia's new agreement to sell Nigeria arms to combat Boko Haram (BH) is evidence of its desire to expand its global geopolitical influence as well as enhance its reputation for being willing to step in where the West will not.

Time Is Running Out for Iran

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.25.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Just as has been the case every time nuclear negotiations between Iran and the West break down without agreement on fundamental issues, Supreme Iranian leader Khameini resumes lambasting the U.S. and Israel, and conservatives in the Iranian government rejoice.

Why the China/Russia Rapprochement Won't Last

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.10.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

Being a big believer in the lessons taught by history, I'm inclined to think that the current 'love fest' between China and Russia will probably have a limited shelf life.

The Mid-Terms, the Republicans, and U.S. Foreign Policy

Daniel Wagner | Posted 01.05.2015 | World
Daniel Wagner

While gaining control of Congress sounds good to the Republicans on paper, I suspect that 24 months from now, when the presidential election is upon us, they'll be regretting having taken the helm on foreign policy.

Terrorism, Ottawa, and the New Normal

Daniel Wagner | Posted 12.23.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

As shocked as many Canadians, and much of the world, are about the shootings that occurred in Ottawa yesterday, they really shouldn't be.

Lack of Courage and Common Sense are Ebola's Greatest Ally

Daniel Wagner | Posted 12.20.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Seriously -- after all the time that has passed since the outbreak of the virus in West Africa earlier this year, why are guidelines for health care workers only being developed and distributed now?

The Missing Marcos Billions and the Demise of the Commission on Good Government

Edsel Tupaz | Posted 12.13.2014 | World
Edsel Tupaz

The recent seizure of works of art believed to have been acquired through ill-gotten wealth by Ferdinand and Imelda Marcos are a reminder of the enduring political legacy of the Marcos family.

Ebola and National Security

Daniel Wagner | Posted 12.10.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The discussions quietly occurring in the corridors of the White House, CIA, Pentagon, and in other capitals throughout the world certainly point to grave concern on the part of policy and decision makers about the possibility of a worst-case scenario becoming reality.

Hong Kong's Moment in History

Daniel Wagner | Posted 12.03.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

This is an important moment in history. The Hong Kong protesters must stand their ground. This is not 1989, nor is it Tiananmen Square. The people of Hong Kong represent the future of China -- not the other way around.

As America Fights Terror, it Loses More Than it Gains

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.29.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

As the United States ramps up its 'no boots on the ground' war against jihadists in Iraq and Syria, the stream of threats emanating from the region appear to grow ever wider and deeper.

Politics and Real Estate in the U.S.

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.26.2014 | Business
Daniel Wagner

Regardless of who becomes President in 2016, or what the composition of Congress may be, hard choices will continue to need to be made about a whole range of issues, such as how much funding should be allocated to subsidize mortgages or support affordable housing

Democracy by Militia in Burma

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.26.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The democratization process in Burma remains very much a work-in-progress, with parliamentary elections slated for next year and the country continuing to adjust to the growing pains associated with opening its economy to the rest of the world.

Why Germany Can't Avoid a Larger Military Commitment to NATO

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.15.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Germany's position as Europe's leading economic and political power put Chancellor Merkel in an awkward position vis-a-vis how to address Vladimir Putin's extra-territorial activities.

Will Peace in Mindanao be Held Hostage by Politics in Congress?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.12.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

President Aquino has taken some bold moves during his presidency in an effort to achieve peace regarding the decades-long dispute over autonomy in Mindanao.

Al Qaeda's Move in India Presages More Elsewhere

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.04.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Al Qaeda's (AQ's) declaration that it is starting a franchise in South Asia is no surprise at all, given the sheer number of Muslims in the region, and that it is being eclipsed by the Islamic State (IS) in the headlines.

Can the Philippines' Afford a Single Aquino Term in Office?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.02.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The Philippines cannot afford to backtrack. If the constitution is not changed, and Aquino does not run, win, and serve a second term, the country risks losing its hard won gains, and could easily fall back into some bad habits.

Can China's New Development Bank Succeed?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 10.26.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

If China will publicly stress the importance of good governance as an essential component of making the development process work, the AIIB has a chance of being successful, and may work well in generating significantly more financial resources for the region.