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Daniel Wagner

Ebola and National Security

Daniel Wagner | Posted 12.10.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The discussions quietly occurring in the corridors of the White House, CIA, Pentagon, and in other capitals throughout the world certainly point to grave concern on the part of policy and decision makers about the possibility of a worst-case scenario becoming reality.

Hong Kong's Moment in History

Daniel Wagner | Posted 12.03.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

This is an important moment in history. The Hong Kong protesters must stand their ground. This is not 1989, nor is it Tiananmen Square. The people of Hong Kong represent the future of China -- not the other way around.

As America Fights Terror, it Loses More Than it Gains

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.29.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

As the United States ramps up its 'no boots on the ground' war against jihadists in Iraq and Syria, the stream of threats emanating from the region appear to grow ever wider and deeper.

Politics and Real Estate in the U.S.

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.26.2014 | Business
Daniel Wagner

Regardless of who becomes President in 2016, or what the composition of Congress may be, hard choices will continue to need to be made about a whole range of issues, such as how much funding should be allocated to subsidize mortgages or support affordable housing

Democracy by Militia in Burma

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.26.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The democratization process in Burma remains very much a work-in-progress, with parliamentary elections slated for next year and the country continuing to adjust to the growing pains associated with opening its economy to the rest of the world.

Why Germany Can't Avoid a Larger Military Commitment to NATO

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.15.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Germany's position as Europe's leading economic and political power put Chancellor Merkel in an awkward position vis-a-vis how to address Vladimir Putin's extra-territorial activities.

Will Peace in Mindanao be Held Hostage by Politics in Congress?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.12.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

President Aquino has taken some bold moves during his presidency in an effort to achieve peace regarding the decades-long dispute over autonomy in Mindanao.

Al Qaeda's Move in India Presages More Elsewhere

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.04.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Al Qaeda's (AQ's) declaration that it is starting a franchise in South Asia is no surprise at all, given the sheer number of Muslims in the region, and that it is being eclipsed by the Islamic State (IS) in the headlines.

Can the Philippines' Afford a Single Aquino Term in Office?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.02.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The Philippines cannot afford to backtrack. If the constitution is not changed, and Aquino does not run, win, and serve a second term, the country risks losing its hard won gains, and could easily fall back into some bad habits.

Can China's New Development Bank Succeed?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 10.26.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

If China will publicly stress the importance of good governance as an essential component of making the development process work, the AIIB has a chance of being successful, and may work well in generating significantly more financial resources for the region.

ISIS and the G-41 World

Daniel Wagner | Posted 10.15.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Isolationist America's foreign policy and standing in the world has been further emasculated in the process. Conservative political pundits in the U.S. criticize President Obama for failing to act in a more decisive manner to stem the tide. They remain delusional in their belief that anything the U.S. can do will make a difference.

The Elusive Road to Peace in Colombia

Daniel Wagner | Posted 10.12.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Colombian President Santos staked his job on finalizing a peace agreement with the FARC guerrillas. Voters rewarded him with a mandate in June's run-off election, giving him a decisive victory over right-wing challenger Oscar Zuluaga.

Aquino Challenges Filipinos to Reject the Status Quo

Edsel Tupaz | Posted 09.29.2014 | World
Edsel Tupaz

Aquino's speech succeeded in reminding Filipinos of what can and should be an appropriate baseline for critique.

Circus Politics Is Alive and Well in the Philippines

Edsel Tupaz | Posted 09.25.2014 | Politics
Edsel Tupaz

The circus continues with the motion to impeach President Aquino, with opposition politicians having sharpened their knives in an attempt to draw some blood from the Teflon President.

Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 Was Shot Down for Money

Daniel Wagner | Posted 09.20.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was shot down in Ukraine last week because three crucial actors all played a role, and they all had something in common -- a desire for money.

Bahrain's Jihadist Dilemma

Daniel Wagner | Posted 09.18.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

Bahrain finds itself in an increasingly untenable position. If it misplays its hand, or events in the region outpace the government's ability to manage domestic politics, the Bahraini government could find itself facing a dire crisis in the near future.

Russia, the U.S., and Preservation of the Status Quo

Daniel Wagner | Posted 09.17.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Russia is a well-ingrained enemy of the U.S., and vice versa. For that reason, not too much effort is required to dust off and re-oil the propaganda machines on both sides of the Atlantic.

Dilma Is Likely to Be Reelected, So Why Are Brazilians Celebrating?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 09.06.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The wind appears to again be at Dilma Rousseff's back again, as Brazil's performance at the World Cup has virtually assured that she will be re-elected -- politics working as politics do.

Islamic Extremism in Africa

Daniel Wagner | Posted 08.25.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

In spite of all the resources devoted to fighting Somalia-based Al Shabaab in recent years, the group has grown stronger, and continues to cross the region's borders with impunity. The same is true with Boko Haram in Nigeria and Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb.

Kenya, Corruption, and Terrorism

Daniel Wagner | Posted 08.18.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Kenya is too important to fail. The government knows it, and so donor governments. So its dependence on foreign aid will also continue. Let us hope that Kenya does not become part of the African Confederation of Failed States.

Paris Wants to Know: Where is U.S. Leadership in the World?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 08.06.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

While in Paris this week someone asked me when the U.S. will take a leading role in helping to resolve any number of the world's ongoing crises -- from Syria to Ukraine to the Central African Republic. My reply was that this will not happen for several reasons.

Al Qaeda's Growing Influence in Central Africa

Daniel Wagner | Posted 07.30.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Judging from the gains made by both Al Shabab and Boko Haram over the past year, the CAR and its neighbors should be concerned.

Only the Tourists Can Save Thailand

Daniel Wagner | Posted 07.23.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

One thing that could make a difference would be if the tourists stopped coming, prompting the exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves, and stock market to fall substantially. Perhaps, if there was enough collective pain, the red and yellow shirts would determine that it is in everyone's interest to find common ground.

Why MH370 Will Not Change Chinese/Malaysia Relations

Daniel Wagner | Posted 07.20.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

In spite of the bilateral tension created by MH370, China is likely to remain cautious about taking actions that could jeopardize its partnership with Malaysia, given the country's importance in the region's geopolitical landscape and its warming relations with Washington.

Why Obama Has Foreign Policy About Right

Daniel Wagner | Posted 07.05.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

A plethora of pundits, law makers and think tanks continue to criticize the Obama Administration for presiding over what appear to be persistent failures in the foreign policy arena. Opponents are quick to attack the perceived lack of meaningful progress.