Had Senator Bernie Sanders won New York, it quite possibly would have represented the biggest political earthquake of the last decade. Unfortunately for Sanders, he fell short of such a feat.
As the rallying cry builds in NY today, Sanders loyalists can maintain optimism for a Wisconsinesque upset tonight while still girding for the chance of a less favorable outcome. Here's how Bernie's massive NYC voting block can keep up the momentum and prevent a Wednesday hangover.
New York is a closed primary. The primary is limited to registered Democrats, and if Clinton wins big, this will be the biggest reason why.
Th game resumed in New York State, with no change in the score. The count was oh-and-one on Kasich, as it was before.
All in all, Clinton is wandering the desert of political expedience, typically the safest thing for a frontrunner to do (unless your name is Trump). We'll see today whether safety will lead to numbers in New York's primary election.
Placed in a party position context, the Democratic and Republican primary turnout in 2016 look more expected and normal. We would expect higher turnout because it is an open contest and we would expect even higher turnout for the party that has been out of power, which is what we see.
It has now become clear that the vast majority of younger voters not only support Bernie Sanders for president, but enthusiastically so. Large numbers of young people have been energized by Bernie's message of ending corruption in politics and bringing about real progressive change.
The simplistic way the Sanders campaign views money in politics has been driving me crazy, because it seems so clear, but it is so distorted as to mislead an entire generation of younger voters.
Our current political culture is not "just the way things are," but rather the way we've made them, one incremental excuse at a time, one lesser evil after another. It's reckless to play it safe when you don't accept how grave the danger is that you face in the first place.
The polling averages now show Clinton up by about 13 points in Tuesday's primary. Sanders has closed gaps like this, but mainly in states that allow independents to vote in party primaries. If Clinton does pull out a win, it ends Sanders' streak and all but guarantees Clinton's nomination. If, on the other hand, Sanders should narrowly win, it doesn't mean he wins the nomination -- the two will split New York's delegates almost evenly. His path to a delegate majority would still be exceedingly steep. But a Sanders win, which would make eight out of the last nine, would reinforce the impression that he's the one with momentum. And it would put the remaining states, most notably Pennsylvania and California, seriously in play. Even with a close win for Clinton in New York, the risk for Democrats is that Clinton limps towards nomination, while the preponderance of energy and excitement are with Sanders.
This week, the nation watched Kobe Bryant say goodbye to an historic career, while the Golden State Warriors capped a history-making season. The combatants on the other coast were less inspiring. On Tuesday, having been outmaneuvered for delegates in Louisiana and Colorado by Ted Cruz, Donald Trump accused the RNC of being "dirty tricksters" who should be "ashamed of themselves." The next day, The Washington Post estimated that Cruz will pick up 130 to 170 delegates on a second ballot - enough to potentially deny Trump the nomination. As loudly as Trump complains, it's notable that it's in the most business-like aspects of the campaign -- deal-making -- that Trump is failing. If he can't make a deal with his own party, he'll never get that chance to make a deal forcing Mexico to pay for his wall. Meanwhile, as the Democratic candidates debated across the river from Wall Street, it was reported that five of the eight biggest banks failed to come up with credible "living will" plans required by Dodd-Frank. The Mamba's gone, but too-big-to-fail lives on.
New Yorkers: This Tuesday's Democratic Primary gives you the opportunity to alter history and actualize an ideological shift away from fear and false comfort toward human dignity and endurance.
Authentic? He'll show you authentic! ...
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