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Election Polls

Why You Should Stop Freaking Out About The New Trump Poll

The Huffington Post | Natalie Jackson | Posted 12.14.2015 | Politics

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Hillary Clinton Is Most Trusted Candidate To Handle Terrorism, Poll Finds

The Huffington Post | Michael McLaughlin | Posted 11.23.2015 | Politics

Terrorism trails only the economy as the most important issue in the presidential race, according to a new Washington Post and ABC News poll cond...

CNN Blows Off Anderson Cooper's Katrina Anniversary Special For Donald Trump

The Huffington Post | Kelly Chen | Posted 08.26.2015 | Media

CNN bumped Anderson Cooper's special on the 10th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina for extended coverage of Donald Trump's presidential campaign.&...

Natalie Jackson

Trump As Frontrunner? Not So Fast. | Natalie Jackson | Posted 07.10.2015 | Politics

At least 10 companies have cut ties with businessman Donald Trump in the wake of comments he made about Mexican immigrants during his presidential cam...

Natalie Jackson

'Undecided' Still Winning The Republican Primary Contest | Natalie Jackson | Posted 05.28.2015 | Politics

A new Quinnipiac University national poll shows there’s still only one clear leader in the Republican presidential primary race: Undecided. The p...

Natalie Jackson

Don't Care About The 2016 Election Yet? You're Part Of The 74 Percent | Natalie Jackson | Posted 05.13.2015 | Politics

How many Americans are already paying close attention to the 2016 presidential campaign? Just a quarter, according to the latest CBS News/New York Tim...

Natalie Jackson

The Real GOP Front-Runner Is 'Undecided' | Natalie Jackson | Posted 03.31.2015 | Politics

The real front-runner for the 2016 Republican New Hampshire primary has a surprising name: Undecided. That’s the key finding in a Suffolk Univer...

Natalie Jackson

2014 Was The Year Robopolls Got Lucky | Natalie Jackson | Posted 02.19.2015 | Politics

Last year automated phone polls, sometimes called "robopolls," got closer on average to the actual election results than most other surveys. Yet such ...

Natalie Jackson

Polls Lean In, Too: Weighing House Effects In The 2014 Election | Natalie Jackson | Posted 01.27.2015 | Politics

When it comes to predicting elections, pollsters are often judged on whether their results seem to consistently favor one party over another. The indu...

Natalie Jackson

Differences Between Registered And Likely Voter Polls Didn't Affect Fall Trends In 2014 Senate Forecast | Natalie Jackson | Posted 12.15.2014 | Politics

The big story in the 2014 Senate elections was Republicans’ success. In hindsight, the evidence was clear that Republicans were gaining support in t...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: What The Polls Tell Us On Election Day | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.04.2014 | Politics

It's Election Day. Americans are casting their ballots in the only poll that matters. And if you want to watch returns like a pollster, there's still ...

Mark Blumenthal

Here Are The Governor Races Still Too Close To Call | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.04.2014 | Politics

While the battle for the U.S. Senate has captured attention nationwide, some of this year's closest contests are among the 36 governor's races, nearly...

Mark Blumenthal

U.S. House Polls Forecast Republican Gains | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.04.2014 | Politics

In 2014, the high-stakes battle for control of the U.S. Senate, rather than individual House races, has gotten most of the attention from pollsters an...

Mark Blumenthal

How The 'Orman Factor' Muddles The Senate Forecast, And How We've Dealt With That | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 09.06.2014 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The recent upheaval in the Kansas Senate race has thrown a small wrench into political observers' efforts to forecast which party will t...

Mark Blumenthal

HuffPost's New Senate Forecast Predicts A Nail-Biter | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 09.02.2014 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The race for control of the U.S. Senate remains very much in doubt, coming down to a coin flip based on current voter preferences as mea...

Mark Blumenthal

HuffPost Pollster Refines Senate Poll Tracking Model Before 2014 Elections | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 08.29.2014 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- With just over nine weeks remaining before Election Day 2014, the contest for control of the U.S. Senate likely hinges on the outcome of...

Natalie Jackson

Why Can't Pre-Election Polls Just Get It Right? | Natalie Jackson | Posted 07.02.2014 | Politics

As we move through primary season this summer, we've seen some shocking and unexpected outcomes. Why didn't we know that House Majority Leader Eric Ca...

Sarah Palin Misreads Polling Data

The Washington Post | Glenn Kessler | Posted 07.01.2013 | Politics

Given how many variables can affect a national election, it is sometimes foolhardy to suggest one group or another swung the election. ...

Tea Party Reaches Record Low In Poll

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 01.07.2013 | Politics

The Tea Party is more unpopular than ever before, according to a Rasmussen poll released Monday, with just three in 10 voters holding favorable views ...

Don't It Make Mitt's Red States Blue!

Rick Horowitz | Posted 01.19.2013 | Politics
Rick Horowitz

Suddenly, reality. ...

The Most Astounding Thing About This Election

Sandy Goodman | Posted 01.13.2013 | Politics
Sandy Goodman

Election 2012 is only the latest example of human beings' incredible capacity to fool themselves when they desperately want to. And another reminder that today's GOP live on a different planet from the rest of us, with dangerously little regard for facts.

Notes for a Manifesto

Robert Kuttner | Posted 01.23.2014 | Politics
Robert Kuttner

The enormity of last week's super-storm is just beginning to sink into political consciousness. Hurricane Sandy should transform what Americans expect from their government, and give the party of government activism new force. As soon as the election is behind us, the country faces a major struggle over what the super-storm portends and requires. But that struggle will be as much within the Democratic Party as between Democrats and the right, because of the deadweight of austerity politics. If the fix is in for a budget deal that precludes government's ability to spend serious money on climate remediation, flood protection, and a shift to a non-carbon economy, the United States of America is just plain screwed. Few presidents get a do over. Let's see whether Obama grasps the challenge and the possibilities.

In a Democracy, We Deserve the Leaders We Elect

Steven Strauss | Posted 01.23.2014 | Politics
Steven Strauss

The presidency is, in Teddy Roosevelt's famous words, a bully pulpit. President Obama is in a unique position to use that pulpit to help the bottom 30 percent.

Obama Has 'Modest Lead' Over Romney: Final Pew Poll

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 11.07.2012 | Politics

Barack Obama heads into Election Day having regained a "modest" 3-point lead over Mitt Romney, according to the final election poll by the Pew Researc...

Obama Ticks Up: Popular Vote, Swing States and Electoral College Forecast

Simon Jackman | Posted 01.03.2013 | Politics
Simon Jackman

Polls released in the second half of the week generally suggested a slight uptick in Obama support, in the national popular vote, battleground states and the Electoral College forecast.