Election Predictions

New Hampshire Primary Forecasts Obama Reelection

Helmut Norpoth | Posted 03.13.2012

Read More: Election Predictions, Primary Predictions, Republican Primary, New Hampshire Primary, Election 2012, Gop Primary 2012, Pollster Analysis, Politics News

For the record, the Primary Model, with slight modifications, has predicted the winner of the popular vote in all presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996.

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Predicting the Presidential Election: 2012

James Zogby | Posted 03.08.2012

Read More: Election Predictions, Elections 2012, Obama Reelection, President Obama, Allan Lichtman Election Prediction, Allan Lichtman, Politics News

Amidst all the fuss about Obama's sagging poll numbers and "who's up and who's down" in the Republican presidential primary contest, professor Allan Lichtman has issued his "sure fire" prediction for the outcome of the 2012 election.

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Wrong Again: Why Experts' Predictions Fail, Especially About the Future

Michael Shermer | Posted 03.05.2012

Read More: Election Predictions, Elections 2012, The Future, Predictions, Confirmation Bias, Paul Samuelson, Foresight, Science News

As 2012 unfolds, most notably with predictions about political elections, beware of the experts. For the most part, these experts are no better than dart-throwing chimps.

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Update: Predicting Election Results by Viewer Preference

Reese Schonfeld | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Cynthia Turner, FoxNews Ratings, Msnbc, 2010 Elections, Cnn, Cable News Ratings, MSNBC Ratings, Foxnews, CNN Ratings, Media News

I've been able to get last week's cable viewing numbers in time to include last week's results. FoxNews viewing was up sharply in all categories during the week of 10/25 to 10/31. Here are the numbers.

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Pundits & Politicians Unveil Their Election Predictions

Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Bill Clinton, Elections Predictions 2010, Tim Kaine, Chris Van Hollen, Haley Barbour, Election Day, Charlie Cook, Election Predictions 2010, 2010 Elections Predictions, John Cornyn, Elections 2010, Sarah Palin, Slidepollajax, Michael Steele, 2010 Election Predictions, Politics News

The 2010 midterm elections are here, and most expect Republicans to make big gains in both chambers of Congress. While prevailing opinion holds that t...

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Predicting Election Results by Viewer Preference

Reese Schonfeld | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, FoxNews Ratings, Elections, Msnbc, Nielsen, Nancy Grace, Cnn, Elections 2010, Cable News Ratings, Cable News, Headline News, MSNBC Ratings, Democrats, Foxnews, CNN Ratings, Republicans, Media News

In every election of the past decade I have predicted the results based on Nielsen's cable news viewing numbers. So far, I have always gotten it right. And, if that happens again next Tuesday, the Democrats are in for a disaster.

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Dems' Only Hope For 2010: Make The Race About The Other Guy

HuffingtonPost.com | Thomas B. Edsall | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, House of Representatives, Senate, Midterm Elections, Democrats, 2010 Elections, Analysis, Elections 2010, Politics News

Democratic incumbents face the most threatening political environment since the Republican landslide of 1994 -- and they know it. The trends are all ...

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Obama: From "Shouldn't" to "Did"

Rupert Russell | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Polls, Hillary Clinton, Democratic Party, John Kerry, Barack Obama, Election Predictions, Democratic Voters, Obama Wins, Obama Election Day, Election Day 2008, Election Day, President Obama, Obama Jeremiah Wright, Obama Economy, Election Results, Election, 2008 Presidential Election, Democratic Primary, Presidential Results, Electoral Votes, Voter Turnout, Obama Presidency, Voter Margin, Electoral College, Presidential Election, Obama President, Politics News

It is time to throw out the old playbook for one simple reason. It was wrong. Obama wasn't your average Democratic candidate, but then again, America isn't your average country, either.

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Why Obama Will Lose Today....

Richard Grenell | Posted 05.25.2011

Since Obama's problems from the Democratic Primary have not been resolved, nor reported by the national media, the Electoral College map signals trouble for the media's main man.

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Thanks, Obama Campaign!

Steve Cobble | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Barack Obama 2008, 2008 Election, Election Predictions, Predictions, Home News

This was a great campaign. If you weren't touched by the historic events of this election cycle, then you should probably give up politics. My predi...

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Federalized Democracy: How We Elect the President -- and a Prediction

William E. Jackson Jr. | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election of President, Electoral Vote System, Predicted Winner, Election Predictions, Voting, Politics News

In modern times -- with one exception -- it has been the case that the electoral vote total exaggerates the margin of victory in the popular vote.

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Obama, McCain Campaign Map: Where Are They Campaigning On Their Final Days

Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Barack Obama Schedule, Barack Obama Campaign Map, John Mccain Schedule, Election Widgets, John Mccain Campaign Map, Politics News

Check out where the candidates are Monday and Tuesday on their final pushes. And on election night, check out HuffPost's election results page to get ...

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Obama, McCain Both Promise Change On Election Eve

AP | NEDRA PICKLER and BETH FOUHY | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Barack Obama Final Push, John Mccain on the Ground, Sarah Palin Ground Operation, John Mccain Final Push, Barack Obama Ground Operation, Politics News

CHICAGO — Democrat Barack Obama's bid to become the first black president faced the final test of his remarkable two-year journey Tuesday, while...

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Election Results: McCain Campaign Manager On The Five Must-Win States

ABC News | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: John Mccain Election Results, Election Predictions, John Mccain Election Predictions, Rick Davis, Barack Obama Election Results, John Mccain Must Win States, Election Results, Barack Obama Must Win States, Barack Obama Election Predictions, Politics News

George Stephanopoulos writes this morning on McCain's must win states and his interview yesterday with McCain campaign manager Rick Davis. Go here to...

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Mandate Watch -- Bellwether Races/Initiatives To Watch Below the Presidential Contest

David Sirota | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Barack Obama, Election Predictions, Election Results, Progressive Mandate, Senate Races, Politics News

How will we know the shape, size and depth of whatever mandate comes out of this, the most ideologically polarized election since 1980?

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Election Predictions: Pundits Weigh In

The Huffington Post | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Predictions, Barack Obama, Pundits Election Forecasts, Pundits Election Predictions, Election Forecasts, Election Results, John McCain, Video, Election Predictions 2008, Pundits Predictions, Latest Election Predictions, Pundits Predictions Election, Karl Rove Election Prediction, 2008 Election Predictions, Politics News

Make your own predictions below... Karl Rove Winner: Obama Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200 Rove writes on his website: The final Rove & Co....

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Chuck Todd: If McCain Wins All Toss-Ups He Still Loses

The Huffington Post | Rachel Weiner | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Tossup States, Chuck Todd Final Map, Final Map Obama Mccain, Mccain Tossups, Chuck Todd, Final Election Map, Mccain Obama Map, Mccain Obama Tossup States, Nbc Final Map, Politics News

NBC News' final map gives Barack Obama the win: With two days before Election Day, the final NBC News map shows Obama remaining above the 270 electo...

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I Like What I See in Florida

Alan Fein | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Charlie Crist, Florida, Early Voting, Barack Obama, Election Predictions, Swing States, Battleground States, Voter Turnout, Florida Swing State, Minority Voters, 2008 Presidential Election, Politics News

I have never seen a volunteer effort like it in any Florida campaign, ever. I expect the laser focus and effort to stay in place through Tuesday.

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Predicting the Next US President(s)

Liz Rose | Posted 11.17.2011

Read More: Bloomberg, Election Predictions, Obama, Mccain, Astrology, Election 2008, Birth Dates, Healthy Living News

There's a vague sort of cosmological indication that the winner of the next election will be less predictable than one thinks, so don't rely too heavily on what the polls are showing today.

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Rollins: Obama Headed For Landslide Win

McClatchy | Posted 05.25.2011

Read More: Election Predictions, Obama Victory, Obama Landslide, Barack Obama, Electoral Map, Obama Landslide Predictions, Barack Obama Landslide, Obama Win, Politics News

Barring a dramatic change in the political landscape over the next three weeks, Democrats appear headed toward a decisive victory on Election Day that...

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