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Election Predictions

How Donald Trump Could Upend Decades of Accurate Election Predictions

Quora | Posted 11.07.2016 | Home

What is Allan Lichtman's prediction for the 2016 Presidential election? originally appeared on Quora - the knowledge sharing network where compelling ...

History Favors Trump but He Could 'Shatter Historical Patterns

GVH Live | Posted 10.10.2016 | Home
GVH Live

By, Jacob Smith The history of presidential elections is, at times, polarizing and unpredictable and this year's election seems to top them all, but ...

The Race is On -- So Help Me Pick a Winner

David Sable | Posted 08.01.2016 | Home
David Sable

And the race is on! Wherever I have been in the world, the last few months, nearly everyone has asked me about the upcoming elections in the United S...


Jonathan Haber | Posted 03.14.2016 | Home
Jonathan Haber

One of mankind's great passions (and fantasies) is the hope that we can both predict and control the future. And never does this belief become more fashionable -- and expensive -- than during a Presidential election.

Jason Linkins

Your 2016 Candidates Have A Secret Weapon, According To The Media | Jason Linkins | Posted 02.18.2015 | Home

Sometimes, in life, you succeed on your own merits. But other times, you need a little something extra. And when the media thinks that they've caught on to that "something extra," they've got a term for it: the secret weapon.

Jason Linkins

The Great Mitt-Stakes: Who 'Wins' Now That Romney Has Quit The Race? | Jason Linkins | Posted 02.08.2015 | Home

Every election cycle can be considered, first and foremost, a monument to hype. With every passing week, the political world is a blizzard of brash pr...

Jason Linkins

This Week In 2016 Speculation: What Time Is Hillary Clinton? | Jason Linkins | Posted 02.01.2015 | Home

WASHINGTON -- Every election cycle can be considered, first and foremost, a monument to hype. With every passing week, the political world is a blizza...

My Final Midterm Election Picks

Chris Weigant | Posted 01.03.2015 | Home
Chris Weigant

We've got six states in the Too Close To Call category, but fear not! After providing a rundown of the races, I am adding a section below where I make my own picks for each of them (since it is Election Eve, after all, and thus time to put up or shut up).

Who are the Undecideds?

Doug Rivers | Posted 01.02.2015 | Home
Doug Rivers

There are many sources of uncertainty in election polling other than sampling error. One source of error that looms large in this year's closest races is undecided voters -- people who say they are going to vote, but don't know (or won't say) which candidate they prefer.

Natalie Jackson

Why Can't Pre-Election Polls Just Get It Right? | Natalie Jackson | Posted 07.02.2014 | Home

As we move through primary season this summer, we've seen some shocking and unexpected outcomes. Why didn't we know that House Majority Leader Eric Ca...

Just the Story, Ma'am

David Crisanti | Posted 01.08.2013 | Home
David Crisanti

An election is one of the few subjects pundits opine on en masse for which there is an unambiguous outcome. Will we remember their accuracy the next time they express a fervent opinion on a subject for which there will be no definitive answer?

Scoot Over, Bieber

The Huffington Post | Britney Fitzgerald | Posted 11.07.2012 | Home

Barack Obama is the official winner of the 2012 presidential race, as well as the ultimate king of the Twittersphere. When numbers began pouring i...

Pollster Predictive Performance, 51 out of 51

Simon Jackman | Posted 01.07.2013 | Home
Simon Jackman

If Florida stays in the Obama column, we will have called each state correctly: 51 out of 51, and the Obama Electoral College count bang on 332.

The Big Romney Electoral College Win Forecast That Fizzled

The Boulder Daily Camera | BRITTANY ANAS | Posted 01.08.2013 | Denver

The University of Colorado political science professor who mined economic data to predict that Republican nominee Mitt Romney would win the presidenti...

Who Will Win The Election?

The Huffington Post | Britney Fitzgerald | Posted 11.06.2012 | Home

Will Obama win the 2012 presidential election? According to a map from the Oxford Internet Institute, the current U.S. commander-in-chief has been...

Nixonland Author Rick Perlstein Talks GOP 'Lies' on The Interview Show

Mark Bazer | Posted 01.06.2013 | Home
Mark Bazer

Political historian Rick Perlstein, author of Nixonland and writer for Rolling Stone, The Nation and other publications, stopped by The Interview Show to give host Mark Bazer his take on the GOP, Barack Obama and the 2012 election.

Election Monitor: Sandy Helps Obama But Not Enough - Romney Will Win Tonight

Steve Lombardo | Posted 01.06.2013 | Home
Steve Lombardo

Mitt Romney will string together a winning coalition with victories in states ranging from Virginia to Colorado, capturing the popular vote by nearly two points and a sizeable majority of electoral votes, making him the 45th President of the United States.

WATCH: Jimmy Fallon's Puppy Predicts Who Will Win The Election

Posted 11.06.2012 | Home

While Jon Stewart was smacking cable news pundits for being completely unaccountable when it comes to their election predictions, Jimmy Fallon was mak...

'What The F*ck Are You People Doing There?'

Posted 11.06.2012 | Home

Everyone has made their election predictions and today is the moment of truth: when no one, no matter how influential, will be held accountable for be...

My Predictions For The U.S. Presidential Election

Adam Eliot | Posted 02.02.2016 | Home
Adam Eliot

With the U.S. presidential election only days away, I thought it would be fun for my first blog to share some of my predictions about the big day. I practice Vedic astrology, which originated in India over 5,000 years ago and is the world's oldest form of astrology.

Presidential Palate Predictor: Let Your Taste Buds Decide

Posted 11.01.2012 | Home

If you had to eat the diet of the winning candidate for the next four years, whose would it be?

Astrology: Round #1 of the Presidential Debates

Larry Schwimmer | Posted 10.05.2012 | Home
Larry Schwimmer

There is no question that President Obama lost the debate. From an astrological perspective, it might be interesting to review what happened?

This Election Is Already Over - Obama Has Won

Cenk Uygur | Posted 12.01.2012 | Home
Cenk Uygur

Here's my new favorite fact: whoever is leading two weeks after the last convention has never relinquished the lead in the last 15 presidential elections. It's way past two weeks since the last convention and President Obama doesn't have a small lead, he has a huge lead.

Cable News Convention Ratings as Election Indicators

Reese Schonfeld | Posted 11.13.2012 | Home
Reese Schonfeld

Two weeks ago, the week of the Republican Convention, Fox News dominated primetime news ratings.

Ratings: The Summer of '12 -- a Distorted Season

Reese Schonfeld | Posted 10.28.2012 | Home
Reese Schonfeld

Once every four years, the Summer Olympics distort the news ratings. This year, it was worse than usual because MSNBC, programmed by NBC, carried a lot of Olympic events, sometimes in primetime, sometimes in daytime.