The trick is to develop enough confidence in the models that we are not tempted to manually override them when they contradict our own preciously-held view of the world. This is unfortunately also difficult in practice.
1. The United States remains a divided nation. Just a few percentage points separate those who supported Barack Obama and those who supported Mitt Romney nationally and in key swing states.
Karl Rove led a parade of "experts" masquerading as fair-minded analysts whose real agenda was to line their own pockets by feeding the public's craving for information that confirms their biases. Here, 10 of the worst offenders.
Despite all of the stories, the numbers told the right story all along. The numbers said that the election was not that close, and it was not.There is an important lesson here for business.
If Florida stays in the Obama column, we will have called each state correctly: 51 out of 51, and the Obama Electoral College count bang on 332.
When the new Congress convenes in January, power will once again be divided between a Republican House and a Democratic President and Senate. So what does it mean for the environment and green politics?
The next four years provide a historic opportunity to end childhood hunger in America. Ensuring children in this country have the food they need to live, learn and play is critical if we are to produce a healthy, educated future workforce and keep America's economy moving forward.
Political junkies among us can allow ourselves a brief moment to gloat at the court jesters whose contempt for our collective intelligence as the presidential campaign came to an end last night and who broke new ground in the realm of Chutzpah even as the votes were being counted.
While I don't agree with every decision Obama has made in his first term, I do believe he has the interest of the working family at heart. My call to Obama and his administration focuses more specifically on African-Americans.
As David Eisenhower taught me in his class on presidential communication at the University of Pennsylvania, strong speeches often have "echoes" of other speeches within them. Last night's victory speech is a perfect example of a speech containing "echoes."
Ann Coulter helped in her own inimitable, thoughtless, empty, soulless way to help get Barack Obama elected. She created her own self-fulfilling prophecy. Poor Ann Coulter. She must be so pissed off. The heart bleeds.
We might pick up a few very late polls this election morning, but even so, it is well and truly time to list some forecasts. The model confidently predicts that Obama wins the election, with the probability of 270 Electoral College votes or more now up to 91.4 percent.
6:00 p.m. polls close in most of Indiana and just over half of Kentucky. If one candidate is doing well enough against the projections, the networks could call the Indiana statewide races soon after 6 p.m.
Will we see a 2012 Republican wave where Democrats are swept out because Barack Obama was elected to fix a broken economy and four years later the economy is doubtlessly still struggling?
In the latest YouGov/Xbox poll, the pivotal state of Ohio showed slightly more Romney supporters than Obama supporters. But, when asked who they expect to win Ohio, the same respondents predicted Obama would win their state.