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Electoral College

Jason Linkins

Winning On Semantics, Missing The Point: The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For Oct. 19 | Jason Linkins | Posted 12.20.2012 | Politics

One final note on this: we were a little dumbstruck by the number of people who commented that Obama had managed to definitively parry the issue or put Libya to bed. No, no! It really is more than what phrases were used in certain speeches, we're afraid. There is a whole debate coming on Monday, exclusively about foreign policy. That debate's moderator, Bob Schieffer, is absolutely going to want to earn his stripes. He will absolutely re-raise the question. If he doesn't he will be pilloried. So the matter has not been put to bed. Hopefully, Schieffer will manage to steer the discussion to more substantive grounds.

Alternate Realities: Red and Blue America Living in Different Universes

Howard Barbanel | Posted 12.19.2012 | Politics
Howard Barbanel

American mirror realities are not just manifested in the presidential candidates or the cable networks -- rather, they exist in real time on those red and blue electoral college maps and in all the endless daily tracking polls that have been showing the election as a dead heat for weeks now.

4 Reasons Our Democracy Is Broken

Jonathan Weiler | Posted 12.19.2012 | Politics
Jonathan Weiler

With all due warnings about nostalgia about a golden age of American democracy that never existed, here are four especially disturbing and depressing signs that our political institutions are doing a worse and worse job of reflecting meaningful the interests of "We, The People."

Reforming the Electoral College So That Every Vote Counts

Rich Rubino | Posted 12.19.2012 | Politics
Rich Rubino

Under the National Popular Vote Plan, every vote will be relevant and equal.

How 21% of Americans Will Hold the Election Hostage to Partisan Tools and Fools

Stephen Robert Morse | Posted 12.18.2012 | Politics
Stephen Robert Morse

We are the 79%. We are useless. We are slaves to the 21%, who live in "swing states" and whose votes matter most. Abolish the horribly antiquated Electoral College, and then the 79% will be free.

Progressives: In Swing States, Vote for Obama

Daniel Ellsberg | Posted 12.18.2012 | Politics
Daniel Ellsberg

I don't 'support Obama.' I oppose the current Republican Party. The only way for progressives and Democrats to block Romney from office, at this date, is to persuade enough people in swing states to vote for Obama: not stay home, or vote for someone else.

Why the Constitution's Framers Didn't Want Us to Directly Elect the President

Eric Black | Posted 12.17.2012 | Politics
Eric Black

The strange tale of how the electoral system came about puts some of its weird features into context. Once you get this context, it is at least understandable what the Framers thought they were doing.

U.S. Presidential Election Paradox

Frank Morgan | Posted 10.16.2012 | Politics
Frank Morgan

In 1888, Benjamin Harrison beat Grover Cleveland with fewer popular votes by winning lots of states by a few votes and losing the rest of the states big. If you consider the different voter turnout rates in different states, you could win with still fewer votes by winning states with low turnouts.

It's the (Electoral College) Math, Stupid

Hoyt Hilsman | Posted 12.16.2012 | Politics
Hoyt Hilsman

If the Obama campaign can deliver the ground game and turn in victories in at least one of the three major states -- or wins in the smaller swing states -- then the numbers will add up to a victory.

2012 Electoral Math -- Obama's Debate Cliff

Chris Weigant | Posted 12.15.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Mitt Romney got an enormous bounce out of the first debate. This translated into him flipping two states to his column -- something he hasn't been able to do in quite a while.

Xbox Live/YouGov Polling

David Rothschild | Posted 12.15.2012 | Politics
David Rothschild

So many people today watch TV with a second screen around and we are giving them something fun, related, and meaningful to do with extra energy; we have enacted the promise that is interactive television with the hope that it will lead us towards the future of information aggregation.

Jason Linkins

Let's Talk About What A Hilarious Disaster It Would Be If We Had An Electoral College Tie | Jason Linkins | Posted 10.16.2012 | Politics

At a certain point during the home stretch of an election, attention tends to drift from the big national head-to-head polls to the more granular poll...

Appealing to the Red-White-and-Blue States

Ken Blackwell | Posted 12.11.2012 | Politics
Ken Blackwell

Red State/Blue State thinking can push us apart. Just remember how Blue State/Gray State turned out! Over the next few weeks, the goal for both campaigns should be to unify the nation.

The Truth About Decline and the Declining Truth

Howard Steven Friedman | Posted 12.08.2012 | Politics
Howard Steven Friedman

We undermine the basic concept of 'one-citizen one-vote' with the Electoral College, an idea that may have seemed like a good idea in 1789 but has not been emulated by other countries for countless reasons.

Why Barack Obama Is Going to Win

Bernard-Henri Lévy | Posted 12.09.2012 | Politics
Bernard-Henri Lévy

The American presidential contest, as Tocqueville demonstrated and one can never be reminded enough, is a bizarre election in which voting takes place state by state, thus not completely on a national scale of the United States.

2012 Electoral Math -- Debate Effects Remain to Be Seen

Chris Weigant | Posted 12.08.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

National polls have pulled back into a neck-and-neck contest. This is all fun for the pundits, who (pre-debate) were on the verge of declaring the race all but over (and, hence, boring), but we hasten to remind everyone that this is not how we elect presidents.

Jason Linkins

Barack Obama Performs His Disappearing Act: The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For October 5 | Jason Linkins | Posted 10.05.2012 | Politics

Well, last week, your Speculatroners couldn't help but notice that the political media had apparently all had a brunch, or something, at which it was ...

Jason Linkins

The Sense Of An Ending: The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For Sept. 28 | Jason Linkins | Posted 09.29.2012 | Politics

This week, the frenzied activity of the campaign trail seems to hit a caesura, of sorts, perhaps because now that we're at, or near, a halfway point b...

Electoral College Map Has Path For Romney Victory

The Huffington Post | Colin Doms | Posted 09.29.2012 | Politics

President Barack Obama leads or ties Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the last 17 national polls, leaving some to wonder if the election is already o...

De-Bunking the Myth of the "Union Boss"

David Macaray | Posted 11.28.2012 | Business
David Macaray

Because anti-union propagandists won't risk alienating the rank-and-file by insulting them directly, they try to portray these people as "victims" -- as regular, good-hearted working stiffs who, alas, are at the mercy of their corrupt, overpaid, dictatorial union officials.

Eliminate the Electoral College

Mike Edwards | Posted 11.27.2012 | Politics
Mike Edwards

The Electoral College is a cancerous tumor on American democracy. It doesn't matter if we all get one vote when some votes are worth more than others. It is past time that we got rid it.

2012 Electoral Math -- Obama Solidifies Bounce

Chris Weigant | Posted 11.26.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Of course, we are heading into debate season, so things could always change, but at the moment it is looking decidedly good for an Obama win. Here's how the election would break down if held today.

Four Crazy Electoral College Rules

Rob Richie | Posted 09.26.2012 | Politics
Rob Richie

Discounting the national popular vote and making the presidential race about a few swing states is bad enough, but a closer look at the Electoral College shows how it could get even worse.

Why Ohio Is So Pivotal for Romney

David Rothschild | Posted 11.25.2012 | Politics
David Rothschild

The flip state is Ohio at 77.3 percent for Obama and 22.7 percent for Romney. This is a great, simple approximation for the likelihood of the election.

Jason Linkins

Mitt's A Real Nowhere Man: The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For Sept. 21 | Jason Linkins | Posted 09.24.2012 | Politics

At the Values Voter Summit this past weekend, GOP vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan lit into President Barack Obama for his propensity for making ...