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Electoral Map

Clashing Mandates and the Role of Voting Structures

Rob Richie | Posted 01.26.2013 | Politics
Rob Richie

Obama won the presidency relatively decisively, yet a majority of House members are Republicans who represent a district where Obama in fact lost to Romney.

Logic From a Republican Who Can Accept a Loss

Tim Young | Posted 01.08.2013 | Politics
Tim Young

I am so tired of the illogical map of America argument that my Republican friends who can't handle a loss are making.

LOOK: Presidential Election Map

The Huffington Post | Timothy Stenovec | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

According to HuffPost Pollster's analysis based on hundreds of state and national opinion polls, the presidential election map for the 2012 race shows... Hour-by-Hour Guide to Election Night 2012

Sheri and Allan Rivlin | Posted 11.05.2012 | Politics
Sheri and Allan Rivlin

Will we see a 2012 Republican wave where Democrats are swept out because Barack Obama was elected to fix a broken economy and four years later the economy is doubtlessly still struggling?

Converting a Poll Average to a Forecast

Simon Jackman | Posted 12.30.2012 | Politics
Simon Jackman

As we enter the final week of the campaign, an obvious question to ask is how to convert the state-by-state probabilities of an Obama or Romney lead in the polls to probabilities that Obama or Romney will win the state and the election itself.

How Politics Influences Crowdfunding Behavior

Indiegogo | Posted 12.25.2012 | San Francisco

we wanted to investigate these political divides in the context of crowdfunding. Specifically, what similarities and differences are there in campaign and contribution behavior across red, blue, and swing states?

Alternate Realities: Red and Blue America Living in Different Universes

Howard Barbanel | Posted 12.19.2012 | Politics
Howard Barbanel

American mirror realities are not just manifested in the presidential candidates or the cable networks -- rather, they exist in real time on those red and blue electoral college maps and in all the endless daily tracking polls that have been showing the election as a dead heat for weeks now.

Why the Constitution's Framers Didn't Want Us to Directly Elect the President

Eric Black | Posted 12.17.2012 | Politics
Eric Black

The strange tale of how the electoral system came about puts some of its weird features into context. Once you get this context, it is at least understandable what the Framers thought they were doing.

10 Reasons Why the Electoral College Is a Problem

Eric Black | Posted 12.16.2012 | Politics
Eric Black

The Electoral College system further distorts the presidential campaign by causing the candidates to grant extra weight to the parochial needs of the swing states.

Our Electoral College System Is Weird -- And Not in a Good Way

Eric Black | Posted 12.15.2012 | Politics
Eric Black

The Electoral College system is pretty weird. No other country has anything like it (and bear in mind, every country with a written constitution has had the benefit of the U.S. precedent when they designed their own system).

Jason Linkins

Health Care Reform Reshuffles The Presidential Race | Jason Linkins | Posted 07.01.2012 | Politics

Your Speculatroners knew that we'd be leading off our wrap-up of this week in the 2012 campaign with a discussion of the Supreme Court's ruling on hea...

Jason Linkins

The Sorrows Of Young Jeb: The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For June 15, 2012 | Jason Linkins | Posted 06.16.2012 | Politics

During the primary season, it was impossible to ignore the loud lamentations from prominent GOP figures that the field of the pre-primary season was n...

Jason Linkins

In Wisconsin, Lessons Learned And Bridges Burned: The 2012 Speculatron Weekly Roundup For June 8, 2012 | Jason Linkins | Posted 06.08.2012 | Politics

Your mainstream media came out of Wisconsin with only one takeaway to their name -- that the Wisconsin recall election is a harbinger of the larger pr...

An Electoral College Tie: Far More Likely Than You Think

John Ziegler | Posted 06.17.2012 | Politics
John Ziegler

An electoral college tie is hardly far-fetched. It may even be likely. If this scenario were to transpire, it would mean that the newly-elected House of Representatives would chose the president.

Examining the Democratic Mechanisms of Political Parties

Matthew Lynch, Ed.D. | Posted 01.12.2012 | Black Voices
Matthew Lynch, Ed.D.

One could argue that the existence of different political parties makes little difference. This is because regardless of the initial political stance of the winning candidate or party, in most cases they will identify the same electoral issues and often adopt similar measures in response.

GOP Attack on Pa. Democracy

Sen. Daylin Leach | Posted 11.15.2011 | Politics
Sen. Daylin Leach

Elections in a democracy are sacred. Changing the rules created by our founders in order to benefit one political party is profoundly wrong. It desecrates our history and is a repugnant attack on the very core of our nationhood.

Popular Vote v. Electoral College (Why The Media Badly Needs A History Lesson)

Mark Nickolas | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Nickolas

It's painful to watch these fools -- they don't know how a five-point popular vote victory almost always translates when it comes to the only metric that matters -- the Electoral College. (Hint: landslide).

All That Campaigning? It Mattered

Seth Masket | Posted 05.25.2011 | Denver
Seth Masket

Political scientists have a difficult time showing campaigns actually affect votes. In a new paper, I found that had it not been for Obama's field offices, McCain would have won Florida, Indiana and North Carolina.

Sahil Kapur

Dem Advantage Over GOP Has Expanded Since Election: Gallup | Sahil Kapur | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

After seven months of controlling the White House and Congress, Democrats have slightly expanded their electoral advantage over the GOP, a new Gallup ...

The Politics of Realignment

Jerome Karabel | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Jerome Karabel

Barack Obama's victory could well be the third realigning election in the past century -- one that will be seen by historians as the beginning of an emerging Democratic majority.

Bob Novak Just Doesn't Get It

Brian Normoyle | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Brian Normoyle

The President-Elect flipped eight Bush states to the blue column and managed to get two states to elect a Democrat for President for the first time in nearly half a century.

The Morning After

Laurel Kaufer | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Laurel Kaufer

As we have heard from the analysts on both sides for much of the last month, this year we saw "the perfect storm" hit the Republican party in almost every conceivable way.

Obama's Big Bang in France

Beth Arnold | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Beth Arnold

The truth is -- and some Americans don't understand this -- the French also wanted the best for us.

Mandate for Change

Greg Saunders | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Greg Saunders

Barack Obama is under no obligation to govern like a centrist or temper his policy goals to accommodate a point-of-view that the American people have decisively rejected. Obama won. Elections have consequences.

Election Night, Do Not Concede: Open Letter Signed By Gore Vidal & Others

Linda Milazzo | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Linda Milazzo

It is reasonable to once again expect further manipulation on election night by some Republican officials, as in 2004; should we also expect Democrats to once again concede in the face of fraud?