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Exit Polls

The UnDemocratic Primary

Ben Spielberg | Posted 07.01.2016 | Politics
Ben Spielberg

In a recent piece in the New York Times, Nate Cohn laments "the steady drumbeat of tweets about how Hillary Clinton stole the presidential primary from Bernie Sanders." Cohn resisted writing about them for so long, he asserts, because he "didn't want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists."

90% of Wisconsin Democrats Think Sanders Is Honest, Compared to Only 59% Who Think Clinton Is Honest

Brian Hanley | Posted 04.05.2016 | Politics
Brian Hanley

When Hillary Clinton lost Michigan in one of the greatest political upsets in American history, only 58% of Democrats reported feeling that she was ho...

Republicans Are Mostly OK With Donald Trump’s Anti-Muslim Rhetoric

The Huffington Post | Natalie Jackson | Posted 03.13.2016 | Politics

Donald Trump defended his anti-Islam comments during Thursday night’s GOP presidential debate and in interviews afterward, saying “there’s treme...

6 Things New Hampshire's Exit Polls Tell Us About This Election

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 02.10.2016 | Politics

New Hampshire's primaries, which on Tuesday crowned a pair of outsider candidates in Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (I) and businessman Donald Trump, hav...

HUFFPOLLSTER: ‘Outsiders’ Won Big In New Hampshire

The Huffington Post | Natalie Jackson | Posted 02.10.2016 | Politics

Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire, marking a loss for the party establishments but a triumph for polling . There are few surveys to se...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Can Rand Paul Win The GOP Nomination? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 04.08.2015 | Politics

Pollsters consider the prospects for Rand Paul's candidacy. A plurality of Americans say current drug sentencing laws are too harsh. And Americans are...

Mark Blumenthal

HUFFPOLLSTER: Poll Shows Uptick In Obamacare Favorable Rating | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 03.20.2015 | Politics

The Kaiser Family Foundation finds an uptick in favorable impressions of the ACA. Pollsters begin to explain what they think went wrong in Israel. And...

Mandate: Nearly 60 Percent of Voters Worry About Climate Change

Keith Gaby | Posted 01.14.2015 | Green
Keith Gaby

The important lesson from all of this is that leaders in Washington shouldn't start believing their own press releases. Go ahead and claim voters endorsed everything you stand for, but don't start acting like it's true. The American people did not suddenly decide they don't care about clean air, clean water, and a healthy climate.

Why Kay Hagan Lost In North Carolina

Erik Ose | Posted 01.13.2015 | Politics
Erik Ose

During a presidential year with substantially higher turnout, Hagan more than likely would have been re-elected. When she won her first Senate term in 2008, Hagan outperformed Barack Obama in North Carolina by over 100,000 ballots, leading the statewide ticket with 2.25 million votes.

Ariel Edwards-Levy

5 Things The Exit Polls Tell Us About Tuesday's Elections | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 11.05.2014 | Politics

Exit polls for the 2014 midterms cast a spotlight on a pervasive sense of national discontent, offer some clues as to how the Republicans won so defin...

Ryan Grim

Voters Driven By Anger At Economy Reward Republicans At Polls | Ryan Grim | Posted 11.05.2014 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- With midterm election returns beginning to come in, Republicans are expanding their majority in the House of Representatives and picking...

Mark Blumenthal

Early Exit Polls Won't Tell You Who's Winning | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.04.2014 | Politics

Anyone watching Tuesday's midterms should be ready to settle in for a long election night -- a plethora of close races, slow ballot-counting in states...

Getting It Right About Exit Polling

Reese Schonfeld | Posted 07.23.2014 | Politics
Reese Schonfeld

I stand alone in proclaiming that exit polls got it exactly right in the 2000 Presidential Race. They reported just what they heard from the Palm Beach County voters -- that the voters had been foxed by the ballot either intentionally or unintentionally never entered their minds.

What You Think You Know About The Midterms Is Wrong

Margie Omero | Posted 06.10.2014 | Politics
Margie Omero

There is more to our past success--and failures--than simply getting more women, minorities and young people to the polls. Turnout doesn't exist in a vacuum, and demographics aren't destiny.

Why Did The Polls Miss McAuliffe's Margin of Victory?

Kristen Soltis Anderson | Posted 11.06.2013 | Politics
Kristen Soltis Anderson

With public polling averages indicating Terry McAuliffe would win yesterday's gubernatorial election in Virginia by at least a touchdown, many were surprised to see his Republican challenger Ken Cuccinelli come within three points of the win. So... what happened?

Gov.-Elect McAuliffe Can Thank Women, Unmarried Voters

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.15.2014 | Politics

Women and unmarried voters played a crucial role in Democratic businessman Terry McAuliffe's surprisingly narrow win in the Virginia governor's race o...

A Mandate -- For What?

Mary L. G. Theroux | Posted 01.15.2013 | Politics
Mary L. G. Theroux

President Obama claimed that his re-election gave him a mandate to increase taxes on those earning more than $250,000 a year because "the majority of Americans agree with my approach." But how can he know?

Mark Blumenthal

How Sandy Almost Knocked Out The Exit Polls | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.14.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Hurricane Sandy may have shaken up the final week of the 2012 presidential campaign, but few realize how close the storm came to crippli...

Dems Must Add Class Issues to Story of Election

Ira Chernus | Posted 01.13.2013 | Politics
Ira Chernus

It's always been taboo in America to talk about class. The Democrats are just beginning to talk about the divide between the rich and the rest of us. It's another big step to talk about the differences between those above and below the median income.

Why Obama Won the Post-Grad Vote

David Callahan | Posted 11.08.2012 | Politics
David Callahan

Why do the most educated Americans vote Democratic? The most familiar reason is that these voters tend to be more liberal on social issues, and Democrats speak to those views.

The Elephant in the Exit Poll Results: Most White Women Supported Romney

David C. Wilson | Posted 01.08.2013 | Politics
David C. Wilson

I think Nate Silver deserves a lot of credit for being one of the few "poll readers" willing to forecast a numeric probability of Obama's win before E...

Obama's Victory -- A Mandate for Liberal Government

Ari Melber | Posted 01.08.2013 | Politics
Ari Melber

President Obama's reelection marks the most decisive mandate for an assertive, progressive governing model in well over a generation.

Election Monitor: Memo to GOP: It's Not Just a Math Problem

Steve Lombardo | Posted 01.07.2013 | Politics
Steve Lombardo

President Obama captured reelection by running an entirely different campaign than the one he and his team executed in 2008, and his 2012 strategy fit the needs of the candidate -- and the times -- perfectly.

Tyler Kingkade

More Young Voters Cast Ballots Than In 2008 | Tyler Kingkade | Posted 11.07.2012 | College

NEW YORK -- Young voters represented a greater share of the national electorate Tuesday than four years ago, once again voting for President Barack Ob...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

Exit Polls 2012 (LIVE UPDATES) | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

As voting comes to a close throughout the country, exit polling results will quickly follow. Exit polls are conducted for the National Election Po...