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Nate Silver: Vox Just Writes 'Hot Takes' On Wikipedia Articles

The Huffington Post | Gabriel Arana | Posted 11.10.2015 | Media

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver is accusing Vox of participating in “hot take” journalism and basing its articles on Wikipedia entries. He has been ...

Kobe Bryant 'Freaking Sucks' Even More Than He Thinks

The Huffington Post | Juliet Spies-Gans | Posted 11.02.2015 | Sports

It's a sad day in Los Angeles when even Kobe Bryant can no longer shrug off his terrible offensive play. In the first three games of the 2015-2016 se...

Can An Astrophysicist Change The Way We Watch Sports?

FiveThirtyEight | Jacqueline Howard | Posted 10.29.2015 | Science

Truth No. 1: Most of us watch sports to see the unexpected. Truth No. 2: Plenty of us want to predict the future. Somewhere, where those two contradic...

Fandango's Movie Ratings Are Full Of Crap, Says FiveThirtyEight

The Huffington Post | Sara Boboltz | Posted 10.16.2015 | Entertainment

The website Fandango is an NBCUniversal subsidiary that provides both information about movies and tickets to go see movies. In retrospect, it's not h...

Catching Abortions Before They Happen?

Andy Watts | Posted 08.14.2015 | Religion
Andy Watts

While my Christian faith leads me to view abortion through the lenses of sadness, indignity, compassion, anger, hospitality, and generosity, I am equally disturbed by the willingness of Christians to so easily trade one moral value for another.

Why Does FiveThirtyEight Get Bernie Sanders So Wrong?

Liam Miller | Posted 08.12.2015 | Politics
Liam Miller

Here's the thing: Sanders is an anomaly -- which is to say -- he literally defies the rules. There are a lot of assumptions that go into making up those rules. Sanders has made a career out of challenging political norms and expectations.

What Nate Silver's Analysis Misses About 2016

Greg Speed | Posted 06.05.2016 | Politics
Greg Speed

Psychology matters in elections. Throughout my career I've seen how having confidence from start to finish impacts campaigns. Understanding your strengths puts the wind at your back. It emboldens candidates and allies, and energizes volunteers, donors and supporters. And it can set the stage for sweeping victories.

Big Data is Destroying Super Bowl Bar Bets

Mike Cassidy | Posted 04.08.2015 | Technology
Mike Cassidy

After weeks of buildup, hours of pre-game shows and the festival of football itself, you'd think that we'd pretty much be over the Super Bowl by now. But no. In fact, it turns out, that when it comes to the Super Bowl, it's all over but the crunching.

ABC News Taps Nate Silver For Election Coverage

The Huffington Post | Jackson Connor | Posted 11.04.2014 | Media

Elections are polling genius and FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver's bread and butter. In 2008 he famously predicted the winner of the presi...

8 Reasons Why the Only Person You Can Truly Rely On Is You

Danny Rubin | Posted 11.18.2014 | College
Danny Rubin

Success depends on us and what's on the inside. Same goes for your career. If you wait on other people to bring you good fortune... you'll be waiting a while.

Roger Pielke, Jr. leaves FiveThirtyEight, and What It Means for Changing the Media on Global Warming

Daniel Kessler | Posted 10.04.2014 | Green
Daniel Kessler

Our efforts aren't about shutting down debate. Quite the opposite. We're asking for a more robust debate that begins with an accurate accounting of the facts and greater accountability when things go wrong.

It's Time For World Cup Predictions!

FiveThirtyEight | Posted 06.09.2014 | Sports

FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup forecasting model uses ESPN’s Soccer Power Index (SPI) — a system that combines game- and player-based ratings to es...

Nate Silver Admits That Pretty Much Everyone Didn't Like Climate Change Piece

Posted 03.28.2014 | Green

Statistician Nate Silver acknowledged to Jon Stewart Thursday night that a climate change piece on his new site FiveThirtyEight was facing some seriou...

Statistics and Climate Science: Roger Pielke Missed the Mark

John P. Abraham, Ph.D. | Posted 05.27.2014 | Green
John P. Abraham, Ph.D.

In his inaugural post on Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight website, Roger Pielke Jr. put forth a number of arguments suggesting that many changes to extreme weather are not occurring as our climate changes.

Nate Silver Launches Bitter Attack On Paul Krugman

The Huffington Post | Jack Mirkinson | Posted 03.27.2014 | Media

Along with the Jets and the Sharks, and the Hatfields and McCoys, and the Giants and Dodgers, we can now add Nate Silver and Paul Krugman to the list ...

The New FiveThirtyEight Is Here!

The Huffington Post | Catherine Taibi | Posted 03.17.2014 | Media

The new FiveThirtyEight website is here. Nate Silver introduced his site with its first article Monday morning in a much anticipated relaunch equip...

Jason Linkins

Nate Silver Hates All The Right Things About The Political Media | Jason Linkins | Posted 03.06.2014 | Politics

In the upcoming issue of Time magazine, Jack Dickey will offer a feature on Nate Silver, whose FiveThirtyEight enterprise will soon become a semi-inde...

Jason Linkins

Nate Silver Was Apparently Really 'Disruptive' In The Way He Got Lots Of People To Visit The New York Times' Website | Jason Linkins | Posted 07.22.2013 | Politics

New York Times Public Editor Margaret Sullivan weighs in on this weekend's big media news -- the departure of polling guru Nate Silver from the Times ...

Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight Will Be Separate Site On ESPN

Posted 07.22.2013 | Media

It's official: Nate Silver confirmed on Monday that he's leaving the New York Times for ESPN. Silver announced the move on Twitter, confirming the...

Health Care And Entitlement Spending Eating Up The Federal Budget

Jeffrey Young | Posted 03.19.2013 | Business
Jeffrey Young

Government spending has risen a lot over the decades no matter who you measure it. A big share of the increase is due to -- you guessed it -- escalati...

Election 2012: The Wisdom of the Crowd

Leighton Vaughan Williams | Posted 01.26.2013 | Politics
Leighton Vaughan Williams

While an expert may know more than anyone else in the room, he is unlikely to know more than the room as a whole, to be wiser or cleverer than the crowd.

Prediction Markets: The Other Big Winners on Election Night

Leighton Vaughan Williams | Posted 01.08.2013 | Business
Leighton Vaughan Williams

Mr. Obama was a big winner on election night. But there were others. Statistical modelling was one such winner, and the other big winners were the prediction markets, which had it right all along.

Countdown Election

James Campion | Posted 01.06.2013 | Politics
James Campion

Nate Silver is a shrewd customer. In a way, this election is on him and his ilk. The geeks have taken over baseball and football and every inch of our country's computer landscape. Why not politics?

In Defense of Nate Silver: Pundits Reveal Their Misunderstanding

Paul Raeburn | Posted 01.23.2014 | Media
Paul Raeburn

Nate Silver is not a pollster. He is not polling people, but using data to make predictions. Similarly, weather forecasts are generally correct -- but not always. But when there is an 86 percent change of rain, most of us grab an umbrella. And we should.

Who Is Winning the Race for the White House?

Leighton Vaughan Williams | Posted 12.30.2012 | Politics
Leighton Vaughan Williams

The conventional wisdom is that the betting markets are pointing to the re-election of the president while the polls apparently have Mitt Romney as the narrow favorite. So what's the evidence?