It is easy to discount the idea of China becoming an innovation-driven world leader - but that could prove to be a dangerous strategic blind spot. Impossible? Many things are impossible, until they happen.
Attempting to definitively predict the future is a mug's game. But applying some imagination to today's weak signals and emerging technologies can enable us to paint plausible pictures of how the future might look, which we can factor into the strategic decisions we take today.
If you favor intelligence over strength, then think chess. Unlike some other games, chess does not rely on luck, muscular strength or brute force. It is a brain over brawn exercise and an exquisite art form that has existed for more than 1500 years.
I now know if I want to get there that I have to do the things that keep me on course, and I can't do the things that take me off course. Life is expanding. My vision is expanding. I know how to get there -- one step at a time.
How many of us have wished we could predict the future? To gaze into a crystal ball and see our fate in fifty years time? A group of agricultural researchers from around the globe are coming together to do just that, and examine the future of our food system.