Obama Suffers Opinion Poll Fallout From Iraq, Afghanistan Wars
Obama's approvals began high like Bush's but have now cratered dangerously close to Lyndon Johnson's when he abandoned a reelection bid....
Obama's approvals began high like Bush's but have now cratered dangerously close to Lyndon Johnson's when he abandoned a reelection bid....
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
What is the most important lesson to be learned from the emerging Daily Kos - Research 2000 polling scandal? Two prominent pollsters, Gallup Poll Edit...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
[Update: On Friday night, I linked to my column for this week, which appeared earlier than usual. It covers the controversy over Nate Silver's pollste...
Kristen Soltis | Posted 05.25.2011
If you think pollsters in the US have it rough - difficulty getting folks to agree to participate, difficulty finding good samples given the rise of c...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Both sides of the epic health care reform battle continued to invoke the view of "the people" over the last few days. A few hours after the bill passe...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Regular readers will recall that after ABC News polling director Gary Langer posted a new paper on a study conducted by a team of Stanford University ...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Gary Langer has a blog post up today worth reading in full, but I'll block quote two paragraphs to get you to read the rest. First, his lead: A deb...
Guest Pollster | Posted 05.25.2011
Douglas Rivers is president and CEO of YouGov/Polimetrix and a professor of political science and senior fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Instit...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Over the last few weeks, I had the chance to attend two different events that covered similar ground: a day-long conference on survey quality organize...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
"Told ya so." That's how ABC News polling director Gary Langer begins a blog post explaining that polls from ABC News predicted today's report of a 2....
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Somewhere during the conventions, I got out of the habit of posting these. So for those new to the site, here is a collection of links to "outliers" -...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Just yesterday, I expressed a bit of frustration that much of the recent media focus on the "Bradley-Wilder Effect." Much of it, and much of the debat...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
[Brought to you on Monday morning due to a Sunday evening power outage...] Gary Langer and the ABC Polling Unit chart Obama's ascent in delegates and ...
David Moore | Posted 05.25.2011
Today's Guest Pollster article comes from David W. Moore, a senior fellow with the Carsey Institute at the University of New Hampshire. He is a former...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Brian Schaffner unpacks the Michigan exit poll results that asked which candidate the respondent would have voted for if all the candidates had been o...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Gary Langer reviews the two new California polls on same-sex marriage and offers reasons why they produce divergent results. Kathy Frankovic thinks th...
David Moore | Posted 05.25.2011
Today's Guest Pollster article comes from David W. Moore, a senior fellow with the Carsey Institute at the University of New Hampshire. He is a former...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
As a wrap-up to my coverage of this year's annual conference of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR), here are links to all of...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Last week, Democratic pollster Mark Mellman used his column in The Hill to argue that one could use "same-poll to same-poll comparisons" to argue that...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Amidst the personal craziness last week, I neglected to link to two columns from network pollsters that provide some valuable data from the exit polls...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
As of this writing, the Pennsylvania Secretary of State reports that Hillary Clinton defeated Barack Obama yesterday by a 9.2% margin (54.6% to 45.4%)...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
I will be live-blogging here starting very soon on what the exit polls will have to tell us about the exit polls. More details to follow, but please f...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
We have been busy here over the last day or two, including links to 8 new polls that interviewed through Sunday night, so I am going to try use this p...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
On the eve of the Pennsylvania primary, here is one last update on the results by race, education and gender and measured by the Quinnipiac University...
Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011
Gary Langer averages airworthy national polls and considers coverage problems in a "global" poll. Kathy Frankovic pays homage to Phil Meyer's contribu...
Los Angeles Times | Andrew Malcolm | Posted 05.25.2011