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Generic House Vote

Another Poll Finds Democrats Facing Daunting Challenges For 2014

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 05.05.2014 | Politics

Democrats are likely to face a daunting challenge in November's midterm elections, according to a Pew Research/USA Today poll released Monday -- the l...

Mind the (Gender) Gap: How Women Can Stave Off Big Democratic Losses

Margie Omero | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Margie Omero

Make no mistake, more women will vote Democratic this November. That's been true in presidential elections since 1980, and it has been true nationally in House races in the last eight cycles examined.

The Gallup Poll's Bouncing "Generic" Ball

Margie Omero | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Margie Omero

Anyone following campaigns closely has seen the numbers and read the stories. Democrats are in trouble. One particularly salient point: last week's ...

Converting Gallup's Generic Ballot to Seats

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

On Saturday, political scientists at the American Political Science Association conference in Washington, D.C. will debut their models for predicting ...

Underestimating the Gallup likely voter edge?

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

The Gallup generic ballot has provided plenty of fodder with election analysts this summer. No clearer was the importance of the Gallup generic ballot...

Alan Abramowitz on turning House votes into seats

Brendan Nyhan | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Brendan Nyhan

Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz sent out a useful analysis today that he's given me permission to post: From fivethirtyeight.com...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 8/2-8)

Emily Swanson | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Emily Swanson

National Gallup 8/2-8/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ballot...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 7/26-8/1)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

National Gallup 7/26-8/1/10; 1,562 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Bal...

US: National Survey (Fox 7/27-28)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Fox News / Opinion Dynamics 7/27-28/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error 336 Democrats, 5% margin of error 366 Republicans, 5% margin of erro...

US: National Survey (Fox 7/13-14)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Fox News / Opinion Dynamics 7/13-14/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error 332 Democrats, 5% margin of error 343 Republicans, 5% margin of erro...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 7/5-11)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

National Gallup 7/5-11/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ballo...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 6/21-27)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

National Gallup 6/21-27/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ball...

Walmart Moms: Politically Swing, Economically Anxious

Margie Omero | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Margie Omero

This week my firm, along with Republican pollsters Neil Newhouse & Alex Bratty from Public Opinion Strategies, released a survey of women overall,...

US: National Survey (Harris 6/14-21)

Emily Swanson | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Emily Swanson

Harris 6/14-21/10; 2,227 adults Mode: Internet (Harris release) Update: Congress National Job Approval Pres. Obama: 6% Excellent, 33% Pretty Good, 2...

US: National Survey (NBC/WSJ 6/17-21)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

NBC News / Wall Street Journal 6/17-21/10; 1,000 adults, 3.1% margin of error 880 registered voters, 3.3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone intervi...

US: Generic Ballot (PPP 6/4-7)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Public Policy Polling (D) 6/4-7/10; 650 registered voters, 3.9% margin of error Mode: Automated phone (PPP release) National 2010 Congress: Generic ...

US: National Survey (Economist 6/5-8)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Economist / YouGov 6/5-8/10; 1,000 adults, 3.5% margin of error Mode: Internet (Economist release) National Obama Job Approval 44% Approve, 49% Disa...

US: National Survey (Fox 6/8-9)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Fox News / Opinion Dynamics 6/8-9/10; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error 373 Democrats, 5% margin of error 305 Republicans, 5% margin of error ...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup 5/24-30)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Gallup 5/24-30/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) National 2010 Congress: Generic Bal...

US: Generic Ballot (Rasmussen 5/24-30)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

Rasmussen 5/24-30/10; 3,500 likely voters, 2% margin of error Mode: Automated phone (Rasmussen release) National 2010 Congress: Generic Ballot 44% R...

Cell Phones and Coverage Bias

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Last Thursday the Pew Research Center released an analysis drawing on their extensive ongoing investigation of the impact of the growing cell-phone on...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 5/17-5/23)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

National Gallup 5/17-23/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ball...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 5/10-16)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

National Gallup 5/10-16/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ball...

AAPOR2010: Jeff Jones

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Today at the AAPOR Conference in Chicago, I interviewed Jeff Jones, managing editor of the Gallup Poll, on his work using the generic House vote to pr...

US: Generic Ballot (Gallup, Rasmussen 5/3-5/8)

Harry Enten | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Harry Enten

National Gallup 5/3-8/10; 1,600 registered voters, 3% margin of error Mode: Live telephone interviews (Gallup release) 2010 Congress: Generic Ballot...