iOS app Android app

Gnarus Advisors

Why Germany Can't Avoid a Larger Military Commitment to NATO

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.15.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Germany's position as Europe's leading economic and political power put Chancellor Merkel in an awkward position vis-a-vis how to address Vladimir Putin's extra-territorial activities.

Will Peace in Mindanao be Held Hostage by Politics in Congress?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 11.12.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

President Aquino has taken some bold moves during his presidency in an effort to achieve peace regarding the decades-long dispute over autonomy in Mindanao.

Can China's New Development Bank Succeed?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 10.26.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

If China will publicly stress the importance of good governance as an essential component of making the development process work, the AIIB has a chance of being successful, and may work well in generating significantly more financial resources for the region.

The Elusive Road to Peace in Colombia

Daniel Wagner | Posted 10.12.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Colombian President Santos staked his job on finalizing a peace agreement with the FARC guerrillas. Voters rewarded him with a mandate in June's run-off election, giving him a decisive victory over right-wing challenger Oscar Zuluaga.

Aquino Challenges Filipinos to Reject the Status Quo

Edsel Tupaz | Posted 09.29.2014 | World
Edsel Tupaz

Aquino's speech succeeded in reminding Filipinos of what can and should be an appropriate baseline for critique.

Circus Politics Is Alive and Well in the Philippines

Edsel Tupaz | Posted 09.25.2014 | Politics
Edsel Tupaz

The circus continues with the motion to impeach President Aquino, with opposition politicians having sharpened their knives in an attempt to draw some blood from the Teflon President.

Bahrain's Jihadist Dilemma

Daniel Wagner | Posted 09.18.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

Bahrain finds itself in an increasingly untenable position. If it misplays its hand, or events in the region outpace the government's ability to manage domestic politics, the Bahraini government could find itself facing a dire crisis in the near future.

Dilma Is Likely to Be Reelected, So Why Are Brazilians Celebrating?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 09.06.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

The wind appears to again be at Dilma Rousseff's back again, as Brazil's performance at the World Cup has virtually assured that she will be re-elected -- politics working as politics do.

Kenya, Corruption, and Terrorism

Daniel Wagner | Posted 08.18.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Kenya is too important to fail. The government knows it, and so donor governments. So its dependence on foreign aid will also continue. Let us hope that Kenya does not become part of the African Confederation of Failed States.

Al Qaeda's Growing Influence in Central Africa

Daniel Wagner | Posted 07.30.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Judging from the gains made by both Al Shabab and Boko Haram over the past year, the CAR and its neighbors should be concerned.

Can the Peace Dividend Last in the Philippines?

Edsel Tupaz | Posted 05.31.2014 | World
Edsel Tupaz

Whether this Agreement has real traction and can be duly implemented will be a front burner issue in the 2016 presidential election, and President Aquino has staked significant political capital on achieving lasting peace in Mindanao.

Asia and Air Security

Daniel Wagner | Posted 05.17.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

As has unfortunately been the case in the past, it is now taking such a tragedy to focus minds, governments, and budgets, on the problem. If this incredible story results in positive change, at least the victims of MH370 will not have died in vain.

The Geopolitics of Gay Rights in Uganda

Daniel Wagner | Posted 05.06.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

Last week's passage into law of the controversial anti-gay bill in Uganda puts the country among an elite club of nations noteworthy for their backpedaling on human and civil rights. As a host of a U.S. military presence, Washington has long viewed Kampala as a strategic ally in Central and East Africa.

Ukraine: Putin, Pride and Ports

Daniel Wagner | Posted 05.02.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

The de facto expropriation of Crimea by Russia raises serious questions about the perceived legitimacy of the new government in Kiev, ethnicity in Ukraine, Russian history, Russian pride, and Russia's ability to project its power in the future.

Turkey and Iran's Growing Alliance

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.23.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

Declaring a desire to stand "shoulder to shoulder" with Iran in combating terrorism, and driven by Turkey's evolving policy toward Syria, Erdoğan's trip highlighted Ankara and Tehran's tendency to pursue mutual interests when their paths cross.

Nostalgia for the Past Won't Cure Greece's Ills

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.23.2014 | Politics
Daniel Wagner

With just a few months until the upcoming double elections in Greece, the political system has never been more in a state of flux across the political spectrum.

Putin's Sochi Challenge

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.07.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

While Mr. Putin may rightly bask in the light of his many accomplishments in foreign policy, and having presided over the energy boom that thrived during much of his first term in office, he is now faced with some serious issues that cast a pall over Sochi.

Can 'Peace' Last in the Philippines?

Daniel Wagner | Posted 04.05.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Can the latest Framework Agreement create meaningful political space and perceived political participation that is inclusive enough for Christians and Muslims alike in the governance of resource-rich Mindanao?

Myanmar's Lady vs. The Dragon

Daniel Wagner | Posted 03.26.2014 | World
Daniel Wagner

Speculation remains high in Myanmar as to if and when opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi will travel to China, which was one of the strongest supporters of the previous military government and remains highly influential in the country's affairs.