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Electoral Math: Trump Collapses

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.18.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

There is an excellent chance that when Republicans look back at the 2016 presidential election, this will be the week they'll point to when Donald Trump completely collapsed.

2016 Electoral Math -- Clinton Continues Her Rise

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.10.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Hillary Clinton has almost completely regained the lead she held in mid-August. Percentage-wise, Clinton now holds 65 percent of the Electoral College, to Trump's 35 percent.

2016 Electoral Math -- Hillary Begins Her Debate Bounce

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.04.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

It's time to take a look at the presidential race once again, and I have to begin with a program note. Up until now, I've been writing these columns every two weeks, but from now until the election, they'll appear each Monday like clockwork, since the race is about to head into the homestretch.

Hillary's Shrinking Lead

Chris Weigant | Posted 09.20.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Hillary Clinton's lead in the race for Electoral College votes is shrinking. In fact, it has been shrinking for a solid month now. Two weeks ago, this hadn't really benefited Donald Trump much. Now, however, Trump seems to be surging in the polls while Hillary slides even further.

The Best of the Best at VRLA Summer Expo

Jesse Damiani | Posted 09.13.2016 | Technology
Jesse Damiani

We've been dreaming about virtual reality for a long time. So long, in fact, that some are skeptical that it's really here to stay.

2016 Electoral Math -- Hillary Slides Back

Chris Weigant | Posted 09.06.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

As things stand, Clinton still has a healthy 58 percent of the total, while Trump has 37 percent. In two weeks, Clinton has lost eight points while Trump gained three points. The extra five points is now in the tied category.

2016 Electoral Math -- Hillary Moves Up

Chris Weigant | Posted 08.23.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Hillary Clinton wins with a landslide of votes in the Electoral College. Clinton's percent of the total is 66.5, roughly twice Trump's 33.5 percent. Currently, no states are tied.

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2016

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.03.2017 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama just had a very good month in the polls. Not spectacular, mind you, but still better than any month since January of 2015. Essentially, Obama regained the job approval polling ground he lost over the previous two or three months.

Obama Poll Watch -- June, 2015

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.01.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

What July will bring is anyone's guess, in other words. Obama wound up down for the month when the monthly averages were calculated, but they could very easily go right back up again in July.

Obama Poll Watch -- April 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.05.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama has gained back all the ground he had lost and then some (well, "and then a little bit more" would be more accurate...). He still hasn't quite made it back to where his poll numbers were before the Obamacare website rollout, but if the trendlines continue in May, he is at least within reach of this goal for the first time since October.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2014

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.02.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama's job approval polling was down a bit last month, ending three months of positive news. He didn't slip back much, but the reversal does bring up a serious question: is Obama stuck in a "new normal" of job approval numbers in the low-40s range?

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2013

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.03.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

President Obama lost almost all the ground he had gained late in the 2012 election season. He hit a new low in approval and a new high in disapproval for his second term, as the honeymoon bounce completely evaporated.

Obama Poll Watch -- December, 2012

Chris Weigant | Posted 03.04.2013 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama is currently enjoying not only a vacation with his family in Hawai'i, but also a "second honeymoon" with the public at large. If history is any guide, the fiscal cliff deal could create another wave of approval on top of the "second honeymoon."

Final Electoral Math -- My 2012 Election Picks

Chris Weigant | Posted 01.23.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Today, we're just going to throw caution to the wind, and go ahead and predict the outcome of tomorrow night's returns.

2012 Electoral Math -- Debate Effects Remain to Be Seen

Chris Weigant | Posted 12.08.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

National polls have pulled back into a neck-and-neck contest. This is all fun for the pundits, who (pre-debate) were on the verge of declaring the race all but over (and, hence, boring), but we hasten to remind everyone that this is not how we elect presidents.

2012 Electoral Math -- Obama Solidifies Bounce

Chris Weigant | Posted 11.26.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Of course, we are heading into debate season, so things could always change, but at the moment it is looking decidedly good for an Obama win. Here's how the election would break down if held today.

2012 Electoral Math -- Pre-Convention Baseline

Chris Weigant | Posted 10.22.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Now is a good time to look at the state of the race, to establish a baseline to measure all this expected frenzied movement.

Obama Poll Watch -- November, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.04.2012 | Politics
Chris Weigant

This month Obama poll watchers got some good news, and some bad news. This was capped off by the Washington punditocracy making a stupid comparison between polling for Obama and Carter.

Obama Poll Watch -- June, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 09.05.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

[Program Note: Last month, we ran this column four days before the end of May, due to travel plans. We promised we'd update the preliminary numbers i...

Obama Poll Watch -- May, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.27.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

"What a difference a death makes." President Obama announced at the very beginning of the month that Osama bin Laden was dead, and his poll numbers reacted almost immediately.

Obama Poll Watch -- April 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.04.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

April was a pretty miserable month for Barack Obama, mostly due to the high price of gasoline at the pump. But May is already shaping up to be one of Obama's best months ever, for one very obvious reason.

Obama Poll Watch -- March, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.04.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

While catastrophic world events dominated the news for most of the month, Obama's approval rating was being hit with a creeping domestic problem -- the rising price of gasoline.

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2011

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

When taken month-to-month, January, 2011, was Obama's best month of his entire presidency. Not only did he finally get his bump -- but it was a truly significant bump.

Obama Poll Watch -- December, 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama once again charted an unbelievably stable month in terms of approval ratings. The mildly good news was in his disapproval rating, which dropped significantly over the course of December.

Obama Poll Watch -- October 2010

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Obama's approval rating ended the month on somewhat of an upswing, at 46.1 percent.Obama's approval rating stayed remarkably steady all month long.