Karzai has retreated from many ideological and political positions in the face of recalcitrant events and shifting context. The most irreconcilable are his opinions about the Taliban as well as his views on the role of the U.S. in Afghanistan.
Washington and Kabul have, for endless months, been performing a strange pas de deux over the issue of American withdrawal. The less Karzai complied, the more Obama administration and Pentagon officials betrayed an overwhelming need to stay.
In the annals of U.S. foreign policy, Afghanistan stands as a typical case where a flawed military strategy has sidelined viable political solutions. Washington incentivized war through perks and privileges, and four-star promotions and undermined peace efforts. The U.S. has had a war strategy, but no political strategy or a clear exit strategy.
If one wants to see the real face of America's declining power abroad, look no further than Karzai's Afghanistan or Maliki's Iraq.
Does America even have a national security strategy? I ask because the Pentagon is getting ready to promulgate the latest version of same in the forthcoming Quadrennial Defense Review. And the Obama Administration has given off some big conflicting messages over the past year.
All parties in this conflict including the U.S., Afghan, and Pakistani governments and their battlefield adversaries are complicit in undermining peace.
Karzai's public jousting with Washington over the accord may have raised his stature with the Afghan public, disproving the hoary Taliban claim he is just a U.S. puppet. It has certainly focused Afghans on the real dangers of going it alone.
Karzai is reportedly making serious overtures to the Taliban, no doubt offering them a power-sharing agreement. Whether he will be successful in achieving this in the waning days of his presidency remains an open question.
No one can fail to be awed by, and to appreciate, the sergeant's courage and sacrifice. But what was he sacrificing for?
As many as 35,000 displaced persons are now living in the slum areas in Kabul alone. The fire in the Chaman e Babrak camp extended to adjacent homes, swiftly rendering nine families homeless in the midst of already astounding poverty.
If healthily engaged, India could help in understanding the concerns of sections of the world that are often underrepresented, and be a valuable partner in growth as geoeconomics shift.
Obama and his advisors have the primary task to define and assert the American national interest. Afghanistan is not the place. What have we gained after more than 12 years?
From the point of view of the interests of the majority of Americans, it's win-win for Karzai to stand tall. If Washington calls his bluff, U.S. troops come home and we win. If Washington caves to Karzai's demands, the peace talks start and the war starts to wind down.