It is that time of year again when analysts are asked to put on their thinking cap and try to predict what the coming 12 months may hold for some the more troubled regions of the world. This is by no means a simple exercise.
The future of the Arab World, whether seculars like it or not, is going to be in the hands of Islamic parties-- at least -- for the foreseeable future. This trend, just like Arab nationalism before it, will not last forever.
The majority of the 80 million people of Egypt live in abject poverty. They go to kiosks to make calls. A substantial number have never used the internet. They are not twittering -- they are out on the streets giving vent to three decades of anger.