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There Are No Bellwether Counties

There Are No Bellwether Counties

Adam Obeng  04.26.2016
Wouldn't it be nice if we could dispense with all polling's expense, effort, and risk? Maybe there's a group of people so in-tune with...
Madame President: Changing Public Attitudes About a Woman President

Madame President: Changing Public Attitudes About a Woman President

Kathleen Weldon  03.18.2016
From the earliest days of public opinion research, polls have been documenting the country's shift from rejection to skepticism to acceptance...
HUFFPOLLSTER: A 'Seismic Shift' Among Voters May Have Won Cruz The Caucus

HUFFPOLLSTER: A 'Seismic Shift' Among Voters May Have Won Cruz The Caucus

Natalie Jackson  02. 3.2016
Early analysis shows Iowa polls may have missed the Republican results because they were simply too early. New Hampshire seems stable,...
HuffPollster: Iowa Caucus Results Show Polling Miss, But Don’t Stun Pollsters

HuffPollster: Iowa Caucus Results Show Polling Miss, But Don’t Stun Pollsters

Natalie Jackson  02. 2.2016
Polls missed the Iowa GOP race, but came much closer for the Democratic race. And pollsters say they're not surprised they got it wrong....
HUFFPOLLSTER: Clinton And Trump Lead As Iowans Prepare To Caucus

HUFFPOLLSTER: Clinton And Trump Lead As Iowans Prepare To Caucus

Natalie Jackson  02. 1.2016
It’s caucus day in Iowa! Here’s what to watch and what the polls show. We also take a look at where New Hampshire stands eight...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Marco Rubio Could Be An Iowa Surprise… Or Not

HUFFPOLLSTER: Marco Rubio Could Be An Iowa Surprise… Or Not

Natalie Jackson  01.29.2016
The Iowa caucuses “almost always yield surprises,” according to a leading pollster. Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton might...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Donald Trump Is Pulling Ahead In Iowa, But Needs Record Turnout To Win

HUFFPOLLSTER: Donald Trump Is Pulling Ahead In Iowa, But Needs Record Turnout To Win

Natalie Jackson  01.28.2016
Both Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump need high turnout in order to win in Iowa. Americans don’t see much difference between candidates’...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Sanders Within Half A Percentage Point Of Clinton In Iowa

HUFFPOLLSTER: Sanders Within Half A Percentage Point Of Clinton In Iowa

Natalie Jackson  01.27.2016
The HuffPost Pollster average shows a nearly tied race on the Democratic side in Iowa. A candidate's religiosity matters to GOP voters,...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Bernie Sanders' Chances In Iowa Depend On Convincing His Supporters To Vote

HUFFPOLLSTER: Bernie Sanders' Chances In Iowa Depend On Convincing His Supporters To Vote

Natalie Jackson  01.26.2016
Polling shows that Bernie Sanders’ supporters are less likely to turnout for the Iowa caucus than Hillary Clinton’s. The Iowa...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Trump And Clinton Lead, But Iowa Polling Remains Volatile With A Week To Go

HUFFPOLLSTER: Trump And Clinton Lead, But Iowa Polling Remains Volatile With A Week To Go

Natalie Jackson  01.25.2016
Donald Trump has regained the lead in Iowa but things can still change. On the Democratic side, young voters could tip the caucus toward...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Bernie Sanders Has A 72 Percent Chance Of Winning New Hampshire…Or A 43 Percent Chance

HUFFPOLLSTER: Bernie Sanders Has A 72 Percent Chance Of Winning New Hampshire…Or A 43 Percent Chance

Natalie Jackson  01.15.2016
Nate Silver’s primary election forecasts highlight just how uncertain the outcomes are this time. A boom of polling in Iowa and...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Predicting Who Will Vote Is A Huge Challenge For Pollsters And Campaigns

HUFFPOLLSTER: Predicting Who Will Vote Is A Huge Challenge For Pollsters And Campaigns

Natalie Jackson  01. 8.2016
A new Pew study tackles the difficult task of determining likely voters. Americans favor Obama's proposal for gun background checks, but...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Here’s What You Need To Know About The First Republican Primaries As 2016 Begins

HUFFPOLLSTER: Here’s What You Need To Know About The First Republican Primaries As 2016 Begins

Natalie Jackson  01. 1.2016
WHY IOWA, NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTH CAROLINA MATTER - Keith Gaddie and Kirby Goidel: “On February 1, 2016 the first presidential nominating...
HUFFPOLLSTER: Republican Presidential Candidates Top The Year’s Polling Stories

HUFFPOLLSTER: Republican Presidential Candidates Top The Year’s Polling Stories

Natalie Jackson  12.23.2015
1. REPUBLICANS GOT A RECORD-SIZED PRIMARY FIELD The year started with speculation that former Florida governor Jeb Bush would enter the...