Like never before, 2016 voters tell pollsters how much they dislike the major political parties and their presidential candidates. Will these voters support a third-party candidate? Voters routinely tell pollsters this too, yet it rarely works out that way in November. But one classic work of political science tells us which voters are really open to independent candidates, and how pollsters can gauge this support in real-time.
Between now and March 26, voters who are feeling the Bern in Arizona, Utah, Idaho, Washington, Alaska and Hawaii have a once-in-a-lifetime chance to prove the pundits wrong by propelling Sanders toward victory in Philadelphia. We need our strongest fighter in the ring this fall. That fighter is Bernie Sanders.