iOS app Android app

Ivr

Automated or Not?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My National Journal column for this week looks at the failure of one pollster, Insider Advantage, to disclose whether it uses live interviewers or an ...

Cell Phone Interviewing in Florida

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

A South Florida Sun Sentinal article on the impact of the rising use of cell phones on surveys includes this bit of news: The Quinnipiac Universit...

Hard to Reach Younger Voters: Can Weighting 'Fix' the Problem?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My column this week looks at the controversy over a series of surveys conducted by SurveyUSA for the liberal web site Firedloglake.  Please click...

Column: Too Many Automated Polls Now? Just Wait

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My column today considers the proliferation of inexpensive automated surveys and two developments that promise to fuel even more growth: Two companies...

So What's a Likely Voter? Answers from Rasmussen and PPP

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I spent the morning at Midterm Election Preview panel discussion sponsored by our competitor colleagues at the CQ Roll Call Group that featured pollst...

How Did the Polls Do in 2009?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I had intended to post a "quick" summary of what Tuesday night's results say about how the polls did, but like a thread pulled on a sweater, my outlin...

'Can I Trust This Poll?' - Part I

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

What makes a public opinion poll "scientific?" If you had asked that question of a random sample of pollsters when I started my first job at a polling...

Does IVR Explain the Difference?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I am pondering two somewhat related questions this afternoon, but both have to do with national surveys conducted using an automated ("robo") methodol...

Crowley: Survey Says

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

The New Republic's Michael Crowley has produced a nearly 4,000 word must-read on the new and changing world of polls, pollsters and polling websites i...

Trends in Party Identification in Wisconsin

Charles Franklin | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Charles Franklin

This week my colleague Ken Goldstein and I conducted a Wisconsin statewide survey sponsored by the UW Department of Political Science and WisPolitic...

More Cell Phone Survey News

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

"Numbers Guy" Carl Bialik has a nice round-up of the latest developments in the "steady displacement of landline usage by cellphones" that is pushing ...

Predictive Accuracy of the 2008 Pennsylvania Primary Pollsters

Guest Pollster | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Guest Pollster

Berwood Yost is Director of The Floyd Institute's Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College. Kirk Miller is B.F. Fackenthal Professo...

The North Carolina Polling Roller Coaster

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My NationalJournal.com column, on those wildly variant automated polls in North Carolina from Public Policy Polling (PPP), is now online. A few additi...

MS: Demographics and Vote by Race

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

For those who will be watching results from the Mississippi primary tonight, here is a breakdown of the demographics of recent surveys as well as the ...

SurveyUSA's 50 States with Sampling Error

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

There has been a considerable buzz over the last two days about the surveys released yesterday by SurveyUSA that test both McCain-Obama and McCain-Cli...

Dueling Gallups, Part III

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

I am crashing on a deadline for my National Journal column, but want to pass along the analysis just posted by Gallup about the differences in their r...

SurveyUSA Report Cards: A Correction

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

A week ago, I linked to two new pollster "report cards" prepared by SurveyUSA (one for all pollsters, one for the 14 most active this year), based on ...

The Gallup Daily

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Earlier today, I participated in a blogger conference call with Gallup's Frank Newport, in which he talked about their latest surveys in California an...

South Carolina: Why So Much Variation?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

We've had quite a bit of discussion today in the comments section about the wide variation in results from the South Carolina polls. Reader Ciccina no...

"Please Stop Calling This Customer"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Washington Post polling director Jon Cohen reported an easily overlooked but important statistic yesterday, especially to anyone thinking about the re...

National GOP Contest: Why are ABC/Post & Rasmussen So Different?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

A suggestion from alert reader and frequent commenter Andrew: I write to suggest that you analyze the huge discrepancy between the latest Rasmu...

Kentucky Governor: Undecided or Still Trying to Decide?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

The latest automated SurveyUSA poll in the Kentucky Governor's race provides us with one of those classic conflicting poll stories that we just love ...

NYT: New Limits on Automated Calls?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Today's New York Times gives prominent play to a story on bills working their way through various state legislatures across the country to crack ...

Rasmussen's Democrats -- Don't Tell Mama?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Both Mickey Kaus and Chris Bowers at MyDD noticed that Rasmussen Reports has been showing a much closer race on their automated national tracking of ...

Majority Watch Mashup

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Picking up on the post from earlier tonight, the new Majority Watch surveys released today provide another strong indicator of recent trends, in this ...