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Mark Mellman

Learning From 2014 and Turning to 2016: Democrats Still Need a Compelling Economic Message

Sheri and Allan Rivlin | Posted 02.22.2015 | Politics
Sheri and Allan Rivlin

The greatest mystery of the 2014 mid-term election is the question of why all of our leading analysts knew how important it is for Democrats to have a compelling economic message aimed at middle class voters, and yet we managed to get to the end of the election cycle without coalescing around an effective narrative.

Ariel Edwards-Levy

Twitter Launches Ambitious Political Project

HuffingtonPost.com | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 08.01.2012 | Politics

While political junkies fret about the growing number of voters that are effectively out of reach of many traditional polls, Twitter is taking on vote...

Dan Froomkin

'Overwhelming Mass Of Money' May Swamp Congressional Races

HuffingtonPost.com | Dan Froomkin | Posted 03.17.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Political spending by deep-pocketed donors and cash-rich corporations threatens to sow chaos in this year's congressional races, politic...

Cristina Costantini

Experts: Latino Voters Don’t Care About Immigration As Much As Politicians Think

HuffingtonPost.com | Cristina Costantini | Posted 12.04.2011 | Latino Voices

“I don’t care about immigration – I just don’t,” said Chiqui Cartagena, VP of Corporate Marketing for Univision. The audience giggled. Thre...

Should the House Democrats Have Changed Coaches?

David Berri | Posted 05.25.2011 | Sports
David Berri

Two different studies in sports economics indicate that leadership doesn't make much difference in an organization's performance. But does this apply beyond sports?

For the Strength of Rosie the Riveter: Make It in America

Leo W. Gerard | Posted 05.25.2011 | Business
Leo W. Gerard

Shuttered factories and off-shored manufacturing are sapping American strength. Manufacturing needs help, and with unemployment stuck at 9.5 percent, so do the American people. "Make it in America" is that aid.

Sam Stein

Dem Pollster: Don't Expect Obama Bump From Health Care

HuffingtonPost.com | Sam Stein | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

When Bill Clinton addressed a crowd of mildly despondent progressives at the Netroots Nation conference this past August, he made a prediction. If hea...

Massachusetts Senate: Did Brown Move Early or Late?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My column for this week examines an argument made last week by Mark Mellman, pollster for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), that po...

Massachusetts Reaction Roundup

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

A round-up of Pollster-centric reactions to the Massachusetts results: This Boston Herald lead speaks volumes: "High turnout in Bay State 'burbs and a...

Health Reform: So What Happens Now?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

So "what happens now" to President Obama's job approval rating, especially in the event that the health care reform legislation passes into law next m...

The Return of "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Somewhere during the conventions, I got out of the habit of posting these. So for those new to the site, here is a collection of links to "outliers" -...

Bush Calls Mugabe "Undemocratic"

Michael Carmichael | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Michael Carmichael

As a former advisor to Morgan Tsvangirai, I want to offer observations on the recent attempt by President Bush to appear less despotic than the reviled president of Zimbabwe, Robert Mugabe.

What's Up With The National Polls?

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Last week, Democratic pollster Mark Mellman used his column in The Hill to argue that one could use "same-poll to same-poll comparisons" to argue that...

A Pollster Takes Me to the Cyber-Woodshed on Colombia and the Drug War: I Respond

Arianna Huffington | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Arianna Huffington

Writing in The Hill, pollster Mark Mellman took me to the cyber-woodshed yesterday. Mellman claims that Lockheed hired him to produce "a serious study on the underexplored subject of drug policy." Very noble of Lockheed.

"Outliers" for April 9

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

David Hill ponders the fall of Mark Penn and the reasons why "pollsters are the red-haired stepchild of politics when it comes to holding truly signif...

"Outliers" for April 2

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Gary Langer averages airworthy national polls and considers coverage problems in a "global" poll. Kathy Frankovic pays homage to Phil Meyer's contribu...

"Outliers" for 3-28

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Kathy Frankovic explains the utility of panel-back surveys for measuring change, and shares more data on their follow-up survey on Obama's speech on r...

"Outliers" for 3-19

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Poblano puts up a new site (538) that aggregates polls weighted with a "reliability rating." Gregory Nini and Glenn Hurwitz produce a statistical mode...

Spring Forward "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Kathy Frankovic considers the Democratic superdelegates in the context of "poll after poll" showing Americans' "desire to have elected officials liste...

Mississippi Results Thread

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Official exit poll tabulations will be posted momentarily (as the polls close) at these links: MSNBC CBS CNN I'll live blog to the extent that n...

Friday Night "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Los Angeles Times' editor Don Frederick thinks pollsters are doing better, yet the paper closes down its own polling operation. The Providence Journal...

Last week's "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

(Left over from last week due to a weekend spent at a family gathering...) Chris Ison and Rob Daves look closely at the dearth of pre-caucus polling i...

Pre-President's Day "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

The Hartford Courant's Joann Klimkiewicz examines the problems of polling in 2008. Kathy Frankovic shares her skepticism over polls to tells us which ...

Sleep Deprived Post-Super Tuesday "Outliers"

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

Regular readers should note that I added an update this afternoon with more thoughts on the Response from Frank Newport. Now on to this week's "outlie...

New Hampshire Polling Snafu: Bibliography

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

With his column in The Hill this week, Democratic pollster Mark Mellman becomes the latest pollster to weigh in on the various theories behind the pol...