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Mark Blumenthal

Poll Accuracy Held Steady In 2010

HuffingtonPost.com | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- For all the challenges facing pre-election polls -- and there are many -- the average accuracy of statewide surveys last year matched th...

Disclosing the 'Field House'

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My post on methodological disclosure by pollsters earlier this week reproduced list of "minimal (Level 1)" information that members of the National Co...

Minimal Disclosure and Pollster.com

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My column today concludes with the argument that news media outlets, including Pollster.com, need to do a better job holding pollsters to the minimal ...

Strategic Vision: Back, But Not Here

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

They're back. As reported yesterday by Politico, Strategic Vision, LLC posted results** from what they claim is a survey of Georgia. As per our previo...

'Can I Trust This Poll?' - Part III

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

In Part II of this series on how to answer the question, "can I trust this poll," I argued that we need better ways to assess "likely voter" samples: ...

AAPOR's Report: Why 2008 Was Not 1948

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

As someone who writes about polling methodology, I consider last week's report from the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) on th...

Comment of the Day

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

From "joejoejoe," regarding yesterday's release of a new national survey from CNN/ORC: Here's the headline to the CNN story that accompanies the po...

More Recollections of Warren Mitofsky

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

My colleagues at the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) have put up a web page tribute to Warren Mitofsky. It includes photos a...