As we enter the final week of the campaign, an obvious question to ask is how to convert the state-by-state probabilities of an Obama or Romney lead in the polls to probabilities that Obama or Romney will win the state and the election itself.
It's time to fight like hell for the party of the center-right, represented by Barack Obama, against the party of the far right. There is no alternative. It's a time for progressives to be disappointed and resolute.
Obama is strong in the Rockies and weak in the Appalachians. His map is tilted to the west. He may well win Col. and even Nev. in the general election but how does that balance against Ohio, Penn. Fl.?