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Polling Accuracy

Natalie Jackson

Why Can't Pre-Election Polls Just Get It Right? | Natalie Jackson | Posted 07.02.2014 | Politics

As we move through primary season this summer, we've seen some shocking and unexpected outcomes. Why didn't we know that House Majority Leader Eric Ca...

Mark Blumenthal

Who's The Best Pollster? Not So Fast | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.09.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- A day or two after an election, those who follow politics closely like to ask, "Who was the best pollster?" That's a great question, ...

Mark Blumenthal

How Did The Polls Do? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- How did the polls do this year? And who was the most accurate pollster? While crowning a polling "winner" can be a dubious proposition o...

Can I Trust This Poll? Part II

Mark Blumenthal | Posted 05.25.2011 | Politics
Mark Blumenthal

There's a clash between traditional and new polling methods. Here, I review the philosophies at work behind efforts to evaluate polls and offer a few suggestions about what we can do to assess whether poll samples are truly representative.