iOS app Android app

Pollster Analysis

Mark Blumenthal

Romney, Gingrich In Florida Dead Heat In New CNN Poll | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.25.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- A new poll from CNN/ORC International confirms that Newt Gingrich has surged in Florida, but unlike some of the other polls released ear...

Black Americans: Less Stress, More Self-Esteem, Yet More Worries?

Margie Omero | Posted 03.26.2012 | Politics
Margie Omero

Are there racial differences in self-reported stress and self-esteem? Perhaps, suggests a great survey released this week by the Washington Post and the Kaiser Family Foundation.

Mark Blumenthal

New Poll Confirms Gingrich Florida Surge | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.25.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Newt Gingrich's improbable late January surge appears to be rolling into Florida, as a new poll confirms that victory in the South Carol...

Mark Blumenthal

Gingrich Pulls Even With Romney In National Poll: Can Newt Win? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.23.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Does the stunning, come-from-behind victory by Newt Gingrich in the South Carolina primary signal a "paradigm shift" in the Republican r...

Mark Blumenthal

GOP Power Outsiders Resist Newt, Prefer Mitt | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.21.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Although he appears headed to victory in Saturday's South Carolina primary, Newt Gingrich faces skepticism from grassroots Republican ac...

Mark Blumenthal

Two New S.C. Polls Point To Gingrich Blowout | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.29.2013 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Two new telephone polls concluded on the eve of the South Carolina primary not only confirm continuing momentum toward Newt Gingrich; th...

Mark Blumenthal

Newt Surging? Yes, But Expect The Unexpected | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.20.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The polling trends of the last week, both nationally and in South Carolina, indicate that the race for the Republican presidential nomin...

Screwdriver 'Outliers'

Posted 01.20.2012 | Politics

Reid Wilson makes the case that the GOP nomination is still Romney's to lose. Steve Benen calls boasts about a "new ceiling" for Romney misguided. ...

Forget the Primary: All Republican Candidates Are Unpopular

Margie Omero | Posted 03.20.2012 | Politics
Margie Omero

The latest New York Times/CBS poll shows that all the remaining Republican candidates are unpopular with voters nationally. No wonder Republican primary voters continue to be dissatisfied with their choices.

Mark Blumenthal

Polls Show Newt Surging In South Carolina | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.19.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Six new polls released on Thursday reveal a stunning surge of support for Newt Gingrich in South Carolina's Republican primary, followin...

Mark Blumenthal

Is Romney's Lead In South Carolina Narrowing? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.29.2013 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- A new survey of likely Republican presidential primary voters in South Carolina released on Wednesday shows the same overall result as n...

Second Place in NH Democratic Primary Goes to...Ron Paul?!

Michael P. McDonald | Posted 06.18.2012 | Politics
Michael P. McDonald

We all know that President Obama won his party's primary in New Hampshire. What you may not know is that Obama only won 79.5% of the vote. Second place in the New Hampshire Democratic primary went to Ron Paul.

Mark Blumenthal

Mitt Romney Still Ahead In New South Carolina Polls | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.13.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Three new surveys of South Carolina Republicans, all conducted since Tuesday's New Hampshire primary, show that the week's events have s...

Trend And Variation 'Outliers'

Posted 01.13.2012 | Politics

Jon Bernstein counts endorsements, sees gains for Romney; Seth masket has more; Bernstein recommends we ignore poll results on the value of endorsemen...

Mark Blumenthal

Romney's Gain In National GOP Polls: Why It Matters | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.12.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Over the past week, Mitt Romney's support in the Gallup Daily national tracking poll on the Republican nomination rose above 30 percent ...

New Hampshire Primary Forecasts Obama Reelection

Helmut Norpoth | Posted 03.13.2012 | Politics
Helmut Norpoth

For the record, the Primary Model, with slight modifications, has predicted the winner of the popular vote in all presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996.

Mark Blumenthal

Can Romney Hold Conservatives In South Carolina? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.11.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Mitt Romney's solid victory in New Hampshire, judging from the network exit poll, can be credited to two factors that made the state esp...

Mark Blumenthal

Local Republican Insiders Like Romney, Question Santorum | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.10.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Last week, political junkies focused on Rick Santorum's surge to a virtual tie in the Iowa caucuses, and this week most are watching the...

Election Monitor: Why Romney's Win in NH Will Be Bigger Than You Think

Steve Lombardo | Posted 03.11.2012 | Politics
Steve Lombardo

The last 48 hours have been horrendous for Mitt Romney, but I think Romney is going to win big today in NH, crossing the 40% threshold and become the first non-incumbent GOP presidential candidate to ever win both Iowa and New Hampshire.

Mark Blumenthal

Final New Hampshire Polls Find Mitt Ahead, Uncertainty In Runners-Up | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.10.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- If ever there were a time when polls should be certain about something, it is that Mitt Romney will win New Hampshire's Republican presi...

Emily Swanson

Mitt Romney Gains Ground In National Polls | Emily Swanson | Posted 01.09.2012 | Politics

Although most eyes are fixed on New Hampshire on the eve of the first-in-the-nation primary, new polls released Monday by the Pew Research Center and ...

Mark Blumenthal

New Hampshire Polls: Is Huntsman Surging? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 07.29.2013 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Four new polls released over the weekend continue to show Mitt Romney heading for a comfortable victory in Tuesday's New Hampshire prima...

Mark Blumenthal

New Hampshire GOP Activists Unmask Invisible Primary (VIDEO) | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.08.2012 | Politics

CONCORD, N.H. -- In the run-up to the New Hampshire primary, local GOP activists have made choices that parallel those of the state's ordinary Republi...

Mark Blumenthal

New Hampshire Polls: Mitt's Support Steady | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.07.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- After finishing in a near-tie with former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum in the Iowa Caucuses on Tuesday, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney...

Mark Blumenthal

Romney Ahead In South Carolina, But Santorum's Rising | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 01.06.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- While the news media focus on next week's Republican primary in New Hampshire, three new polls from South Carolina show how close former...