As we wend our way through the Republican primary season, at times predicting the outcome of a single state's race is very hard to do. At other times, it is actually pretty easy. Florida looks to be one of the latter.
One of the many frameworks for understanding the human brain is as a prediction machine. We evolved to be able to model, most unconsciously, complex future scenarios in our brain and to generate predictions about which of these scenarios is likely to occur.
As we close the door on 2011, nutrition and wellness -- the pursuit of optimal health -- continues to lead the country as an issue and major challenge. Looking ahead, there is much to be hopeful about, and a few things to watch out for.
I think 2012 will be a year where a lot more general market media will jump onto the English-media-for-acculturated-Hispanics bandwagon, and as a result, the healthy competition among platforms will positively impact quality and revenue.
Almost every analyst agrees that it is too soon to say with much confidence whether President Obama will win in November. However, both theory and data suggest that the conservatism of his opponent is likely to matter less than Nate Silver's model suggests.