iOS app Android app

Presidential Polls

Clinton Tops Presidential Favorites Poll

The Huffington Post | Mollie Reilly | Posted 02.18.2013 | Politics

Just in time for President's Day, a new poll shows Bill Clinton topping New Jersey residents' list of favorite presidents. In a Monmouth Universit...

Mark Blumenthal

How The Obama Campaign's Polls Got It Right | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.21.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Summing up the lessons learned from a massive investment in data and technology, Obama campaign manager Jim Messina has a blunt message ...

Mark Blumenthal

How Sandy Almost Knocked Out The Exit Polls | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.14.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Hurricane Sandy may have shaken up the final week of the 2012 presidential campaign, but few realize how close the storm came to crippli...

Mark Blumenthal

After Obama, Models And Survey Science Won The Day | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 02.12.2013 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- While the election's biggest winner was President Barack Obama, the other victory on Tuesday night went to the careful application of re...

Ariel Edwards-Levy

Exit Polls 2012 (LIVE UPDATES) | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

As voting comes to a close throughout the country, exit polling results will quickly follow. Exit polls are conducted for the National Election Po...

Mark Blumenthal

Final Polls: Obama Leads | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- As millions of voters head to their polling places across the U.S., the final round of pre-election polls finds a close race nationwide,...

Mark Blumenthal

Exit Polls: There's One Thing They Won't Tell You | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- If you care about politics and spend a fair amount of time online, odds are good that sometime between 5 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. Eastern time...

Why Aren't You Voting?

The Huffington Post | Carol Hartsell | Posted 11.05.2012 | Comedy

Registered voters, likely voters, undecided voters... they're all anyone is talking about leading into tomorrow's election. But what about that other ...

Mark Blumenthal

The Polling Cake Is Baked: Obama Lead Holds In Battleground States, Inches Up Nationally | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.06.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- With just one day remaining in the 2012 race for president, the polling picture is now virtually complete. President Barack Obama contin...

Mark Blumenthal

Presidential Polls 2012: Obama's Battleground Advantage Holds | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.03.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The veritable fire hose of data turned on in the final days of the 2012 campaign leaves little doubt that while the national popular vot...

Mark Blumenthal

Four Days To Go: Obama's Swing-State Margins Hold | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.03.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- As the presidential campaign enters its final weekend, the polling snapshot remains essentially unchanged. President Barack Obama and Re...

Mark Blumenthal

An Old Poll Rule That Won't Save Romney | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.02.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- President Barack Obama continues to hold narrow leads in a handful of battleground states that will likely decide the election, but some...

Is Romney's Lead With Independents a Mirage?

Nick Gourevitch | Posted 01.01.2013 | Politics
Nick Gourevitch

2012-11-01-pollster.jpgHow can two polls show the same top-line result (50 percent - 50 percent) with such different party identification advantages?

Election Monitor: 5 Days to Go and Trend Model Says Romney Wins Popular Vote

Steve Lombardo | Posted 01.01.2013 | Politics
Steve Lombardo

With five days to go before the election, it is now pretty clear that Mitt Romney will likely win the national popular vote for president. The only remaining question is whether the president's Midwest firewall will hold.

Mark Blumenthal

Could The Swing State Polls Be Wrong? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.01.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The countdown to Election Day continues, and the pace of polling in the battleground states has increased. But the main findings remain ...

Mark Blumenthal

New Polls Show Obama's Ohio Edge Holding | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 11.01.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- With less than a week remaining before results are counted, the presidential race remains remarkably close, with President Barack Obama ...

Amid Statistical Dead Heat, Voters Predict Obama Success

Reuters | Posted 12.30.2012 | Politics

* Obama has advantage among early voters * Polling mostly done before hurricane By Andy Sullivan WASHINGT...

Sabrina Siddiqui

Romney Has Trouble Closing Gender Gap | Sabrina Siddiqui | Posted 10.30.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- Mitt Romney has not closed the gender gap in the final days before the election, despite recent reports that President Barack Obama no l...

Presidential Race Tied, New Poll Shows

The Huffington Post | Ariel Edwards-Levy | Posted 10.29.2012 | Politics

President Barack Obama is tied with Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney at 47 percent among likely voters, according to a poll released Monday...

Mark Blumenthal

Will Hurricane Sandy Disrupt Presidential Polling? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 10.29.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- As Hurricane Sandy headed for the East Coast over the weekend, pollsters found little change in voter preferences in the race between Pr...

Obama Extends Lead Over Romney: Poll

Reuters | Posted 12.28.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON, Oct 28 (Reuters) - President Barack Obama has extended his narrow lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among likely voters in a r...

Mark Blumenthal

A Look At 2012 Polls: Who's Really Ahead? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 10.29.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- With the campaign between President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney entering its final 10 days, interest in...

Emily Swanson

Polling vs. Frankenstorm: How The Weather May Cloud Election Picture | Emily Swanson | Posted 10.26.2012 | Politics

With Hurricane Sandy potentially set to hit wide swaths of the East Coast, Frank Newport, editor-in-chief of the Gallup poll, suggested Friday that th...

Mark Blumenthal

National Tracking Polls: A Romney Uptick? | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 10.26.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- The national tracking polls released on Thursday had a rare moment of apparent convergence, with most showing Republican nominee Mitt Ro...

Mark Blumenthal

Romney Still Surging? Polls Say No | Mark Blumenthal | Posted 10.26.2012 | Politics

WASHINGTON -- New polls released on Wednesday and Thursday continue to show President Barack Obama holding narrow leads in a handful of critical battl...