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Primary Season

My Final Primary Picks

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.06.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

One poll exists from New Mexico, but it is really too old to be very informative. Back in late February, Clinton was up over Sanders by 14 points (47 to 33 percent). That's not much to go on now, though.

Feeling the Bern, From Beginning to End

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.01.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

I can now say I have felt the Bern, from beginning to end. I have seen how the Bernie revolution began and I have also seen it entering the homestretch of campaigning during the primary season, one short week before California and a few other states become the last to vote.

Democratic Primary Home Stretch

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.16.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

We're really in the home stretch of the Democratic primaries now, as the last few territories and the last eight states will all be voting in the upcoming weeks. Tuesday night, Oregon and Kentucky will weigh in, and then the last six states (who, for some unfathomable reason, all decided to go last this year) will finally get a chance to vote.

Trump Triumphant

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.04.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

It is now official. Seventeen candidates ran for the Republican presidential nomination, and the sixteenth of these just suspended his campaign. This leaves Donald Trump as the last man standing.

A Trump Retrospective

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.02.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Today, I'm offering up my own clip show as a retrospective for how we all got to where we stand today: on the brink of Donald Trump essentially wrapping up the Republican nomination for the highest office in the land.

Calling Tomorrow's Primary Races

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.25.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

The nation's smallest state will vote tomorrow night. Not a whole lot of polling exists here, but it's pretty clear on the Republican side. Donald Trump will sail to victory here, with a huge margin. John Kasich looks to take second, with Cruz far behind.

New York State of Mind

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.18.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Tomorrow's New York primary will be the decisive one, the pundits tell us. It will join a long list of other primaries and caucuses which were also deemed to be the crucial one which would decide the whole race.

Competing Perceptions of the Republican Race

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.11.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

How it all turns out is anyone's guess at this point, but at least one Republican faction will be able to say "we told you so" at the end of the process. The questions are who is going to be right, and what it will mean for the party going forward.

Predicting Tuesday's Primaries

Chris Weigant | Posted 03.14.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Calling Florida is pretty easy, on both sides of the aisle. Hillary Clinton will dominate, continuing her sweep of the South. The big news here, however, is going to be Donald Trump beating Marco Rubio in his home state.

Friday Talking Points -- The Dog That Didn't Bark at the GOP Debate

Chris Weigant | Posted 03.11.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

We had two Democratic debates and one Republican debate last week. The GOP one was shocking -- because nobody said anything shocking! Yes, that's truly how far the Republicans have sunk -- to the Sherlockian level of the dog not snarling in the night being the big news.

My Super Tuesday Picks

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.29.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Tomorrow's the big night, whether you prefer to call it Super Tuesday or the "SEC Tuesday" (because of all the Southern states). So rather than scramble to get this out before the polls close tomorrow night, I'm posting all my primary picks today.

My Picks for Nevada (D) and South Carolina (R)

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.17.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Yes, we've got two primary races to be decided this Saturday, in two different states and two different parties. Democrats in Nevada and South Carolina Republicans will both vote on the same day, for no real logical reason. Let's take a look forward to Saturday's races.

'New Hampshire' Episode 6: Always First, Sometimes Right

The Huffington Post | Scott Conroy | Posted 02.17.2016 | Politics

After emerging during the early 20th-century Progressive Era, the New Hampshire presidential primary celebrated its 100th anniversary in 2016. Much h...

My New Hampshire Picks

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.08.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

It is time once again to peer deeply into my somewhat-foggy crystal ball, and attempt to pick the winners of tomorrow night's New Hampshire primary. Before I get to that, though, some old business needs to be brought up. First, we have some very recent old business and then some truly ancient business, so bear with me.

My Iowa Predictions

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.01.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

The primary season officially gets underway tonight, as Iowa voters brave the winter weather and head to the caucuses. This will give political wonks some actual hard data to discuss, instead of just opinion polling and sheer speculation, so it's a big day on the political calendar for us.

The Iowa Homestretch

Chris Weigant | Posted 01.25.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

At this point, both races are so close in Iowa that nobody really knows what will happen next Monday night. Will the polls turn out to be correct? Nobody knows. Will enthusiasm trump (pun intended) longtime voter turnout?

Feeling the Bern

Chris Weigant | Posted 07.23.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Bernie Sanders, to put this another way, doesn't need a focus group or a poll to tell him what he ought to stand for. He already knows what he stands for, and he'll freely tell you exactly what that is.

Santorum and Pataki Jump In

Chris Weigant | Posted 05.27.2016 | Politics
Chris Weigant

As with all the other candidates who have officially thrown their hats in the ring, today we will take a serious look at Santorum and Pataki, and attempt to predict what their chances for victory could be.

My Favorite Reality Show: The Primaries Begins With Hillary's Launch

Diane M. Francis | Posted 06.13.2015 | Politics
Diane M. Francis

My favorite reality television series -- the U.S. Presidential Primary Season -- is about to begin with this weekend's expected announcement of Hillary Clinton's candidacy.

Tea Party's Influence on the Wane?

Chris Weigant | Posted 06.28.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

Over the course of the next two months, the Tea Party movement may become to be seen (to mix a few metaphors) as more of a paper tiger than the tail that wags the Republican dog. To put it a little more concretely, the Tea Party may be losing some of its outsized influence over the Republican Party.

Tea Party Primary Problems

Chris Weigant | Posted 04.26.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

This year, several Tea Party challengers seem to be crashing and burning early in the process. This could be very good news for the Establishment Republican wing of the party. Rather than have a candidate implode in the general election, when candidates self-destruct before the primary then they never become the nominee in the first place.

Will Boehner Move On Immigration Reform?

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.15.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

There seems to be an interesting round of speculation taking place in Washington over whether Speaker John Boehner will move on immigration reform in the House next year, and (if so) when he would do so.

Friday Talking Points -- Republican Sandwich Filling Hits The Fan

Chris Weigant | Posted 02.12.2014 | Politics
Chris Weigant

One bit of minor calendar news before we get on with it: for the next two weeks, this column will be on hiatus. Instead, it will be pre-empted by our annual awards columns where we note the notable and laud the laudable from the past year.

Romney Seeks an America More Like China

Ted Kaufman | Posted 05.12.2012 | Politics
Ted Kaufman

I've heard some surprising things from candidates during this primary season, but Mitt Romney's answer last Friday to a question about government regulation was in a league of its own.

Primary Season Could End In Conservatives' Dream

RealClearPolitics | Posted 04.10.2012 | Politics

For many conservative Republicans, the dream outcome of the primary season is a brokered convention. Disappointed in the four remaining choices, they ...