The historical data used to assign weights in polling surveys come from 2008, an anomalous year with unprecedented turnout in the Democratic primary.
Polls show that Trump and Texas Senator Ted Cruz are neck and neck in Iowa; so securing just a few additional votes may mean victory. That is where former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin comes in.
Bernie Sanders will win the first four contests of the 2016 Democratic Primary for the same reasons he won the endorsements 170 economists, MoveOn.org and The Nation. Furthermore, Sanders dominated the latest Democratic debate because he's never had to evolve from a conservative vantage point, towards a progressive stance
Ten weeks -- ten weeks from today puts us in mid-March. And by the time we reach mid-March, we shall have a good sense of the outcome of the GOP presidential primary. Predictions are always a hazardous undertaking yet their allure may be irresistible.
The Trinity matters because it creates an early opportunity to seize momentum, demonstrate viability and garner media attention.
For all the attention now being given to the fiercely contested contest between Romney and Santorum in Ohio, Gingrich's expected win in Georgia could partially upstage them.
What are we saying to the young people of this country when our top elected officials are allowed to behave as if they're on a reality show? And, wher...
Once faced with voters who have some sympathy for people who came here from abroad, Romney changes his tune. His reputation for being someone who will say anything to become president is well deserved.
In the absurdity that has become the Republican Primary we have increasingly had to look to comedians to make sense of the whole mess, by exposing hypocrisy and speaking truth to power.
"We must have certainty in South Carolina that zombies aren't voting," Rep. Alan Clemmons has testified at a hearing into claims that more than 950 people who voted in the recent elections could actually be dead.
Now that Saturday has passed? Forget it. South Carolina will be lucky to see a presidential candidate in the next four years. The state and its voters effectively don't matter now they have made their choice.
Let's reverse the damage the Supreme Court's decision has done to our electoral process and make our individual votes count just as our forefather's intended.
The GOP right wants a warrior who takes no prisoners, and they have one in Newt. He doesn't care who he offends, what lies he tells or what facts he mangles, and he does it with a highfalutin' air of know-it-all superiority.
Polling data from South Carolina and Florida suggests that Tea Party and evangelical voters may finally be coalescing around a candidate, and that candidate is Newt Gingrich. Which is interesting, because as many people have noted he does not seem to make obvious sense for either group. But these voters don't care that Gingrich was a Washington insider, or has a record on family values that would give pause to one of the Borgia popes. They don't really care that he contradicts himself, or says wild things. So what is going on? Simple. Gingrich does not share the evangelical or the Tea Party voters' values -- he shares their resentments.
They will criticize Obama's clean energy programs and sprinkle in fossil fuel buzzwords like Keystone and drilling. But their complaints can't cover the fact that they have no fresh ideas, no innovation, and no groundbreaking vision for America's energy future.
Why does our species take delight in seeing our gods tumble? When it comes to Romney -- or Gingrich who, let's not forget, is a multimillionaire thanks to influence peddling with Freddie Mac et al -- it's the shameless hypocrisy.