The gap between Labour and the Conservatives is far too small, but a lot of people live and die in that gap. If we, the anti-Tory majority, cast our ballots smartly, we will strip Cameron of a majority.
Brits didn't exactly flock to the polls in record numbers for last Thursday's election, but after the results left us in limbo for five days we've been refreshing Twitter and news feeds like it's going out of style.
In a previous post at pollster.com I explained the model we have developed with politicshome. Nate Silver has since posted a lengthy critique of our approach, which I will respond to here on behalf of the team.