Omid Memarian

Omid Memarian

Posted: May 13, 2009 09:03 PM

Foreign Policy 101: What President Obama Could Learn From the Release of Roxana Saberi!

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For President Obama, who already has shown his desire to talk to Iranian leaders, there is no foreign policy lesson more helpful than that of Roxana Saberi's case of arrest and release. It shows how the Iranian government functions and could teach the United States how to speak to hard-liners in Tehran. These lessons are:

1- Everything in Iran is impossible, and at the same time, anything is possible. One day you can be accused of espionage for no apparent reason, go to prison and three months later you could walk free, simple as that. On the contrary, you can go to prison under the same conditions and reason (like the case of Silva Harotonian who has been jailed since June 2008, simply, for working for an American NGO) and stay in prison for years. It all depends on many different factors. Uncertainty rules!

2- The Iranian political system is a modern structure, yet, it functions tribally. It has a modern constitution and a separation of powers. Everyone is due legal council and a fair and just trial. According to the Iranian constitution Saberi should never have been arrested, charged with espionage or been sentenced to 8 years in prison. In addition, according to the same constitution, the President has no authority to interfere in the judiciary's cases. However, it seems that president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad bends this very constitution in situations that serve him politically.

3- Just in case there was a belief that the Iranian intelligence services were actually operating efficiently, the truth is out. Nothing more than the arrest and release process of Roxana Saberi's case, the way in which Iran's intelligence services and judiciary operates, reveals their incompetency, lack of intelligence, inefficiency and lacking rule of law. There is a secret about the Iranian society; it is that there are no secrets in Iran. Culturally, Iranians cannot keep secrets. So, there is no need to send spies to Iran; it's a wasted investment.

4- Things get done in Iran when there is a camera before President Ahmadinejad. Back channels never work with the Iranian government, at least with the current administration. But put Ahmadinejad on centerstage and expect unbelievable results; like the release of the 15 British naval personnel in 2007 that were captured in the Persian Gulf and released when Ahmadinejad stepped in.

5- The U.S. and Iran are in a love-hate relationship. Iranians love the U.S, no doubt about it. They'll do whatever they can to get the U.S. government to talk with them. President Obama did not respond to Ahmadinejad's courageous congratulatory letter he sent to him upon his election to presidency. The Obama administration also did not even speak to Iranians when Obama shook hand with Ahmadinejad's buddies Hugo Chavez, or Evo Morales when lifting part of the embargo against Cuba. Mr. President (Obama) you should respond to Ahmadinejad's letter. Just send a response that opens with a poem of Hafiz or Rumi, and see how it goes. When you do not pay attention to these gestures, somethings could go wrong in this world. That's why direct talks with Tehran are the best way to keep harm to a minimum.

6- Negotiating with the Iranian government is tough. Not because of the complexity of the issues involved, but because of the differences in the very style of the languages in which these two parties converse. The Persian language is like poetry. It's ambiguous, vague, and multi-directional, and more importantly, dramatic. Therefore, it is not always clear to distinguish what they mean from what they say. This combined with an obsessive sense of bargaining among Iranians makes any negotiations torturous for those non-Persian speakers. Because of this you can't anticipate anything; so it's best to just engage.

7- In Iran, unlike many Western countries, going to prison based on politically motivated charges is an honor and prisoners are treated as heroes in their society. Most of the distinguished and popular politicians, academics and human rights activists who have voices within the Iranian society have tasted prison. Even Iran's 2003 Noble Peace Prize Laureate spent 23 days in prison in 2000, all the while regularly receiving death threats.

8- The more the Obama administration engages with Iran, the more it puts pressure on the Iranian government to act responsibly. The more the light is shown on the Iranian officials heads, the less recklessly they will act. The Iranian government is sensitive to international embarrassment. Particularly when their actions glean nothing in return.

9- The Iranian government is smart on it's own terms. The Roxana Saberi case diverted the attentions of the international community from the increasing number of arrested activists and students in Iran. These individuals have faced much more unfair and unjust trials and have spent more time in prison than Saberi. Today there are at least 4 Iranians imprisoned because of their involvement with U.S. agencies or universities, like the Alaie Brothers and Silva Harotonian, all of whom have been held for 7 months to a year for nothing but cooperating with and or working for projects that were funded by the U.S. State Department. Yet, U.S. Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, never mentioned their names over the course of these past two months. So, "The Iranian gesture and the relief for Ms. Saberi and her family should not be overstated."

Ahmadinejad's role in the game of Roxana Saberi's case has not only forced President Obama to engage in talks with Iran, but it also forced his praise for their humanitarian gesture.

10- And the last lesson; Iran, regardless of its obsessive and narcissistic President, does act logically under certain conditions. Yes, they want to be in charge, yet they can and will compromise on some major issues. The language of threat and force has never worked with Iranians it is apparent and yes, Amadinejad's government has fostered bad PR for the Iranians through the reckless actions of the Iranian government damaging the image of their country. But remember, there is a presence of wise men among Iranian authorities that made the release of Roxana Saberi possible. They know that the more the U.S. engages itself with one of the most vibrant societies in the Middle East, the more the wise voices of Iran will be heard.

 
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- kitkatborn I'm a Fan of kitkatborn 45 fans permalink

A very sensible article. I hope Obama reads this one.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:17 AM on 05/14/2009

President Obama responding to President Ahmadinejad's letter would be a big step in the right direction in the path to engagement. However, what the Obama administration fears, in my opinion, is engaging in direct dialogue with President Ahmadinejad too quickly. Let us not forget that Ahmadinejad is continuously harsh towards Israel, the US' "closest" ally in the Middle East. For now, President Obama is reaching out to the Iranian government as a whole, as the Islamic Republic of Iran. With baby steps, he may reach out to individuals such as the President of Iran, whoever that may be after this coming Iranian presidential election.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:17 AM on 05/14/2009
- Macready I'm a Fan of Macready 60 fans permalink

thank you for posting . . . very interesting article . . I really do wish Obama has responded to Ahmadinejad's letter of congratulations . . . it was a big mistake not to . . Iran is showing willing . . . in some areas . . . dialogue is the way to continue . . . Obama must show "far" . . . hope I have spelt that correctly . . . it is what all good heads of state must have . . . it is a respect for the law, care and concern for the people . . . all the things that were lacking in the previous administration . . . and have been lacking since the 1950s in US/Iranian relations . . .

It would be a good move for Obama to read "Shahnameh" . . he would discover what the Iranians mean by far . . .and Obama does have far . . he just cannot be derailed by our pro-israeli congress

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:43 AM on 05/14/2009
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Wow, this reminds me of the work of Gudykunst and Kim in the field Intercultural Communication.

When I read their work in the mid 90s I thought that the world would turn out a lot better than it has - with intercultural sensitivity to the fore, rather than intercultural insensitivity. If only the neocons had studied this sort of stuff instead of Machiavelli, Hobbes, and Leo Strauss!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 03:06 AM on 05/14/2009
- louisamast I'm a Fan of louisamast 13 fans permalink

Omid, I am very disappointed that there is no mention of the journalists currently held in prisons indefinitely without charge in the US. Unlike Saberi they have never received any media coverage or legal representation. http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2009/05/11/journalists/index.html

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 02:31 AM on 05/14/2009

Louisamast, this article is about foreign policy. Granted, the issue of journalists' rights in the US is important, but not relevant to an article about how to deal with Iran. It's like trying to sort out the conflict in Darfur while also talking about gun violence in America - both are bad, but not relevant to fixing the other.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 09:33 AM on 05/14/2009
- johnsonc20 I'm a Fan of johnsonc20 32 fans permalink
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Eau contraire, Isabelle, it is relevant because it is important for Americans to realize that they are not immune to the same sorts of abuses within their own country - giving us some humility when dealing with others and some impetus to make our actions match our words. One thing that is remarkable is that Americans mostly don't realize how hypocritical we appear to the majority of the world. It is precisely because hypocrisy such as this is rarely pointed out in the media and our natural chauvinism goes unchecked.

Since you bring up the Darfur issue, a relevant comparison is how our outrage over Darfur is viewed in the Islamic world - as long as we maintain our current policy in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Palestine we lack credibility in telling other countries how to mind their affairs with regard to civil wars. We need to clean up our act if we expect others to do the same.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:13 AM on 05/14/2009
- Solaris123 I'm a Fan of Solaris123 17 fans permalink
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"What President Obama Could Learn From the Release of Roxana Saberi!?"
That it is possible to put serious pressure on Iranian police state, especially if applied quietly but firmly. And mostly behind closed doors.

Now about that fatwa against Sir Salman Rushdie....

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:13 AM on 05/14/2009
- ljmck I'm a Fan of ljmck 5 fans permalink

Appreciate all the information very much.

An honest question: Should we think that the U.S. government made some sort of concession?

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:11 AM on 05/14/2009
- Indra I'm a Fan of Indra 6 fans permalink

You forgot to mention one very important item. The CIA and other intelligence agencies are always recruiting reporters and whoever else they can to spy on Iran. Do you doubt what I say? Basically you and everyone else has forgotten the other side of the story.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:42 PM on 05/13/2009

Saberi's defense lawyer has admitted she was in possession of a classified government document relating to the US invasion of Iraq. A pretty serious charge you would think. That makes her release all the more surprising. I wonder what would happen to an Iranian journalist arrested in the US for possessing a classified national security document. An interesting thought experiment don't you think?!

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 10:01 PM on 05/13/2009
- sol313 I'm a Fan of sol313 2 fans permalink

This is why all the posters making a big stink about how Amnesty Int'l. thinks she's innocent don't get it. Her own defense lawyers have admitted the case wasn't as cut and dry as it was made to seem. What's sad is that Memarian still seems oblivious to this fact in his post.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 11:46 PM on 05/13/2009
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Reality has trumped your suppositions. The human rights groups which smelled a rat from the beginning were absolutely right. That document, which Saberi gave to the IRI, was not the basis for her arrest and was no smoking gun. Here's the link for Saberi's interview http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=104612989 Every particular of the case shows there was nothing of substance against Saberi.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 12:25 PM on 06/02/2009
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"TiversaCEO Bob Boback said ... one of his employees discovered engineering and communication documents about the Marine 1 fleet had been downloaded to an IP address in Iran."

http://www.wpxi.com/news/18818589/detail.html

Possessing details about Marine 1 fleet seems like a pretty serious security breach yet no high profile arrests were made after this story broke and the White House reaction seems to be pretty subdued.

Maybe each country is trying to create a space where some productive communication can occur.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 05:59 AM on 05/14/2009
- Rog49Thomas I'm a Fan of Rog49Thomas 192 fans permalink

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/secret-war-report-led-to-spy-charges-for-roxana-1684051.html

Yes, but we all know (or should) that we are doing the Lord's work on earth and the Iranians sadly are doing the Devil's work.

So anything we do is OK.

Anything they do is bad.

It's very simple and simple-minded logic.

    Favorite    Flag as abusive Posted 07:33 AM on 05/14/2009
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