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Otaviano Canuto

Otaviano Canuto

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The Food Price Threat to Poor Continues

Posted: 04/15/11 04:24 PM ET

Groundbreaking events are adding to the list of things pushing up food prices. Erratic weather in key grain exporting countries, the increasing crop use for biofuel production, export restrictions, and low global stocks, have been key contributors to the spike. Now, it is also linked to surging fuel prices connected to events in the Middle East and North Africa. Crude oil, for instance, increased 21 percent in the first three months of 2011, pushing food prices up because it raises the cost of inputs needed in agriculture, among other things.

According to the World Bank's Food Price Watch, a brief we just released tracking food prices and poverty trends, global food prices are 36 percent above their levels a year ago and remain volatile, close to their 2008 peak. Key staples going through the roof include maize (74 percent), wheat (69 percent), soybeans (36 percent) and sugar (21 percent).

For some of us, expensive food might mean we spend more money in the supermarket, but for millions of people around the world, it is a real threat. The poor spend most of their money on food. So think about Mexicans, whose daily diet includes a good amount of tortillas. Or a family in Mauritania trying to get enough bread amid the 40 percent wheat price increase of the last year.

In addition to poor people being less able to afford a good meal, more people are now poor because of higher food prices. Since last June, an additional 44 million people became extremely poor, living under U.S. $1.25 a day. And we now calculate that a further 10 percent increase in global prices could drive an additional 10 million people to poverty, while a 30 percent food price hike could lead to 34 million more poor. We still don't know with certainty what's going to happen because of price volatility, but what we can do and must do is help and protect the vulnerable.

We need to focus social assistance and nutritional programs on the poorest people, invest more and better in agriculture, address climate change and remove grain export restrictions, which can increase prices in the importing countries. Relaxing biofuel mandates when food prices exceed certain limits should also be on the agenda because this could reduce the demand for food crops.

It is all about putting food first!

For more about the food crisis, click here

 
Groundbreaking events are adding to the list of things pushing up food prices. Erratic weather in key grain exporting countries, the increasing crop use for biofuel production, export restrictions, an...
Groundbreaking events are adding to the list of things pushing up food prices. Erratic weather in key grain exporting countries, the increasing crop use for biofuel production, export restrictions, an...
 
 
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This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
09:56 PM on 04/16/2011
If it is food security for the poor you are after, I suggest teaching them how to grow their own. But there really isn't any incentive in that, for the World Bank, is there? Its harder to get a self-supporting people living close to the land to pay interest payments, especially interest on loans that require things like industrial agriculture, which are a ruin to the land, and reinforce local and global hierarchies. I agree we should put food first. But if by that you mean industrial corn, wheat and soybeans, then the World Bank is reinforcing the likelihood of widespread famine.

www.offthegridmpls.blogspot.com
09:55 AM on 04/17/2011
We do have programs targetted at raising production by small farmers. Better infrastructure would also reduce the waste incurred by producers/consumers facing bad logistics
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Just19Percent
The People's Cube: Guaranteed Equality of Results
06:15 PM on 04/16/2011
I seem to vaguely recall a Charlton Heston movie from the early 1980s; something about a popular staple, and the almost limitless supply of its main constituent...
11:51 AM on 04/16/2011
Groundbreaking events in how food prices are soaring? Groundbreaking? Really? Where have you've been? Hiding in the shadows of the world bank? Coountries have been yelling, shouting, crying, protesting for years. Remember when Cosco started limiting 50lb bags of rice 2 years ago. Remember Haitian's food protests in 08 that forced the PM to resign? Remember the reports that Vietnam farmers have started armed patrols of their crops to prevent theft? Remember Mexico's tortilla crisis where the government had in install price controls after prices went up 50%? Your sense of urgency seems a little off pace. What is your timeline for a food crisis in the US? I wonder how you think this weekends meeting between China, Russia, India, and Brazil to establish a more stable world reserve currency will affect the food prices in the US? Perhaps we can read your report in 2016
12:45 PM on 04/16/2011
I used groundbreaking events to refer to most recent factors pulling up food prices again after the slowdown in 2009. Of course, the food price crisis started even before the financial crisis. You may remember how the World Bank was among the first to highlight - back in 2007 - how painful to the poor would it be. And we reacted by stepping up our support to social protection programs and to agriculture production in developing countries.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
09:44 AM on 04/16/2011
Today we find Americans are putting FOOD in their gas tanks. It is no wonder that all related foodstuffs are skyrocketing. Today we could buy Brazilian ethanol(made from sugarcane) much cheaper than subsidizing our farmers to grow it. The story: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/10/report-ethanol-partly-res_n_185531.html
12:46 PM on 04/16/2011
Agree with you.Relaxing biofuel mandates when food prices exceed certain limits should also be thought about
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
09:37 AM on 04/16/2011
Starving the Poor
Noam Chomsky

Recently, in many regions of Mexico, tortilla prices jumped by more than 50 per cent. In January, in Mexico City, tens of thousands of workers and farmers rallied in the Zocalo, the city’s central square, to protest the skyrocketing cost of tortillas.

In response, the government of President Felipe Calderon cut a deal with Mexican producers and retailers to limit the price of tortillas and corn flour, very likely a temporary expedient.

In part the price-hike threat to the food staple for Mexican workers and the poor is what we might call the ethanol effect — a consequence of the US stampede to corn-based ethanol as an energy substitute for oil, whose major wellsprings, of course, are in regions that even more grievously defy international order.

In the United States, too, the ethanol effect has raised food prices over a broad range, including other crops, livestock and poultry.

The ethanol boom fits the pattern. As discussed by agricultural economists C Ford Runge and Benjamin Senauer in the current issue of Foreign Affairs, "the biofuel industry has long been dominated not by market forces but by politics and the interests of a few large companies," in large part Archer Daniels Midland, the major ethanol producer. Ethanol production is feasible thanks to substantial state subsidies and very high tariffs to exclude much cheaper and more efficient sugar-based Brazilian ethanol.
balance of all telling article
http://www.chomsky.info/articles/20070515.htm
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Just19Percent
The People's Cube: Guaranteed Equality of Results
06:18 PM on 04/16/2011
You have named your own solution; a reduction in the absolute number of those in poverty will lessen demand, which will lower prices. No Econ 101?
GoldEnergy
No "TEA" for me, please.
09:14 PM on 04/15/2011
The increased costs associated with the price of oil, weather disruptions & speculation on the commodities markets are to blame for the increase in food costs. http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/experts-say-energy-weather-unrest-more-likely-responsible-for-higher-food-costs-than-farmers/2011/04/04/AFriBmZC_print.html
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
muck-raker
give me liberty or give me death
01:06 PM on 04/16/2011
from the article: All of those factors mean consumers may have more to complain about for a while. Corinne Alexander, an agriculture economist from Purdue University, predicted food inflation will average between 4 percent and 4 ½ percent this year. Normal food inflation is about 2 ½ percent, she said.
> my weekly food bill has doubled. I understand that higher fuel prices mean higher transp. costs. but many would be surprised to find so much corn products are in our other foodstuffs. and last we must mention goldman hedge funds they are complicit for speculating and running ALL of our commodity prices up to make a quick buck. IT does not matter to them if they cause panic in households who must now choose between HEALTHY foods and just belly fillers. also today Cotton has tripled, coffee, sugar,chocolate up 40%. Futures on Corn for next month have doubled from this time last year. www.barchart.com