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Déjà Vu All Over Again: It's the Economy, Stupid

Posted: 08/25/11 11:19 AM ET

New research shows that the progressive base in this country -- unmarried women, persons of color, and those under 30 years old -- is struggling more financially than the conservative base, are not as motivated politically and are not responding to the progressive economic message now being offered on Capitol Hill.

According to the latest Democracy Corps/Women's Voices. Women Vote Action Fund survey of 1,480 likely 2012 voters (conducted August 6-10, 2011), job one should be regaining the support and motivating the unmarried women, people of color, and younger voters who make up the Rising American Electorate (RAE) and a rapidly growing majority (53%) of the eligible voting population in this country.

And as the survey findings demonstrate, this will be a real lift. Even though these voters formed a strong base for progressive victories and drove change in 2006 and 2008, dissatisfaction with Washington's inability to make any progress on economic issues, coupled with the fact that these voters are disproportionately feeling the brunt of the economic downturn, has created doubt about incumbents in office and left RAE voters with little motivation to engage in political issues.

While key groups including unmarried women and persons of color continue to indicate strong support for Obama and the Democrats heading into next year, they are not confident that either party can fix the economy:

• Among RAE voters, a 27-point tilt in partisanship is cut to 12 points on whether Democrats or Republicans would do a better job on the economy. This gap exists among a number of key groups, including unmarried women and youth.

While RAE voters believe that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to look out for the interests of women, they are uncertain that their interests are currently being served on economic issues:

• The debt ceiling debate led to a less favorable view of Democrats (39 percent more favorable, 45 percent less favorable) among RAE voters, and a majority (52 percent) of RAE voters thinks the debt agreement will have a significant and negative impact on them.

Finally, the survey findings show the RAE is consumed by economic concerns -- and for good reason. Voters in the RAE -- particularly unmarried women, voters of color, and white women under the age of 50 -- have been hard hit by the economy.

These voters are more likely than the overall electorate to have themselves or a family member experience a significant reduction in economic well-being over the past year; nearly half of younger white women have seen their own wages or those of an immediate family member cut, while one third of unmarried women or their immediate families have lost health insurance.1

So while progressives are focusing on jobs and lowering unemployment, RAE voters are struggling with the cost of living -- made more difficult because of reduced wages. It is no surprise that RAE voters have the strongest reaction in the survey to making changes that specifically affect women's standing in the economy as it relates to wages.

Nearly half of RAE voters want to see changes made to pay inequities between men and women, including 52 percent of unmarried women who are most likely to be the sole breadwinner in their households.

RAE voters need to be re-engaged and motivated if they are going to turnout and provide the type of support needed for progressive victories Just one in five voters in the RAE says they are extremely interested in elections and debates in Washington, compared to nearly one-third of non-RAE voters.

Bottom line: progressives need a stronger economic narrative that connects, that ensures these must-have voters turn out and support traditional allies who support their public policy agenda. And they need it now.

To read the entire poll results, click here.

1 - Data from Democracy Corps June 2011 Poll

 
 
 
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randytut
Liberalism is bliss
08:06 AM on 08/26/2011
"Bottom line: progressives need a stronger economic narrative that connects, that ensures these must-have voters turn out and support traditional allies who support their public policy agenda. And they need it now."

It's not the narrative. It's the policies behind the narrative that are the failure. Liberalism fails every time.
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larry putman
pyrgist
06:37 AM on 08/26/2011
Another group I've seen hit hard is middle aged women.
Economics isn't a difficult subject. Taxes are collected from the private sector and the money pays for the public sector. America needs more private sector jobs.
Government spending and regulations cause less private sector jobs.
You have to reduce the size of the government and eliminate a lot of legislation so the private sector can expand.
But Keynesian progressives are in charge and they believe in just the opposite. Grow government to improve the economy.
The economy will get worse unless America has a fundamental change in direction.
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sarahmysterious
Turn off the news and read.
08:34 AM on 08/26/2011
Really? Because as far as I can tell all of the de-regulation and tax breaks for the private sector has done NOTHING to create jobs or bolster the economy. Sounds like your spouting the principles that have gotten us into this mess. The fact of the matter is that the money the government spent to get us in this mess was not money that was put to use creating jobs or infrastructure or securing the well being of the domestic ecobomy. It has been spent to support wars, and weapons manufacturers and to give breaks to huge corporations while the politicians get the corporate kick-backs. Do you even understand Keynesian economics? Because based on your comment it does not seem as if you do. Keynesian economics was popular and well implemented from the Great Depression until the 1970s, but is no longer the driving ideology of our economy or government currently. So, remember, when you fight to be free to see things how they are and not how you'd like them to be. Government spending does not prevent the job creation in the private secotor! The private sector limits it's own job creation to save money and keep those at the highest tears rolling in the money, while those at the bottom tiers are laid off or have their wages garnished. In the words of George R.R. Martin, "You know nothing, Jon Snow."
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Cynthia Dudley
05:25 PM on 08/26/2011
Since it is Chicago school that has been at work for 30 years you would think that they may just be in for a little of the vitriol. You have to have everyone with skin in the game to make the country function and by not holding the inherited class and the corporate oligarchs responsible for their share you simply pass the buck down. Well the middle class has had stagnant wages and a disproportionate share of the burden for a long time and it is time for those at the top of the heap to show they actually care enough about the country to pay in now. I have had enough of the wealthy whiners crying about "think about the burden on the next generation", that whine only works when this generation isn't willing to pay their own way.
You are right that this isn't hard- stop cutting taxes on anyone until the deficit is righted and the debt cleared. Make sure that regulations are in place because I don't trust capitalists to be anything but self-serving but make the paperwork and oversight clear and manageable. There is nothing wrong with capitalism that can't be fixed with oversight.
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larry putman
pyrgist
06:22 AM on 08/26/2011
Obama is the known, any unknown would be more favorable.
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European1919
I am the PigmⒶn
03:21 AM on 08/26/2011
"Déjà Vu All Over Again"

Yeah LOL ... it would be, wouldn't it? Did you fail at English in school?
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sarahmysterious
Turn off the news and read.
08:37 AM on 08/26/2011
Umm... it's supposed to be a redundant title. That's the point...
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European1919
I am the PigmⒶn
08:40 AM on 08/26/2011
Presumably it renders both the article and its author redundant, too.
03:18 AM on 08/26/2011
Our soon to explode deficit comes from taking care of old people who in their time did not bother to make enough children to support them when they retire. We will soon have 2 adults supporting each retiree in America. That is a real problem. Even if we get through this bit immediate crisis whoever is in office is going to have to piss a lot of people off in order to save our stave off a dollar collapse and the global economy. Liberals need to recognize the Tea Party is not entirely full of it when it comes to government spending, and the Tea Party needs to recognize we really do have to socialize some things to make them more efficient.

We need single payer healthcare, that is the ONLY WAY we don't go bankrupt without letting Grandma die sooner than she has too. To do it we have to raise taxes on everybody and cut everything else we can afford to let go. We do need to invest more in education but we can't keep letting our colleges turn our kids into debt bombs. It's time we start putting terms on the student loan programs that forces schools to charge less. We can't pay for you to go to a school that cost 50 grand a year. If only the rich can go then so be it, we all can't drive a Bentley or go to George Washington University.
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AvgJoeBlow
We are smarter than any of us.
07:57 AM on 08/26/2011
And Wars?
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sarahmysterious
Turn off the news and read.
08:39 AM on 08/26/2011
It's ridiculous to say that is you're rich you can go to a good college but if you're poor, extremely intelligent, and hardworking that's just too bad. We should support the educational elevation of all citizens who show promise and a drive to succeed. No one can say that it isn't possible for the next Einstein to be born in the ghetto.
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mansterEZ
searching for secular humanist fact-based truth
11:58 PM on 08/25/2011
We need a real Progressive cut from the mold of Teddy R, Eisenhower, Bobby Kennedy and Jimmy Carter. Bernie Sanders or Liz Warren would be that person, but alas neither have the political backing or money to overcome the very great odds. Obama is not a Progressive. He is a Blue Dog who leans right through and through. The best friend a Wall Streeter could ever have on their side.
09:42 PM on 08/25/2011
Neither party can 'fix-the-economy' because both Republicans and Democrats are bought-n-paid-for.

The United States needs a leader with vision of a world post-Wall Street/City of London and TBTF.

The only one that comes close, is Ron Paul, who wants to get rid of the bankrupt Federal Reserve.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
stop the oligarchy
09:40 PM on 08/25/2011
Here's the solution:

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/bill.xpd?bill=h112-1489

Needless to say, Wall Street is not in favor.
frank1946
Tell the Truth
09:26 PM on 08/25/2011
Let's just keep borrowing $ 0.42 of every Dollar the Federals Spend.................it will workout somehow, I just know that we will all be OK !

Somehow !
GHarry
Kitty wrangler
09:20 PM on 08/25/2011
One of your big problems is that you treat the progressive base as if it's a very exclusive country club, open only to unmarried women, people of color and people under 30. Need no one else apply? Excuse us "others" for living.
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mansterEZ
searching for secular humanist fact-based truth
12:01 AM on 08/26/2011
This is according to this article. I personally know a lot of boomers that vote every election cycle in their 50s & 60s who identify themselves as rational reasonable Progressives. Obama is such a disappointment.
09:18 PM on 08/25/2011
Hey how bout instead of trying to improve the lot of the "progressive base" by siphoning off "power" from white males, who also have unemployment problems, we go after the policies advanced by BOTH parties that are destroying the middle class. Namely, "free trade" (offshoring), and the importation of foreign labor. Add war-mongering as a further drain. These are the policies that effect just about everybody. On the other hand, the elites would gladly love it if we continue to fight it out like dogs along racial or gender lines, while they laugh all the way to the bank.
03:08 AM on 08/26/2011
Your right liberals need to move past identity politics. We can't rely on divisive tactics and keep up the big tent. Going after "the man" is not going to stop the rich from selling us out. A unity platform that finally set us up for life in the 21st century instead of recycling fights from the 60's would be a great achievement.
chux3863
There's no next time.It's now or never
08:40 PM on 08/25/2011
The real shame is that we were close if we would have cleaned out the conservative dems in 2010 instead of sitting back and letting the baggers load up the house with wingnuts We may have had the numbers to push a real progressive agenda.
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Alexander DeWolf
08:30 PM on 08/25/2011
"they are not confident that either party can fix the economy:" Is any politician interested in fixing the economy? Seems not.
09:48 PM on 08/25/2011
Government will not fix the economy. It must get out of the way and let the economy fix itself. The fix will not be politically correct, but it will put people back yo work.
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PerryLogan
We don't want your guns. We just want your women.
06:29 AM on 08/26/2011
On the contrary. The recession was caused by speculation, which was in turn caused by deregulation. We need more government, not less.
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Djabout Mauren
Shameless huffjunky
08:10 PM on 08/25/2011
What we need is someone who has the strength to stand up to the number one factor that has taken away American jobs: offshoring. What we need is someone willing to take a a vocal stance toward the public and an active stance against the trade deficit. Over the past thirty years, most of our industry has been hauled off to cheaper climes. To pay Americans to make the products we used to consume has simply become too expensive, but only because our political system has allowed to become that way. Our job situation will not improve unless this is addressed. Period.
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05:02 PM on 08/25/2011
The country does not need narratives. Narratives do not help people. Narratives are games that academics play, mistaking them for the reality.

What the country needs is an economic plan that simultaneously reduces the deficit and creates jobs. And it needs it now.
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alexeiz
Since I lost all hope, I feel much better!
09:23 PM on 08/25/2011
That's, basically, an election speech (any party candidate) - it contains nothing but generic slogans.

Here are the main points:
1. The authors knows exactly what the country doesn't need.
2. We don't need any ideas (that's what the narrative is, formulated idea).
3. Academics (and by extension, all learned people) are the problem, they learned too much, so they don't know what they are talking about.
4. Authors knows what the country needs, so, where is the plan? Any ideas, instead of slogans?

And, what author doesn't realize - his post is also some kind of a narrative, so, by his own words, the country doesn't need it.
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09:47 PM on 08/25/2011
Narratives are not ideas. They are stories which give us a way of viewing things, but they do not necessarily having anything to do with reality. And America needs reality, not stories.

I have nothing against academics - just the ones that talk of "narratives".

My plan? Get that deficit done much faster than they are now by cutting spending and massively simplifying the tax code to increase revenue (including removing exemptions for taxpayers and corporations).

The debt has become an anchor on the economy. Businesses are scared to invest, because they know the debt brings with it increased taxes, inflation, and interest rates, and poissibly even fiscal crisis. I wouldn't invest either in the current climate.