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Paul Abrams

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Republicans' Biggest Fear: Proof That Government Spending Works, Destroying Their Brand

Posted: 08/19/11 08:47 PM ET

The president and the punditry seem perplexed that Republicans vote against their own proposals. The president in particular seems to believe that in a choice between voting for their constituents and exposing their hypocrisy, the Republicans will, in the end, vote for their districts.

That is wrong. Much more importantly, however, it "misunderestimates" Republicans' devotion to their economic belief system, the alternative reality they constructed to maintain it, and the political, psychological and financial stakes they have invested in it.

When he fashions his jobs bill, therefore, President Obama should eschew calculations of what Republicans might support. They will not support anything, no matter how illogical or hypocritical that opposition may seem.

After all, if job-creating government spending works, it will constitute a real-life refutation of the economic mythology by which Republicans define themselves. It would be as if the early 17th-century pope peered through a telescope, recognized that the Earth indeed orbited the Sun, and freed Galileo of house arrest.

As much as the right wing hates President Obama and the prospect of his re-election, they know that with 41 votes in the Senate, they can block almost everything he, and the Democrats, want to do. They have already done it.

So, while Republicans are very willing to tank the economy to reduce the president's reelection chances, they know that if he wins, all they will have to do is bide their time for another four years, blocking Obama's nominees, blocking Obama's domestic policies, taking the country to the brink time and time again to extract concessions for their paymasters.

An Obama reelection victory will, for them, be unfortunate, but only a four-year blip on their road to absolute power. Indeed, Limbaugh and Hannity will likely do better with Obama around as their foil than if someone like Rick Perry entered the White House and suddenly had to take responsibility for the havoc he would wreak on the country.

But, if major job-creating legislation is passed, and millions of jobs are indeed created, the right-wing economic catechism that government spending and counter-cyclical deficit spending do not work, carefully perpetuated by four decades of lies and distortions, and promulgated by the investment of billions of dollars to erect an alternative reality, will be vanquished.

So, while the president is correct that government spending on transportation projects has always been non-partisan -- even Sarah Palin was for the "bridge to nowhere" funds before she was against it -- and while Rachel Maddow and Steve Benen cleverly suggest that the president take all Republican spending requests (minus the non-productive ones) and fund them as a way to get Republican votes on an infrastructure bill, Republicans will vote against their own proposals when the nexus between that spending, reduced unemployment and economic growth would be clear and unambiguous.

That is another reason the president must be bold, clear and simple. A laundry list of 10 measures that each contribute a bit indirectly will not only not work, it will so disappoint the middle class that no great pressure will be exerted, and Washington will work as it usually does (i.e., not at all). Anti-government Republicans, and Republican anti-government mythology, benefit when government does not work, even if they are the cause of failure.

Instead, the president must provide the middle class a plan that excites them, to be able to see clearly that 4 to 5 million jobs will be created within the next year, so that there will be a 2-million-person march on Washington, demanding that Congress act.

It does not really matter what additional items he includes in his actual submission to Congress. His speech should focus entirely on what he will propose to guarantee (not incentivize, but guarantee) 4 to 5 million jobs, with specifics, and how it will be financed. Without those elements, the plan's virtues will be lost in a cacophony of criticism and convoluted explanations.

The president must provide a well-conceived plan like that, present it clearly to the American people, refrain from giving a laundry list, and invite the American people to Washington to show their support.

If the American people have no doubt that the plan will achieve those goals, the country will erupt with strong support. Two million people will march on Washington. For once, Democrats and the middle class will control the agenda for several months. At that point, Republican members of Congress will have to decide whether they want to risk losing the House and Senate as well as the presidency.

Then, and only then, might the plan pass, now. Short of that, Republicans are not going to sacrifice their sacred belief system and alternative reality just to escape exposing their hypocrisy.

Avoiding heresy always trumps avoiding hypocrisy. The penalties for the former are more certain, swift and lasting.

A political strategy that does not incorporate this understanding will fail.

The American people cannot afford that failure.

 

Follow Paul Abrams on Twitter: www.twitter.com/pabrams2001

 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dave Thinkster Paulson
A concerned American moderate
01:54 PM on 08/21/2011
Fortunately, at this stage, what's more important that actually enacting legislation is effectively communicating an alternative to the GOP's goose-step march toward American Feudalism. The objective of all Democrats must be to show these self-serving extractionists for what they are, to demand explanations for their positions and facts to support their talking points. None of this is possible when Democrats campaign as Republican-lite, yet the contrast will become readily apparent when the GOP starts to argue against plans that are obviously directed toward helping working Americans. This is the Democrat's chance to define the conversation, and they need to seize it!
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pasc
Willfully Ignorant: The New Normal.
12:14 PM on 08/21/2011
Good job pointing out a few things not often discussed. However, here's my problem with what you've written, Mr. Abrams: If you know this, why do you think that, somehow, Obama doesn't know this, too? What makes you smarter than he when it comes to politicking?

I wonder that all the time when I read some no-name (no offense, Mr. Adams) commentator suggesting what the President should or shouldn't do.

What I've seen in the past three years is that, time after time after time, the pundits say Obama should do this or that...and then, later on, in his OWN GOOD TIME, he does, more or less. He's not stupid, but he plans and times things carefully. So just because this loud mouth or that loud mouth thinks he should do this NOW, that doesn't mean he doesn't agree -- just that he knows more than most (well, than just about anyone) about what is going on behind the scenes and thus knows when the time is right and when it is wrong for certain actions or statements.

Unlike many, it seems, I am not a fickle Obama "supporter." I believe in the man's intelligence and skill, and I trust him to do what HE THINKS is best.

Not what you think, Mr. Adams.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Dave Thinkster Paulson
A concerned American moderate
02:00 PM on 08/21/2011
Well, unless you are a right-of-center voter, at the very least, then you've seriously misplaced your trust,
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Paul Abrams
01:11 AM on 09/03/2011
I don't think it is a matter of intelligence, and I certainly would not presume to be as intelligent as the President. There are 2 reasons for writing articles like this: 1) it is not clear that the president's advisers see the world and country from the ground up. the president himself will tell you that his greatest frustration about being president is his isolation. 2) even if the president and his team know it all, it is important for them to hear it from many quarters.
06:13 PM on 08/20/2011
Tea partier here. We're not saying government spending can't work. We're saying government spending doesn't work because you're spending someone else's money. Look at what happened to the first stimulus package. Instead of being spent on infrastructure and roads (which most people agreed to), it was spent on state employees and congressional pork (ie: $800K to an airport that served 10 people/day).

It's simply not natural for people to spend other people's money wisely.
12:35 PM on 08/21/2011
You need to check with your leaders. You might be fighting for that but the ones at the top are working for the big money special interests. Your party was almost immediately hi-jacked by the extreme Republican right wing.

A left winger like me is right of a Eisenhower Republican. Tea Partiers are way right of John Birch.

People think that the Tea Party is something new--bull corn

The only thing different between the Tea Party and the John Birch Society from the 50's is the name.

The Tea Party is just the John Birch Society under a different name but financed by the same money (and Family)

It's name is the only thing that has changed.--They have the same goal.

If It wasn't for the Koch family money there wouldn't have been A John Birch Society that did so much harm to our country. – (Financed by the Koch bro’s daddy)

If It wasn't for the Koch family money there wouldn't be a Tea Party that is doing so much harm to our country. – (Financed by the Koch bro’s)

Check out who pays for your, signs, buses, politicians etc.
12:48 PM on 08/21/2011
The truth is obvious. Our system is corrupt.

“Our system being corrupt is a non-partisan issue. The left and right are both irrelevant. We must stop our shotgun mentality of arguing over everything under the sun (I’m as bad as anyone- lol) and fight together on the one thing we do agree on.

Campaign Reform.

We are cutting our own throats by not coming together on this and the corruption that is tearing our country apart is laughing at us all the way to the bank.

Blaming this and that politician does no good. The blame lies ultimately on American citizens.

We all want what is best for our country, we disagree on how to do this, but it matters less what WE think. The will of the senate is the will of the special interests.

NOTHING will change unless we the people change it. THEN will be the time to argue ideology.

Until EVERYONE starts talking and blogging and marching for Campaign Reform we are just spinning our wheels discussing anything that might challenge the special interests.

Campaign Reform would heal the split of the American people that big money has encouraged.(IE Tea Party) divide and conquer

Campaign Finance Reform can be done but everyone must be made to realize that it has to be first and foremost, otherwise any improvements will either be non-existent or temporary at the best.
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PulSamsara
04:39 PM on 08/20/2011
I'd like to see this happen. I won't hold my breath.
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Dolores DiBiase
03:37 PM on 08/20/2011
A call by the President to descend on Washington following a plan Americans could get enthused about would actually work...I do not believe anything less than a million folks parked outside the Capital would work....but DC is beautiful in October.
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Si1ver1ock
the bread of wickedness, the wine of violence
02:39 PM on 08/20/2011
It is hard to get our leaders to take the economy seriously. The economy is fine in Washington and Martha's Vinyard. And besides nobody is really poor.

Nobody important anyway.
07:39 PM on 08/21/2011
"During the height of the great galactic empire, everybody was rich. Or at least, nobody was really poor. Or at least, nobody that mattered." (Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, by Douglas Adams)
01:01 PM on 08/20/2011
COMPLETE opposition to EVERYTHING proposed by the other party is NOT governance for the benefit of the people. It is a completely SELFISH political tactic to regain power.

Orrin Hatch (R) quote: ..... "Six years ago under President ["W"] when we [Republicans] had the majority, it was standard practice not to pay for things,"

Now we Democrats are trying to pay for Bushes policy's and idiots are blaming the democrats for the deficit.

Republicans vote Against their own legislation There is something really ROTTEN going on!

Here's an example. The Republicans proposed a deficit reduction commission. Six Republicans co-sponsored it. President Obama embraced it. When it came time for a vote on the legislation, all six Republicans that had co-sponsored the bill voted against it.

Just one example out of too many to count.

Republicans do not care about policy or the people of this country, they only care about regaining power.

The Republican philosophy might be summarized thus:

"To hell with principle; what matters is power, and that we have it, and that they do not." - Pat Buchanan
05:31 PM on 08/20/2011
Great post and the quote at the end is worth framing.

Count me as a new fan.
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blknightowl
Tired of the Crazies
09:04 PM on 08/20/2011
fanned and faved. Brilliant post and true.
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04:04 AM on 08/20/2011
It would be ideal if the Grand Old Party still lived in the Dark Ages when their religion would burn intellectual women on a pole and justify it by calling them 'witches'. But then again, there is just this little thing called Karma: http://youtu.be/EqP3wT5lpa4
professor
Correkt the Spelling and Pick on the Moniker
01:56 AM on 08/20/2011
What would the ruling class do without government contracts and government welfare and government business. Hate welfare and food stamps? Ask the accountants of all the hospitals, stores, and prisons whose profits derive from it. 1/3, yes, 1/3 of the US economy is "government spending" whatever that is. And that's just the amount that is verifiable. I remember Ross Perot, making all that noise about being a bootstrap selfmade millionaire. How did he make it? Selling stuff to the government. Really truly cut "government spending" and the country folds. Which might be good riddance, as many totally bombed-out countries might agree.
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12:15 PM on 08/20/2011
So what? Necessary spending is a matter of social function and that is going to be substantial. As soon as society serves economics instead of the other way around we get dysfunction.
01:12 PM on 08/20/2011
So true

Conservatives tend to believe that humans exist for the market, and not the other way around.
05:50 PM on 08/20/2011
Politicians speaking of cutting government programs are usually saying, "cut all the programs that I hate, not the ones I love", and that usually goes for members of both parties.

It is true that we should demand better accountability of how our tax dollars are spent, but to think that we can fix our unemployment by closing the EPA, the energy department, and the department of education and throwing all those workers out in the street is a really dumb idea. Yes, you will reduce spending, but will make the unemployment problem worse, and by default our ailing economy which depends so much in consumption.

It is the same as some suggesting that you hit your hand with a hammer when you have a headache. Your head may not hurt as bad anymore compared to your hand, but you are in no better shape than before.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Jesster
12:33 PM on 08/21/2011
Isn't it amazing how many of our problems could be solved simply by applying a modicum of COMMON SENSE? Unfortunately it seems to have become a "commodity" in short supply and our socalled wanna be "leaders" (aka power-grabbers) seem hellbent on extingushing the few remaining shreds of simply decency to advance their own selfish agendas.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
Rooster Coburn
Less Gov't + More Responsibility = A Better World
01:26 AM on 08/20/2011
We need to return the federal government to the levels of the 1960's when it took about 18% of GNP. Today, at about 28% of GNP it is sucking the life-blood out of our economy and producing high unemployment. Congressman Paul Ryan's proposal just makes sense,  cut spending, cap expenditure growth and balance the federal budget by constitutional amendment.
12:42 PM on 08/20/2011
The Pew Center reported in April 2011 the cause of a $12.7 trillion shift in the debt situation,

from a 2001 CBO forecast of a cumulative $2.3 trillion surplus by 2011 versus the estimated $10.4 trillion public debt we actually face in 2011.

The major drivers were:

Revenue declines due to the recession, separate from the Bush tax cuts of 2001 and 2003: 28%

Defense spending increases: 15%
Bush tax cuts of 2001 and 2003: 13%
Increases in net interest: 11%
Other non-defense spending: 10%
Other tax cuts: 8%
Obama Stimulus: 6%
Medicare Part D: 2%
Other reasons: 7%”
airmikee99
I can has micro-bio?
04:42 PM on 08/20/2011
Why couldn't Ryan make that proposal when Bush was going hog wild with the tax payer checkbook?

Oh, that's right.. Bush and Ryan are both Republicans.
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HST
Conservatism = selfishness
01:15 AM on 08/20/2011
"But, if major job-creating legislation is passed, and millions of jobs are indeed created, the right-wing economic catechism that government spending and counter-cyclical deficit spending do not work, carefully perpetuated by four decades of lies and distortions, and promulgated by the investment of billions of dollars to erect an alternative reality, will be vanquished."

The right wing response will be to stick their fingers in their ears and say "la la la la la".

Dealing with reality is not their strong suit.
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Hugebrass
Defend the Constitution from "Progressive" Change
02:59 PM on 08/21/2011
Keynsian policy is hilarious. It's been tried and tried again, yet it never works. Since there's not a single example of a successful Keynesian policy bringing economic stability and growth, it depends entirely on historical revisionism and outright lies to propagate. This tired Progressive narrative is an integral part of wealth redistribution, not sound economic policy, as Keynesian theory doves perfectly with the social engineering efforts of the Left.

Regardless, in your case, it's like smashing your thumb with a hammer, and then doing it again to make the pain from the first strike subside.

O
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HST
Conservatism = selfishness
06:38 PM on 08/21/2011
CIn 1993 Clinton pushed through a tax on the richest Americans. The Republicans cried bitter tears about how America would be ruined and the entire nation would suffer due to that evil tax.

The stock market rose from below 3,000 to 12,000. Unemployment fell to about 3% and all of a sudden Rpublicans decided that was due to their foresight and diligence.

Those same Republicans will now swear on a stack of bibles that any tax rise on the richest Americans will ruin this nation and create massive unemployment. They know this because the outcome of 1993 is not applicable since it denies their ideology.

Conservative Free Market based economic policy is delusional, unless you like the goal of making the wealthy richer. That's the result of Conservative policy adopted by both parties. The wealthy aren't creating jobs they are hoarding. Corporations aren't reinvesting they are hoarding. American Conservatives are propaganda believers, deregulation has done nothing for the average American, other then reduce your standard of living.Conservatives are brillant propagandist, they revise history, blame others and have done a great job of manipulating forty percent of the population into believing lies as they get ripped off. When Conservatives control policy things just get worse.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
pappyvet
My God, it's full of stars!
12:49 AM on 08/20/2011
Great blog Paul.
I feel that our greatest problem as a people is that some of our family are addicted to the hatred drug. Most I fear were prone to its effects to start with and easily seduced. Anything vomited forth by the usurpers of our country is readily grasped as proof positive of the Infallibility of their position. It is time for all of us to take Liberty as our cry and "We the People of the United States" as our cause and go foreward into what I hope will be a more vibrant and free country for us all.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Mistinguette Grandison
No. Corporations are NOT people
12:01 AM on 08/20/2011
Agree
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Medicine13ear
Joy cometh in the morning.
11:46 PM on 08/19/2011
Forget the President for the moment . . . House and Senate members running in 2012 can rally the gigantic wave of people's support by pledging to supprt legislation on ONLY two critical issues:

1. Creation of JOBS
2. Improved classic Medicare For All

I am going to contribute to and work for ONLY those in the Legislative Branch who run on these issues. If all of us did that nationwide, we will OVERWHELMINGLY be represented in Congress, and the President will be elected on Congess' coattails! (The current President has no "down ticket" coattails -- he'll be riding the coattails of the downticket candidates!)

The People are coming! The People are coming! Vive la Revolution!
satyrday
If my micro-bio is way too long, will it be trunca
08:17 AM on 08/20/2011
Yes. If we want to get anything done, it's not about Obama. We need to get the super majority in the Senate, and a majority in the House. Even if the president turned out to be republican, we'd still get good stuff done.
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HUFFPOST BLOGGER
Paul Abrams
09:43 AM on 08/20/2011
My "line in the sand" is a program that GUARANTEES, not hopes with incentives, to create 4-5M jobs.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
maxfax
Taa - dah!
10:30 PM on 08/19/2011
"After all, if job-creating government spending works, it will constitute a real-life refutation of the economic mythology by which Republicans define themselves." The evidence is there and available, however it will take a strong-willed administration and DNC to spread the word, and not back down.