More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Paul Abrams

GET UPDATES FROM Paul Abrams

Only Wall Street Can Resolve the Debt-Ceiling Impasse -- By Pulling Money From Republicans

Posted: 06/29/11 10:32 PM ET

"I spend most of my time telling people to do the things they ought have the sense to be doing without my telling them" --Harry Truman.

To resolve the (inevitable) impasse on the debt-ceiling, President Obama may have to hold a news conference to exhort Congress and meet with Congressional leaders to demonstrate he is trying, but resolution of the impasse can only arise from his Chief of Staff, Bill Daley's, discussions with Wall Street and the Chamber of Commerce.

In the Biden talks, the conferees have, so we are told, identified $1.3T in cuts over the next decade. The ball is in the Republicans' court.

But, left to on their own, these parties are no more likely to resolve this matter by August 2, or any other date, than the Israelis and Palestinians are to define boundaries, forswear violence, and agree to peace. There are just too many Islambouli and Amir (assassins of Anwar Sadat and Yitzhak Rabin, respectively) equivalents lurking -- e.g., Grover Norquist, the Koch Boys, Freedomworks -- who are prepared to assassinate politically those who stray from party orthodoxy on taxes. Recently re-elected Senators such as Tom Coburn (R-OK) may have a 5-year grace period, but Members of the House are facing re-election in 2012.

Wall Street and the Chamber of Commerce (collectively, "Wall Street") bought this Congress. Fear and delusional beliefs ignited fervor, Wall Street money sustained it, and it worked -- to win.

Governing has been a very different story. Even government spending Wall Street favors -- e.g., infrastructure repair and development -- has fallen prey to extreme rightwing ideology and partisanship. But, since Wall Street and business have been doing well -- the Dow has nearly doubled under President Obama -- Wall Street has felt no acute need to remind Republicans of who pays their campaign bills, and who will employ them with cushy jobs when they leave Congress to "spend more time with their families".

Now there is. [ Anyone who says that defaulting on the debt is "no big problem" cannot make the case that the debt itself is a problem because the only real concern about debt is not paying it off, aka, "default". ]

Indeed, since Wall Street knows that there would be no appetite for even a morsel of bailout when it collapses this time, the stakes for Wall Street are extremely high. Debt default would be kryptonite to the masters-of-the-universe.

One can be certain that, before they act, Wall Street will be looking for concessions -- e.g., a pledge not to appoint Elizabeth Warren, delays in rulemaking under Dodd-Frank, lax enforcement of capital ratios, hands-off oil speculators at the CFTC, and similar "understandings".

Of course, the Administration need agree to none of them. Wall Street's survival is on the line and, as the saying goes, "nothing like a good hanging to focus one's mind". But, with the possible exception of the oil speculators at the CFTC because that has such an impact on the economy, one suspects they will succumb, because the Administration cannot allow those discussions to drag on while Wall Street determines when to tell its lackeys to jump. We all love Elizabeth Warren, but one doubts the Administration would hold firm on appointing her if it can get a decent and timely deal on the debt ceiling.

Wall Street knows far better than this writer what it needs to do to get the debt ceiling raised, and to make clear that it is deadly serious. One might suppose that canceling some fundraisers, and declining to provide any more money to Republican committees and lawmakers, until that debt ceiling is raised, would send a strong message. Agreeing to "be there" when these lawmakers get primaried, with early cash and ads, would provide the carrot along with the stick. [Of course, all of this will be stated in code, so there is no record of a quid pro quo].

So, just as Israel and Egypt, and Israel and Jordan, respectively, required Jimmy Carter's and Bill Clinton's intercessions to make peace, our Congress needs Wall Street to avert an economic crisis that we would otherwise walk into with our eyes open.

Not pleasant to admit that our democracy needs Wall Street to function politically, and I say this only in sad resignation to the truth, but it is what it is, and expecting Wall Street to act in its own selfish self-interest is as good a wager as betting the sun will rise in the East.

 
"I spend most of my time telling people to do the things they ought have the sense to be doing without my telling them" --Harry Truman. To resolve the (inevitable) impasse on the debt-ceiling, Presid...
"I spend most of my time telling people to do the things they ought have the sense to be doing without my telling them" --Harry Truman. To resolve the (inevitable) impasse on the debt-ceiling, Presid...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 42
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2  Next ›  Last »  (2 total)
photo
humanbeing-rick
Born in the USA 1947
11:13 AM on 07/01/2011
I like this man's logic.
"Wall Street and the Chamber of Commerce (collectively, "Wall Street") bought this Congress. Fear and delusional beliefs ignited fervor, Wall Street money sustained it, and it worked -- to win."
So now Wall Street bears the responsibility for it, and how to correct it.
They have a vested interest in saving our nation, because if we go down, Wall Street will go down with us too!
photo
DXM
A sane moderate living during insane extreme times
09:00 AM on 07/01/2011
Unfortunately, far too many Democrats in Congress are also dependent on cash from big moneyed interests to finance their now perpetual reelection campaigns. I find it much more likely that Wall St. et al. will threaten to withhold money from the *DEMOCRATS* in an effort to make them cave on the revenue question. In the end, the GOP will get everything they want (and continue to push their increasingly radical political agenda in the process) and the burden of balancing the Federal budget will fall squarely on the backs of the poor, elderly, children, what's left of the middle class as well as already cash-strapped state and local governments. Wall St. and the other big moneyed interests will get what they want (i.e. keeping its low tax rates, subsidies and increasingly lax regulation) with promises of even more to come in the alleged attempt to "stimulate" an ever failing Main St. economy. If I were a betting man (and had any savings left), I'd bet the family farm on that outcome.
02:06 AM on 07/01/2011
The debt ceiling.

So many kochroaches and so little time.

I say let Wall Street sweat.
They will lose billions if America defaults and their money is worth a lot less.

The kochroaches won't save the country but they WILL save themselves.
As always.
Saving themselves means helping the country.
photo
mannapat
Truthiness shines a light.
02:00 AM on 07/01/2011
When bank-rolling a candidate for public office, make sure that the funder and the fundee both understand what the job requirements are...a working brain and the knowledge that he/she will become just one little part of a working TEAM hired to run the government.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Under Fed yet Fed Up
Always great distaste for both political parties
09:41 PM on 06/30/2011
Should Wall Street ask for a refund of their record contributions to the Obama campaign?

Or perhaps Nancy Pelosi or Harry Reid?

Or is it only money given to Republicans that needs to be reined in?
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
photo
booker52
avid reader
05:03 PM on 06/30/2011
Buyers remorse, seem to be a lot of it these days with the so called winners from the midterm elections.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
TexasBahr
act as you would like to be treated
04:58 PM on 06/30/2011
If the democrats are so confident that Wall Street will get their GOP lackeys to vote to raise the debt limit then the Democrats have leverage against the GOP and should not wimp out so much. If, even Wall Street cannot prevent Grover Norquist from tanking the economy even more then it is today by getting the GOP to vote against raising the debt limit then the first casualty should be congressional and senate paychecks. Those paychecks should be withheld until the debt limit is raised.
I would venture to guess there would be little delay in raising the debt limit if Congress and Senate salaries are publicized as being the first to take a hit if we default on our debt obligations.
MThomasNC
Retired, Sassy, Senior Citizen
04:12 PM on 06/30/2011
Once we see the repubs pulling back from talking about Tax Increases, and talk about Tax credits or loopholes or subsidies then we know Wall St and US Chamber have gotten to them.
As long as they can get away with peddling the tax increase LIE then they will frame the issue as such. It's not a tax increase.
11:10 AM on 06/30/2011
Wall St. would only suffer if the US Gov defaults on bond payments. That's not what they will do if the debt ceiling isn't raised, because everyone agrees it would be a disaster. Instead, they will do what states have done: delay tax refunds, delay payments to states and localities for Medicaid, unemployment, and highway funds as well as to contractors, delay Pell Grants, furlough "nonessential" employees (but not Congressional staffers), shut national parks, and nickel and dime millions of ordinary people and small companies. As usual, the big guys will be well taken care of -- the rest of us, not so much.
photo
AGammaRaye
Awake!! Independent.
10:51 AM on 06/30/2011
Didn't I read previously Wall Street and the Chamber told the gop-ee "get 'er done" already? They're just waiting for more concessions while the world watches in disgust we are such children.
Democrat in the South
Empathy, the most important word
10:45 AM on 06/30/2011
If I didn't have money in the stock market I'd say let the SOB default. If it would get rid of Wall Street greed and the republican party, I'd be willing to sacrifice myself AND my country to rid America of these cancers.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Carl Caroli
Give peace a chance
10:30 AM on 06/30/2011
Not going to happen. Wall st. greases both sides of the isle for the sake of covering their bets, but their hearts and minds are clearly with the GOP.
10:30 AM on 06/30/2011
We MUST demand criminal prosecution not only for BofA, Countrywide executives, but many other from Wall Street and our government that turned the other way while all this fraud was going on and then bailed them out with OUR MONEY so now they can settle their crimes! WHAT ABOUT US, WHAT ABOUT PEOPLE???? Are we going to get our houses for free now? Are we going to be reimbursed for pain and sufferings caused by those greedy demons???
The results of Wall Street’s fraud are numerous FRAUDclosuers, topped with the ignorance that works well for those who committed the biggest financial crime in the history of the world. Nothing will change until the responsible for this scam are prosecuted! We must do that, we should not rest until the truth is out and all those responsible are prosecuted.
Please read today’s press release from MA Essex County Register of Deeds:”My office is a crime scene!” - http://tinyurl.com/42e8nom

Also, here is my letter to MA Attorney General, to the President and any government official that will listen - People have had enough! http://tinyurl.com/3l8awqt
Democrat in the South
Empathy, the most important word
10:48 AM on 06/30/2011
All the bailout money (taxpayer funded) all over the world goes to high dollar investors and the people get scre.wed over and over.

If "the people" were bailed out the economy would recover instantly.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SigonellaPC3
June 5, the WI recall is more than just jive...
12:16 PM on 06/30/2011
Well said. F&F for the insight. Money in the hands of spenders, creates demand. Demand creates jobs.
photo
guveqzero
Inventor and Innovator
10:30 AM on 06/30/2011
True, this is a defining moment for Obama. Will he cave in to blackmail? Or, will he go all the way demanding justice that will impact the nation's credit rating?
12:36 PM on 06/30/2011
I predict he'll cave in, just as he did on single payer healthcare, the bush tax cuts, closing Gitmo, etc.

It's all a shell game and we're the victims. Voting won't solve our problems, sadly, only violence will. It's coming, so be prepared.
09:42 AM on 06/30/2011
I believe a much more likely scenario is that wall street will dangle more campaign cash in front of Obama in secret knowing he will not be able to resist and that he will make a deal more favorable to the republican point of view no matter what his party thinks. Most republicans and many democrats in private believe that Obama will cave and they have good reason to believe this.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
SigonellaPC3
June 5, the WI recall is more than just jive...
12:19 PM on 06/30/2011
I think it's different this time. Just a hunch. If it isn't, the Dems can kiss a good chunk of loyalty goodbye forever. I think they understand this finally.