iPhone app iPad app Android phone app Android tablet app More

Featuring fresh takes and real-time analysis from HuffPost's signature lineup of contributors
Paul Begala

Paul Begala

Posted: November 2, 2010 09:03 PM

Dear Democrats: I feel your pain. I've been there. I was one of President Clinton's chief political advisers when we lost 52 House seats and eight Senate seats -- and then we lost a ninth when Dick Shelby of Alabama switched parties.

So many commentators have compared the present situation to the 1994 debacle that I thought I'd put my recollections, thoughts and counsel on paper (or, rather, on pixels.)

First, losing the Congress was not good for President Clinton. The Republican Congress impeached him, for Pete's sake. They harassed him. They refused to confirm many of his judges. They shut down the government. They refused to listen to him on climate change. They did not heed his warning to "save Social Security first" and lock away the Clinton surplus so it would not be squandered. They even accused him of playing "Wag the Dog" when he tried to kill Osama bin Laden.

The only ways in which having a GOP Congress was good for Clinton is that it gave him some Grade-A villains to push off against, and allowed his centrist instincts to be seen in sharper relief. On balance, I would rather have had a root canal.

I expect the new Republican House to be even more partisan; even more extreme; even more mean-spirited. In the beginning of this year -- long before the corporate-funded deluge of attack ads -- 39 percent of Republicans supported impeaching President Obama. In the same Harris Poll, 24 percent of Republicans thought Obama might be the Antichrist. When the base of your party so despises the President that they are delusional, impeachment not only seems feasible, it seems downright reasonable.

It is true that having a Republican Congress forced Clinton to move to the center. He signed a welfare reform bill that was far more ruthless than he would have liked. He signed a cut in the capital gains tax -- hardly a Democratic priority.

Look for President Obama to do the same. I think he should very publicly say, "I get it," making clear he heard what the electorate was saying. Then define what they were saying not in the GOP's terms ("Cut spending! Shrink government! Privatize everything!") but rather in more realistic terms:

  1. Create jobs.
  2. Clean up corruption.


Job creation and reducing the influence of special interests are as mainstream as you get. President Obama and Congressional Democrats should challenge Republicans to enact a payroll tax holiday. The payroll tax is regressive and it's a job-killer. Working people hate it. Small businesses hate it. Republicans ought to hate it. Let the GOP explain why they prefer an elitist tax cut -- say, on the income taxes paid by millionaires and billionaires. If the tea party-backed newcomers are real populists they will want to create jobs on Main Street, not give another tax break to Paris Hilton.

The Democrats should push the rest of their now-stalled pro-growth tax cuts: reducing taxes on investments businesses make in research & experimentation, tax cuts for creating green-collar jobs and generating clean energy.

Then President Obama and the Democrats should challenge the Republicans to support real investment in the real America: our roads and bridges and airports and mass transit. The American Society of Civil Engineers gives our drinking water system a D- (think of that when your child wakes you up in the middle of the night for a glass of water). The engineers say one in four rural bridges is deficient -- and it's worse in the cities, where one in three is deficient. A bridge is built to last 50 years. The average age of a bridge in America: 43.

President Obama does not have a communication problem; he has an economic problem. He has a jobs problem. He needs a jobs plan. That, by the way, is the one communications wrinkle I would iron out. Stop calling it "stimulus" or "infrastructure" or "R&E." Call it jobs. Jobs. Jobs. Jobs, dammit. Then challenge the GOP to join you in creating jobs by cutting taxes and rebuilding America.

Democrats should be just as bold on corruption. Rather than whine about the money spent in this election cycle, Democrats should propose new ideas to limit the power of lobbyists and require greater disclosure of campaign money. In 2006 John Boehner famously said, "Yes, I am cozy with lobbyists." I didn't see any Tea Party activists carrying signs calling for electing leaders who are cozy with lobbyists. Pushing reform is not only good for our government, it's good politics. It splits the GOP's corporate wing from its populist grassroots.

Yes, President Obama and the Democrats need to move to the center. Fortunately, that does not mean slow-walking gay rights or repealing the 14th Amendment. Rather, it means a strong, centrist jobs program and a clear, centrist commitment to limiting the power of corporate special interests. If they have the skill and adaptability to reclaim the center, the Democratic comeback won't be far behind.

 
Dear Democrats: I feel your pain. I've been there. I was one of President Clinton's chief political advisers when we lost 52 House seats and eight Senate seats -- and then we lost a ninth when Dick...
Dear Democrats: I feel your pain. I've been there. I was one of President Clinton's chief political advisers when we lost 52 House seats and eight Senate seats -- and then we lost a ninth when Dick...
 
 
  • Comments
  • 1,107
  • Pending Comments
  • 0
  • View FAQ
Comments are closed for this entry
View All
Favorites
Bloggers
Recency  | 
Popularity
Page: 1 2 3 4 5  Next ›  Last »  (30 total)
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
snesich
03:56 AM on 11/08/2010
Paul,
Good column, overall. And I agree with you to an extent.

But Bill Clinton broke our hearts and sold us out after 1994, when he should have been fighting back and defending the decades of progress made by the Democratic Party.

Instead, Clinton, apparently concerned only with his own re-election prospects hired the odious, corrupt, toe-licking weasel, Dick Morris, and sold out virtually everything to the Republicans from DOMA to eliminating Wall Street regulations, to welfare "reform" and much more.

He was such a terrible disappointment. And that was long before Monica Lewinsky. It still breaks my heart to see how he abandoned the ideals of this party and put a DLC stamp on that proud tradition.

If President Obama goes the same way, with his own version of Dick Morris, it will not only devastate our nation, but it will also decimate the Democratic Party, regardless of whether or not Obama wins in 2012.

I'm hoping that the Obama we voted for in 2008 isn't just an illusion or a projection of what we wanted to see. I want him to get in there and FIGHT and remind Americans of what is as stake if we "accommodate" the Republicans and their vicious plans.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sandyhh
06:30 PM on 11/07/2010
President Obama tried the Centralist approach and it didn't appeal to anyone whether they were Democrat, Independent, or Republican. What we got was a watered-down version of what McCain would have done. The voters got that right and voted against it in 2008.

Those who voted for Democrats after the Republicans' economic meltdown expected a progressive agenda and got a Centralist one. A liberal president and congress would have prosecuted Wall Street instead of putting them in charge of the economy, pushed for single-payer, and instituted a WPA program.

Now we have President Obama in India saying it's the fault of Americans that our jobs are being outsourced and India is innocent bystander? What in the hell is he smoking? Whatever it is, he must be sharing it with Begala,

What's the use of winning elections if you are going to concede your power to the opposition with all this bi-partisan spirit that hasn't existed since Lee Atwater?
05:45 PM on 11/06/2010
Love the blame game now going on? Few good ideas in these comments like the money behind the Republicans of over $100 million not being talked about by the media? Could the corporations behind TV shows be calling the subjects and how far one can go like Keith? Yet Rush says anything and everything right or wrong? Now to take away per Sen. Boehner Obamas' health care bill, WHY is this his first real move could it be because of who has backed the money for this election? Many feel Tea Party was first backed by health insurance oh could it be? Now come here to Pickens county, Ga. and tell the 3 listed on a grocery store bulletin board, who need money to get open heart, a liver and meds costing $5000 a month what are they to do in the future per what crying caring Republican Boehner wants to do for health care in this country? Was a Republican most of my 68 years now an Independent and also retired RN I saw the greed in medicine that still continues WHY? Please middle America wake up and really ask who really cares about the working middle class person? I now know who does? Who I voted for.
03:24 PM on 11/06/2010
"less" corruption would only brush off the loose rust flakes.
Pass these laws:
--Members meet no lobbyist except in the government offices, local and DC, we taxpayers are already paying for. If these are not up to lobbyist standards, they don't have to meet with members or can send letters as members' constituents must do. Lobbyists' clients spend millions on expensive dinners/skyboxes/ jets for members -- and members saythey don't have enough in their budget and need those big-interest gifts to do their jobs properly. They should raise their budgets instead of their salaries, and learn how to more effectively spend within their budgets, as members' constituents must do, .
---Members must publish weekly on the internet the official activities and meetings with their home state constituents and all others, including the time spent in each of those activities, that the member took part in over the last week,
Lobbyists and persons who are not home state constituents that members meet with must be revealed by name and subject discussed. Private citizens who are constituents to be listed only as "constituent" and topic discussed.
--Accept campaign donations only from individual private citizens of members' home states.. Money is not speech and bribery is illegal. If speech is money, the rich out-speech the poor and to hell with equality. Moreover, speech must convey an idea. Contributing simultaneously to opposing candidates, as special interests do, expresses no idea except "Remember I gave you campaign money", which is unsubtle bribery.
04:14 PM on 11/06/2010
PS
-- All unspent campaign money should devolve to the candidate's home state's department of public health... we all like public health, don't we? This way, the constituents' all benefit. As it is now, unspent money can be spent by the candidate on any selfish expenditure the candidate desires from cocaine smuggling to porn parties or any other cause the original donors may detest.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
snesich
04:09 AM on 11/08/2010
Excellent post!

I'd like to add this law to the list:

"No member of Congress, nor cabinet member, nor any congressional aides, will be permitted to work for any lobbying firm or company that has been involved, directly or indirectly, with congressional legislation. This restriction will be for ten (10) years and there will be no exceptions."

Such a law would end the "revolving door" of corruption that currently exists in Washington D.C.
Right now, members of congress, cabinet members, and their top aides see their time on Capitol Hill as a temporary assignment. After they've put in their time, doing favors for special interests with lots of money, they then leave government and are rewarded with cushy jobs with fat paychecks by these lobbying firms and big companies. This is their "Return On Investment" for writing the legislation demanded by these big monied interests.

This allows them to live lavish lifestyles, with big mansions in posh DC suburbs and gorgeous beach houses in costal Maryland or Delaware, meals at the trendiest restaurants and more money than they know what to do with, while we average American struggle to make ends meet.

End this Revolving Door of Corruption in DC. It wasn't just Jack Abramhoff. He was just the tip of the iceberg. Prohibit our public servants from profiting off of public office.
10:31 AM on 11/06/2010
I don't believe all the blame over the Dem losses is due to President Obama or poor work on getting the message out. I believe it is due to evil owners of the broadcasting networks! Poor Keith. If he is suspended for supporting Dems, why are the crazy goons on fox forging ahead? They can lie and demoralize individuals with applause. Is anyone paying attention?
06:29 PM on 11/05/2010
So tired ot the comparison to '94. How about if President Obama hadn't surrounded himself with so many Clinton leftovers and been fresh & new & bold he might have been more successful. Come on Paul, it is in all of you and your colleagues best interest to compare Obama unfavorably to President Clinton to protect your legacy and your agenda: to make sure Bill Clinton is perceived as a more successful President. President Clinton worked with the Republicans to dismantle Wall Streeet regulations to cause this recession. He disgraced the Oval Office so there was something impeachable for the Republicans to use. Clinton has said that they (the right) haven't done anything to Obama that they didn't do to him. Are you kidding me? There has never been such personal and hateful insidious and deviant attacks against a president ever as against Barack Obama. Please stop telling President Obama to be President Clinton - President Obama please stop listening. They don't have your best interests at heart. I didn't vote for Bill Clinton 2 years ago. In fact I voted against Hillary Clinton so I wouldn't have him anywhere near the White House. I voted for President Obama. He's the only President I want to show up and if he gets rid of all the Clintonites, he;ll do just fine!
06:25 PM on 11/05/2010
I think what the electorate was saying is "We're still mad about the job losses and foreclosures caused by the Bush administration's deregulation of the banks, but we've been fooled by the Republicans into redirecting our anger at Obama."
10:41 AM on 11/06/2010
You are onto the right idea! All who did not vote are responsible for the terrible days ahead for our President and Dems.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
rkoenn
05:33 PM on 11/05/2010
Very good ideas as at this point in time more than anything else it is jobs, jobs, jobs. And the Repubs have the non-thinking citizenry completely blind folded that cutting taxes, actually just letting them return to where they were before, is going to make everything better. If only people would think for themselves they would realize the guy who needs lower taxes is going to get it. Then take that money you get with no tax cut and spend it to rebuild the infrastructure which means more US production, not overseas purchases or overseas wars, and hires more people to help the US out. The politicians, mainly Republicans, love to spend gobs on the military overseas but how about we subversively keep Al Qaeda in check and start putting that money to work over here. And let the public know who defeats such legislation. My big hope is that people over the next 2 years will see what happens and realize the guys who got us into this mess can do a repeat performance if they are allowed to.
05:31 PM on 11/05/2010
Counterpoint:

The court has undermined all efforts to limit the undue influence of money
This election, gauged by turnout was hardly a referendum
Senators and Congressmen vote politically, so strict term limits need to be set. This fact answers half your questions.
Many conservative initiatives failed on a local level
Obama was far too conciliatory from the start and the watered down legislation largely ineffective.
The Fed is too cozy with banking interests and has undermined a main street recovery
Tea Party voters are largely illiterate and vote ideologically
08:11 PM on 11/05/2010
i'm going to have to agree. Especially on the part about the turnout. it was pretty bad.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Vic Nardozza
Hollywood Gumshoe
05:27 PM on 11/05/2010
Begala,, you should know that"

1) Create jobs - The House Republicans won't pass anything he sends them
2) Clean up corruption - The House Republicans won't pass anything he sends them

Unless, of course, he does this in the next two months. But he won't. He's a puss, a black Jimmy Carter. All he will do is capitulate as he has done for the last two years and spend the next two years focusing on getting re-elected. If that means selling out the people who voted for him and progressive ideals, so be it. Where is manhood for God's sake. Come out fighting and stop being a punching bag. Why, oh why, can't we ever have a progressive leader with a pair?
06:20 PM on 11/05/2010
Yeah, riight. Because all the ills of the country weren't fixed in less than two years, it's because Obama is a sell-out. Yeah, that's the ticket. If we can't have it all and have it now, it's because Obama's a sell-out. He was handed the worse mess since the Great Depression, but because happy days are NOT yet here again, it's because Obama's a sell out.

It took 4 years to win the Civil War, so I suppose Lincoln was a sell-out and a wimp because the Union didn't win by the time of the elections of 1862, the Emancipation Proclamation didn't happen the day after Lincoln's inauguration and Richmand hadn't been captured. FDR was a sell-out because the Depression wasn't over by the time of the 1934 elections and also a spineless wimp because WWII wasn't over by the time of Operation Torch.

You people need some people some perspective and a knowledge of history.

Grow up. Sometimes Presidents have to do unpopular things and sometimes they have have to make mistakes in order to learn from them and sometimes it's a combination of both.

The real wusses are those who demand immediate gratification regardless of the size of the problem.

Auldphart
08:13 PM on 11/05/2010
i like your post.
06:35 PM on 11/05/2010
Your first fan, but I must say even I thought the "black Jimmy Carter" was pretty harsh.

Look, this would be a good thing if campaign mode finally propels him to be aggressive, because somebody is going to have to be calling the right on reneging on any legislation that will benefit the country. If he doesn't do that, he's not going to win re-election.

Now, I have so little faith in him that I think there's more than a 50% chance he'll go your capitulation route, but you never know. I certainly have my hopes pinned on him finally acting like a leader. Guess we'll find out soon.

One caveat: you know, it might be barely possible that he's playing such a convoluted game that he had no problem with this election being thrown. I thought it was pretty weird he was emphasizing campaigning only after many states had mail-in ballots out for more than a week. And, after all, it is easier to campaign against bona fide villians than the idiots in your own party, He seemed to be too upset at the results of this election for that to be possible, but maybe he's a better actor than Reagan was. Because being that upset didn't make a hell of a lot of sense either--like what the hell did he expect? To win?

Anyway, interesting and incredibly depressing. But it would be marvelous if he did have a pair.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Kat Posing
Logical Rational Practical Common Sense
03:33 PM on 11/05/2010
He is already center. He never left it. The Republicans simply want him to move more to the right. They have made it perfectly clear - they said so yesterday. Other than that, I agree with everything else Paul said. Mainly Obama is going to need to change his language. Stick to what he and his party are doing to keep the economy going despite the roadblocks, stop with refering to the prior administration and take a page from the Reps book - stick to his points and don't give them another inch. It's the Reps turn to move back to center as well.
03:28 PM on 11/05/2010
I've posted it before...Obama needs to hire Paul Begala
03:09 PM on 11/05/2010
The "Country First" crowd will continue to put their party first. Bowing to Boehner won't change that.
libertyanne
Red-haired Freedom lover
03:04 PM on 11/05/2010
Your'e wrong Paul. Obama is already a centerist. He never promised to be a liberal that's true but throwing us under the bus has cost him the house. A republican house will bring a lot of pain to us all and keep the administration under subpoena. This president needs to stand up to the wingnuts. He must keep the senate in session through Christmas if he has to until they pass the Disclosure Act. It's time to make the GOP's actually stand up and defend themselves about why we don't deserve to know where that dirty money came from. I can't believe someone who's been in this game as long as you have still hasn't learned.
06:26 PM on 11/05/2010
Yes, yes, and yes. Plus Begala underestimates (and using that word is also an underestimate) how virulently the right hates Obama. They already said their whole premise is to make him a one-termer. Like, I had this silly idea they were in office to make the country better. So these people are not exactly holding themselves open to the slightest possibility of compromise--they've already declared war.

The Senate should also be running non-stop on anything else it can after the Disclosure Act until the end of this session. Do you know that one of the 400-odd bills they're sitting on deals with elder abuse? That is not shameful. It's practically criminal. How come everybody in America doesn't know that?

I think that right now Obama thinks he needs to play nice, not more than through the end of January, I hope. I think that it's reasonable that he looks conciliatory because that's what the American people expect of their leaders.

But as soon as the new Congress starts going completely partisan, he had better get out his Plan B, which is to be aggressive mode. Miracle of miracles, I heard he has a Plan B. Hope that's not false hope. If it is, he will deserve one term because this bipartisan crap that he's been trying for two years has been ridiculous: bipartisan means two parties. We have a few months to wait to see if there's is an actual game plan.
09:44 PM on 11/05/2010
Then it might be up to all of us others who don't prescribe to the right to dig and dig and find the hidden things in McConnels and Boehner closets and Becks, Limbergers, and Hannitys and lets air these things out to the public and see what happens. Our only rule is to make sure the facts are true.
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
jimtodd
Unrepentant child of '60s
03:03 PM on 11/05/2010
I call BS. This is the same tired advice you and those of your ilk have been pushing for the last thirty years while the repugnant/corporate party has dismantled the country. It didn't work for Clinton and it hasn't worked for this president either. Obama will have to move left to become a centrist.