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January: 19th Warmest Globally and "Coolest" in Four Years

Posted: 02/17/2012 5:54 pm

Last month was the fourth warmest January on record for the contiguous United States and the 19th warmest January on record globally.

This 19th warmest ranking also means that January was the "coolest" month in the past four years.

The overall cooling tendency of La Nina, record cold in Alaska (not counted in the stats for the contiguous U.S.), and widespread cold in Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Asia tempered the unusual warmth across the United States.

The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature in January was 54.3 degrees Fahrenheit, which is 0.7 degrees Fahrenheit above the 20th century average. Separately, the land surface temperature was 1.1 degrees Fahrenheit higher than the 20th century average (26th warmest on record), and the global ocean surface temperature was 0.54 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than the 20th century average (17th warmest on record).

There are a number global temperature measurements and a number of rankings, which can lead to confusion. The statistics referenced here are based on NOAA's preliminary global climate data, which is released each month. Each month is compared to itself (January versus all previous January months, July versus all previous July months, etc.), and the result is individual lists of the months ranked in order from warmest to coolest, with the data extending back to the 1890s.

In these terms, January 2012 ranks as the "coolest" individual month since January 2008, which was the 31st warmest January on record, and January 2012 is only one of five months out of the past 48 that has not been in the top 10 warmest on record. For comparison, eight of the 48 months have been the warmest or second warmest on record.

2012-02-17-january_2012_temps.gif

The cold from Eastern Europe into much of Asia represented the beginning of a prolonged intense cold wave that expanded westward and resulted in devastating cold and snow to large portions of Europe into this month.

It will be interesting to see how the battle between the U.S. warmth and European cold will play out in the global temperature statistics for February, and I'll include an update when those stats become available.

 
 
 
 
 
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
dragonlady620
My karma will run over your dogma
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
05:30 PM on 02/22/2012
Skepticalscience is a great site. Disregard jdey1234 the serial denier and scientists impersonator (really).
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:16 PM on 02/19/2012
Paul, why do so many meteorologists discount climate change or choose not to believe in it when the evidence is so overwhelming?
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jdey1234
03:14 PM on 02/20/2012
Do you have just 1 post of original data that you've researched yourself?
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
08:18 AM on 02/21/2012
"Do you have just 1 post of original data that you've researched yourself?"

Are you suddenly going to recognize the century of original research which backs the scientific consensus on global warming?
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dragonlady620
My karma will run over your dogma
02:37 PM on 02/21/2012
Do you?
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SallyMaclennane
The Audacity of Hype.
08:22 AM on 02/19/2012
Wow....number 19 out of 140 years of records. What was the average earth's temperature in January of 38,493 B.C.? I'll be anxiously awaiting those precise numbers.
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
08:30 PM on 02/19/2012
"What was the average earth's temperatur­e in January of 38,493 B.C.?"

It was very cold. Why do you ask?
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gallon
Those who fail to remember history are, um
01:04 AM on 02/20/2012
Among deniers, that is considered to be clever humor.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
Phreaked
In Brightest Day, In Blackest Night
04:43 PM on 02/18/2012
Up here in Northern Ontario Canada we've had nothing but record highs. All this past week its been above freezing and even rained once. But we've gotten just enough snow to make this one of he best years for skiing conditions (slightly under freezing at night, slightly above during the day)
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jdey1234
02:10 AM on 02/19/2012
Satellite records, indicate Northern Ontario was colder than normal on Saturday, 11th February, but warmer than normal on all the other days, apart from yesterday, Saturday 18th February which was normal. It would be nice to have that confirmed. I know the satellite animation's working well for the UK but obviously can't be sure about other parts of the world.
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jdey1234
11:44 AM on 02/18/2012
Central England was the 309th coldest on record (45th warmest). Just colder than those El Nino years -1676 and 1696 ;)

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
09:31 PM on 02/20/2012
Hey, you found the Met Office website! I'm glad you like their information. What does it say about global warming? How come you'll believe them about the weather in central England, but not about global warming?
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jdey1234
11:16 AM on 02/21/2012
Because I live in Central England so can check the data, whereas their opinion that the data shows manmade global warming makes no sense, as CO2 emissions have skyrocketed since the start of the industrial revolution which is roughly the start of the graph, yet the warming that's occurred is minimal.
08:46 PM on 02/22/2012
The temperatures given are factual and can be verified. Global warming is obviously not happening if you look at the big picture. Climate change is happening like it has since the beginning of time. Global change happening is not proof that it is being caused by man. It happened before man was around!
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DocSkull
My questions aren't rhetorical.
08:20 AM on 02/21/2012
From the Met Office website:

"While there are noticeable highs and lows in year to year data, over longer periods of time there is a discernible warming trend across the globe. Natural causes can explain only a small part of this warming. The overwhelming majority of scientists agree that this is due to rising concentrations of heat-trapping greenhouse gases in the atmosphere caused by human activities."

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate-change
08:49 PM on 02/22/2012
"The overwhelming majority of scientists" who obtain their funding from the tax payer, and who have a strong interest in keeping this funding, "agree that this is due to rising concentrations of heat-trapping greenhouse gases in the atmosphere caused by human activities."
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jdey1234
11:20 AM on 02/18/2012
Last month, Central England was the 49th warmest on record (309th coldest), just colder than 1676 and 1696, well known Mega La Nina years. ;)

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt
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GhostOfFDR
You're on the slippery slope to socialism
02:51 PM on 02/20/2012
Which is why it shows a positive anomally. England is supposed to be bloody cold in the winter, and it's just a mite cold this year.
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jdey1234
11:38 AM on 02/21/2012
The figures aren't temperature anomalies, they're the daily mean temperatures.
It's telling you that England in January 2012 was warmer than England was in January 1676.
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jdey1234
03:06 AM on 02/18/2012
A good source for seeing how the world is doing as whole for the last 7 days is here:-
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/fnl/sfctmpmer_01a.fnl.anim.html

For the first 2 weeks in February, Europe, Australia, northern Asia and Antarctica were much colder than normal, with the contiguous US and Arctic being warmer than normal with part of the Arctic being much warmer than normal. On balance, the world looked like it would be below the baseline anomaly during this period. Currenlty, most of the places that were much colder have warmed up, the US has cooled slightly and the Arctic has remained warm, so on balance the world looks warmer than the baseline anomaly. It would have to be significantly warmer over the whole globe for the 11 days remaining for February 2012 not to be another cold month, however.
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jdey1234
02:51 AM on 02/18/2012
Firstly, the Pacific ocean is cooling down, but it will take another 2 overlapping seasons to confirm that we have an official La Nina event.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ensoyears.shtml

Secondly, if the cooling pacific ocean was the reason for the cool global temperature in January 2012, why was one of the areas closest to it's source - the contiguous US - warmer than the rest of the planet?

The truth is that climate "scientists" haven't got a clue where the "missing heat" which the computer models predicted should have occurred due to increasing CO2 emissions, has disappeared to. The solar cycle has been on a rise since 2009, so it's obviously not that. The explanation that it's being sucked in to the ocean depths is frankly ludicrous. Even if there was such a momentous force that could carry warm water downwards, it wouldn't stay there for long due to convection.
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doriath22
Born-again Jacobin. Robespierre had the right idea
07:22 AM on 02/19/2012
See, folks, by putting quotation marks around the work "scientist", this convenience store clerk has "proven" that the whole thing is a hoax. And to think of all the years I "wasted" getting advanced degrees........
05:09 PM on 02/20/2012
How do you know where he works?
06:00 PM on 02/21/2012
No...having one of your global warming hero scientist fraudulently obtaining documents then inserting a faked document into the mess and trying to pass it off as a conspiracy make all the theories suspect......I really hope man made global warming is false cuz the people pushing it are without a doubt the biggest bumblers of all time. Oh... good on you for that advanced degree....I sit here positivley humbled by your superior intellect. What a jewel you must be in person.
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realpolitic
GOP is full of sound and fury, signifying nothing!
07:18 PM on 02/19/2012
The "missing" heat has gone into the deep ocean.  When you say scientists haven't got a clue what you really mean is that you don't have a clue.
06:01 PM on 02/21/2012
Just how did that happen.....really it got sucked down in some kind of vortex......