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Paul Yeager

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New Life-Threatening Flooding Threat From Tropical Storm Lee

Posted: 09/02/11 05:47 PM ET

If there is one thing that we learned from Hurricane Irene, it's that a tropical storm or hurricane doesn't have to have the highest winds in order to cause massive damage. And Tropical Storm Lee, in the Gulf of Mexico, is the next system to pose a serious danger to parts of the U.S.

The National Hurricane Center does not expect Lee to strengthen into hurricane, but the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center expects the slow-moving tropical storm to produce copious amounts of rainfall fall along the Gulf Coast and then farther northward.

As much as a foot and a half of rain is possible in parts of southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi through next Wednesday, and very heavy rainfall -- possibly well over six inches will extend northward into central Louisiana, central Mississippi, southern Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle. The heavy rain will eventually extend northward into the Tennessee Valley and perhaps the mid-Atlantic region as the remnant moisture gets pulled northward.

2011-09-02-rainfall.gif

This much rain during a relatively short period of time has the potential to produce life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, as well as property damage. That's the case even in a region where long-term rainfall has been less than normal, which is the case along the Gulf Coast. The drought where the rain is predicted is not as intense as it is across Oklahoma and Texas, where drought conditions are "exceptional" -- the worst category.

The rain is the biggest threat, especially if Lee remains below hurricane strength as predicted; however, if the storm were to remain over the sultry water, the tropical storm could strengthen into a hurricane. A hurricane, of course, would pose greater danger in terms of wind and storm surge.

Regardless of any intensification, rain will be a very serious threat.

 
 
 
If there is one thing that we learned from Hurricane Irene, it's that a tropical storm or hurricane doesn't have to have the highest winds in order to cause massive damage. And Tropical Storm Lee, in ...
If there is one thing that we learned from Hurricane Irene, it's that a tropical storm or hurricane doesn't have to have the highest winds in order to cause massive damage. And Tropical Storm Lee, in ...
 
 
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KOisGod
To thine own self be true
01:24 AM on 09/03/2011
I just hope those Levees have been reinforced...
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Bienville
Make levees, not war
10:01 AM on 09/03/2011
I don't expect the levees to be a problem. The levees keep the RIver and the Gulf out. The threat today is water is falling from the sky. We have to pump is out over the levees. The greatest danger is pump failure or the pumps being overwhelmed by the rate of rainfall. Once again, the Corps' incompetence is between us and safety: http://fixthepumps.blogspot.com/
and: http://fixthepumps.blogspot.com/2011/07/rusty-pumps-summing-up.html.
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Bienville
Make levees, not war
10:38 AM on 09/03/2011
I made a post about the levees not being as important as the pumps, but it hasn't appeared.

This blog about the Corps' pumps might interest you:
http://fixthepumps.blogspot.com/2011/07/rusty-pumps-summing-up.html
12:09 AM on 09/03/2011
I'm glad I have a small camper. In the event of an actual emergency, I'm outa here (western PA). Everybody, do yourselves a favor: Lay in a supply of drinkable water. Get those 2-liter pop bottles, milk jugs, etc., rinse them out, and fill them with water. It's cheap, easy, and better than recycling them!
12:07 AM on 09/03/2011
could katia merge with lee over the mid atlantic? the seem to be headed to the same place.
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sunbeltvoter
Teapublican Evangelical Cults ARE The Problem
10:49 AM on 09/03/2011
Looks to me like Lee is going to rain in Mid New York on Friday and Katia will rain there Sunday. Floods ain't over yet.
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sweetgreensnowpea
alien researcher with a notepad
09:34 PM on 09/02/2011
how many "tropical storms"/hurricanes develop in the gulf of mexico rather than the atlantic ocean?
(oy, i want to snark, and if it brings rain to texas, will rick perry take credit for it?)
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signgrrl
typeface geek
06:52 PM on 09/02/2011
and Katia is headed towards the east coast, right now veering possibly towards GA and or FL.

www.noaa.gov
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doctorj2u
05:38 PM on 09/02/2011
Slow moving is the scary part of this storm. We have already seen the feeder bands this afternoon and they are saying the storm itself may not make landfall until Monday AM. We could get 20 inches of rain out of this thing.
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Left of Right
Want to default your country? Default your job!
10:36 PM on 09/02/2011
doc, where are you? 20" sounds like big trouble. Let's hope, if it comes, it comes in less than 5" per day! Good luck, and be safe!
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Bienville
Make levees, not war
10:04 AM on 09/03/2011
Most parts of the city should handle 12" per day, as long as it's spread out over the day and doesn't come down all in the same place. I am more worried about the Corps' pumps. They seem to be designed and maintained with the same excellence as everything else teh Corps does here:http://fixthepumps.blogspot.com/2011/07/rusty-pumps-summing-up.html
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Bienville
Make levees, not war
11:28 AM on 09/03/2011
Seems I on the HP S-list today.

Most of the CIty can handle much more than 5", more like 12" per day, If it's not all at once or all in the same place.

The CIty can get it into the Canals, it's up to the Corps to get it into the Lake.
maxfax
Taa - dah!
05:01 PM on 09/03/2011
Things turned out better than expected, thus far. However the on the east coast there was no expectation that things could worsen as they did and cause so much castrophic flooding particularly in Jersey and Vermont.