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Peter Daou

Peter Daou

Posted: March 24, 2008 12:25 PM

Three Myths About the Democratic Race


MYTH: Barack Obama is running a positive campaign that will unite Americans.

FACT: Barack Obama and his advisers have conducted a divisive "full assault" on Hillary's character.

While talking a lot about the politics of hope, change and unity, Sen. Obama and his campaign have been conducting a relentless and singularly personal assault on Hillary's character. They have blanketed big states with false negative mailers and radio ads and have described Hillary and her campaign as "disingenuous," "divisive," "untruthful," "dishonest," "polarizing," "calculating," "saying whatever it takes to win," "attempting to deceive the American people," "one of the most secretive in America," "deliberately misleading," "literally willing to do anything to win," and "playing politics with war."

This "full assault" on Hillary's integrity and character has reached a new peak since Hillary's victories on March 4th. One of Sen. Obama's top surrogates equated President Clinton with Joe McCarthy; another called Hillary a "monster;" and his campaign manager held an angry conference call claiming that Hillary is "deeply flawed" and has "character issues." That's neither unifying nor hopeful. If Sen. Obama really is the prohibitive favorite some say he is, these negative attacks make absolutely no sense. Why would a frontrunner seek to attack and divide? If Sen. Obama can't unify Democrats in a primary, how can he unify Americans in a general election?

=====

MYTH: The delegate "math" works decisively against Hillary.

FACT: The delegate math reflects an extremely close race that either candidate can win.

"The Math" is actually very simple: with hundreds of delegates still uncommitted, NEITHER candidate has reached the number of delegates required to secure the nomination. And EITHER candidate can reach the required number in the coming weeks and months. That is indisputable. No amount of editorials, articles, blog posts, charts, graphs, calculations, formulas, or projections will change the basic fact that either candidate can win. Pundits who confidently proclaim that Hillary has no hope of winning because of "the math," have counted Hillary out of this race three times before. Each time they based their sober assessments on 'facts' and 'realities' -- and each time they were wrong.

In a campaign with dozens of unexpected twists and turns, bold prognostications should be viewed with a healthy dose of skepticism. Look no further than Sen. Obama's "full assault" on Hillary's character to judge whether he thinks this election is over. The fact is this: Hillary and Sen. Obama are locked in a very close, hard-fought campaign and Hillary is demonstrating precisely the strength of character required of a president. Her resilience in the face of adversity, her faith in the voters, her capacity to rise to every challenge, are part of the reason she is the best general election candidate for Democrats. And it is why she is increasingly strong against John McCain in the polls at the same time that Sen. Obama is dropping against Sen. McCain.

=====

MYTH: For Hillary to win, super delegates must "overturn the will of the people."

FACT: The race is virtually tied, the "will of the people" is split, and both candidates need super delegates to win.

The Obama campaign and Sen. Obama's surrogates have engaged in a sustained public relations effort to convince people that the election is over and that if super delegates perform their established role of choosing a candidate who they believe will make the best nominee and president, they are somehow "overturning the will of the people." They have the audacity to make this argument while quietly and systematically courting those very same super delegates. They are courting them because they know that Sen. Obama needs super delegates to win. The Obama spin is being parroted daily by pundits, but it is patently false. The race is virtually tied; the "will of the people" is split. By virtually every measure, Hillary and Sen. Obama are neck and neck -- separated by less than 130 of the more than 3,100 delegates committed thus far and less than 1% of the 27 million+ votes cast, including Florida and Michigan. Less than 1%.

An incremental advantage for one candidate or the other is hardly a reason for super delegates to change the rules mid-game. Despite the Obama campaign's aggressive spin and pressure, the RULES require super delegates to exercise their best independent judgment, and that is what they will do. Even Sen. Obama's top strategist agrees they should. If not, then why don't prominent Obama endorsers like Senators Kerry (MA) and Kennedy (MA), and Governors Patrick (MA), Napolitano (AZ)  and Richardson (NM) follow the will of their constituents and switch their support to Hillary? After all, she won their states. And if this is truly about the "will of the people," then Sen. Obama's short-sighted tactic to run out the clock on a revote in Florida and Michigan accomplishes exactly two things: it disenfranchises Florida and Michigan's voters; and it hurts Democrats in a general election. Apparently, for the Obama campaign, the "will of the people" is just words.

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02:36 PM on 03/25/2008
If it isn't obvious by now...
Peter Daou is Hillary Clinton for President's Internet Director.

This blog entry is all SPIN. The Clinton campaign has been trying to redefine "win" for months because cannot win straight up. They've tried to discount delegates from caucuses, open primaries, states that are "too black", "too red", "too small" or frankly, delegates from any state Clinton hasn't won.

The proportional allocation of delegates means that Barack's Pledged Delegate lead is large. So large, in fact, that Clinton cannot realistically catch him.

Now, check out current Super Delegate counts:
1) Barack is ahead in Super Delegates representing elected officials -- Governors, Senators and Congressmen.
2) Clinton is ahead in the count of Super Delegates that are party insiders -- primarily the DNC.

A Clinton win would in fact require Super Delegates to override Pledged Delegates. Conventional wisdom says this would override the "will of the people". I share that view, and believe Super Delegates won't want any part of that; especially, if winning relies on DNC party insiders.

The saddest part is that a Clinton coup requires damaging Obama enough to make him unelectable; hence, the increasingly nasty Clinton campaign. A Clinton win would be a Pyrrhic victory. Win the battle, but at such great loss as to lose the war.

The question we should be asking is, why hasn't Clinton graciously dropped out? What is her objective in continuing a destructive campaign that she cannot win?
02:08 PM on 03/25/2008
false?

"Hillary and her campaign as "disingenuous," "divisive," "untruthful," "dishonest," "polarizing," "calculating," "saying whatever it takes to win," "attempting to deceive the American people," "one of the most secretive in America," "deliberately misleading," "literally willing to do anything to win," and "playing politics with war."

Bosinia? NAFTA, DLC Lieberman connection,

There is nothing "false" about Obama's statements about Hillary.

This is more "projection" and "Big lies" from the Hillary Camp.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chandler02
07:12 PM on 03/25/2008
exactly!
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
sadcitizen
01:51 PM on 03/25/2008
When I posted"you are a liar"I meant that for Wolfi101
01:08 PM on 03/25/2008
My bad ,they crossed over because they support Barack *and* Illinois.
photo
poeticjustice4all
Past = Prologue
01:06 PM on 03/25/2008
TRUTH 1: Angry, vengeful, single-issue neo-libs focused solely on making Clinton suffer for her 2002 war vote, and conveniently hid behind Obama's banner of "HOPE."

TRUTH 2: Many women -- due to whatever sick, self-hating, psycho-socio reasons -- chose a young man over an experienced woman because her husband cheated.

TRUTH 3: 90% of Barry's admirers self-identify as White (I still believe in a place called "GUILT") and are proud of themselves mostly for being willing to vote for a Black man -- despite the fact that Obama is no more Black than he is White. Ferraro is correct. If these folks identified Chicago's junior Senator as White -- he would never have beaten Edwards -- and wouldn't still be in the running.

TRUTH 4: When Rev. Wright became an issue, Barry's lead over McCain vanished into thin air.
05:38 PM on 03/25/2008
This 50-something woman couldn't care less that Bill cheated. Me? My main issue with Hillary is that she is, at least as far as elected offices go, a carpetbagger.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
chandler02
07:13 PM on 03/25/2008
I am a woman, and I am not sick or self hating. I just chose my candidate based on policy and leadership skills...not on what kind of junk they have.

It is pretty sad how Hillary's camp attacks women who don't vote for her.
12:25 PM on 03/25/2008
Peter Daou is Hillary Clinton for President's Internet Director.
12:43 PM on 03/25/2008
I wonder why this wasn't made absolutely clear in the post.

Full disclosure, Peter, c'mon!
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
JimR
12:22 PM on 03/25/2008
How can the Obama campaign suggest that Clinton is untruthful, after she flew into Bosnia under a hail of gunfire?
12:48 PM on 03/25/2008
The Clinton supporters are 'projecting' - they refuse to see their own flawed support for a flawed candidate, and they are unappeasable. That's why Obama can't unite them - they've convinced themselves they're too smart to drink the Obama "cool-aid" and have snidely dismissed our support for him as being delusional. All 20-something million of us who voted for him 'just don't get it.' They're so angry for no reason that they're willing to sabotage this country for another 4 years because it's not their candidate - with whom Obama agrees on 95% of all issues, BTW - who ran a campaign competently enough to win, when they've had every advantage.

The great preponderance of the negativity in this campaign is coming from the Clinton camp. I'll say that I'm disappointed in some of Obama's surrogates, but I see much more venomous remarks, deceptions, and lies coming out of the Kitchen Sink strategy that Clinton has adopted. This article is absurd.

It's one thing to call out a candidate on things that are fictitious. It's quite another to point out things that are true and to fairly criticize her policies and claims.
03:21 PM on 03/25/2008
You got that Right!

What can we do to educate people about "Projection" and "Big Lies"?

"I know you are, but what am I"

Voters: if you don't understand "projection" and "big lies" you will keep getting the opposite of what you want.
11:20 AM on 03/25/2008
Desperation is a stinky cologne, Peter.
This user has chosen to opt out of the Badges program
11:45 AM on 03/25/2008
apikores
photo
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Ramirez
Taxpayer-American
11:19 AM on 03/25/2008
There will be no clear winner. Obama will have a slight lead in delegates but Hillary will have big state wins and momentum. The party bosses will step in and sort it out. ---- Hillary/Obama. ---- It's coming and you will like it.
HUFFPOST PUNDIT
JimR
12:20 PM on 03/25/2008
You will see neither Clinton/Obama nor Obama/Clinton. Ain't gonna happen.
12:54 PM on 03/25/2008
Okie-dok.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
letuckerchicago
11:16 AM on 03/25/2008
It's over already. Hillary is hurting Obama, herself, the Democratic party and the country. No good can come of this no matter how you spin it. I hate to see her go out like this. Please, have some grace!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
cyndeewi
Here to save the day
11:13 AM on 03/25/2008
You know what really gets me about you Peter Daou? I can tell that you are a Hillary supporter. Every time something happens in the Clinton campaign they blame it all on Obama. So, I suppose that he is not suppose to bring up about how she LIED about Bosna, and that is ok for her husband to have 500 million dollars donate to the Clinton library or her stealing presidential gifts when they left the white house. And Oh, I DID NOT HAVE SEX WITH THAT WOMAN! said in front of the entire world. Its fine for her campaign to send a picture to the media that shows Obama garb in african clothes, given just before the Ohio and Texas primary.
11:10 AM on 03/25/2008
What's this? Peter Daou needs to be re-educated. How dare he question the Obamican talking points of Truth and Hope! Everyone knows that Hillary Clinton, no matter how many votes she gets, or how many primaries she wins, is a dirty cheater who is trying to steal the election. She is trying to steal it by refusing to quit and trying to get more delegates than her divinely anointed opponent. Clinton refuses to acknowledge that those delegates rightfully belong to Barack Obama, and that it is just wrong, undemocratic and totally cheatful of her to insist on trying to run for president when everyone knows that only Barack Obama deserves to be president.
12:50 PM on 03/25/2008
"How DARE he question Obama?" .
Beginning to sound like Rev. Wright in comparing Obama to Christ.
When the day come that we do not question every single leader, then that day we have descended into the maelstrom of tyranny. This is no different an attitude than those who would not allow Bush to be questioned during the onslaught of the Iraqi invasion (remember the Dixie Chicks?).

This attitude is simply trading one style of blind compliance for another style of blind compliance.

Of course this never lasts , as Bush has seen and so will Obama, if elected (to quote Bernstein's Mass; 'You people of power your power is now. You plan to rule forever, but you never do somehow').

I question Hillary and McCain all the time. Neither are perfect and yet I don't see their supporters blindly making excuses for all their wrongs and or missteps the way I see Obama's supporters do.
02:46 PM on 03/26/2008
:D giggle
11:08 AM on 03/25/2008
Wow. Almost this entire post is false or misleading.
10:56 AM on 03/25/2008
Hillary haters, please be specific when you attack her character. What exactly is it, is she an alcoholic, did she use cocaine or other drugs, lazy, does she lie more than other politicians, does she compromise too much with Republicans, did she commit adultery, was a lousy mother, did she not serve her constituents ?
10:55 AM on 03/25/2008
Mmmmm! Tasty kool-ade... But your entire premise is based on the idea that delegates are willing to vote by large margins to disenfranchise the leading candidate.