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Kindle, Nook Price Cuts: It's Official -- eBooks Are the Future of Publishing

Posted: 06/24/10 03:45 PM ET

Remember when flat screen televisions were priced over $3,000? Or when cell phones and associated monthly service plans were strictly for the well-heeled? The typical pricing strategy for innovative technology products is to target aficionados with high prices and if consumers adopt, new competitors enter the market and more advanced models are rolled out. This pattern is a form of "market-based" research for new products. With little reason to discount, duds eventually disappear. Conversely, pushed by competition, manufacturers of hit products view discounts as their ticket to mainstream riches. Such is the historical pricing pattern of successful products.

Mass adoption typically results when one manufacturer concludes, "there is a big market for our product and a drop in price will lead to blockbuster sales." After this mass market discount is implemented, rival manufacturers have little choice but to lower their prices too. This is exactly what happened this week: Barnes & Noble dropped the price of its Nook to $199 (also offered a basic Wi-Fi version for $149) and Amazon retaliated within hours by discounting its Kindle e-reader to $189. Saddled with memories of the consumer backlash that resulted from dropping iPhone prices too quickly after its release, Apple opted to sit on the sidelines and maintain its iPad prices.

While 25% price cuts make for a few days of interesting news, these discounts have larger long term implications to publishers, brick and mortar retailers, and device makers.

Instead of wishfully hoping that e-books will remain a niche product, publishers now have to realize that e-books are officially a game changer. If an increasing percentage of readers choose to read electronically, it's foolish to thwart e-book sales (which are more profitable due to cost efficiencies) with tactics such as delaying the digital release for months after the hardcover is in stores. Consumers aren't going to wait. The pathway to survival for publishers is straightforward: publish (and promote) e-books or perish.

With print sales destined to slowly wither, brick and mortar book retailers also need to adapt to the realities of this movement towards e-books or go the way of record stores. Numb from disbelief, the music industry and record stores twittered their thumbs as consumers switched to digital. As a result, how many record stores are in your area today?

In the music industry, digital profits come from the device while content is essentially given away. While margins are thin on 99 cent songs, the bulk of Apple's digital music profits come from iPod sales, for instance. The opposite business model is emerging in the publishing industry. With margins being squeezed on e-reader devices, the profits from consumers switching to digital will be from selling e-books. In publishing, the device is the razor and e-books are the profitable razor blades. To remain viable, device makers will have to ally themselves with or be a part of a digital book selling operation.

This week's e-reader device price war was a shot over the bow -- the future of publishing has been clarified: digital books are set for explosive growth while print books are slowly headed toward extinction.

Rafi Mohammed, Ph.D. is the author of the newly released pricing strategy book, The 1% Windfall: How Successful Companies Use Price to Profit and Grow (HarperBusiness).

 
 
 
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12:50 AM on 06/26/2010
I agree with Ben Lee who posted "Android powered tablets with ebook apps are not converting many true readers, mostly just people seeking multifunctional devices who happen to also read."

I have no desire for a tablet. I hardly use my bare-bones pay-as-you-go cell phone. I don't text, Twit, listen to music on the go, check email, etc. But I do read. Quite a bit, and I'd love to read MORE but I don't have time to shop for books, hate waiting for them in the mail, hate paying late fines to the library.

I want instant gratification. I want the ability to have any book I desire, instantly. But I don't read book on my computer and I get tired of staring into the light (my job is 100% pc usage, too).

I love real books, but they're not always practical. I've gotten rid of hundreds of good books because I've moved a lot in the last few years.

I want a Nook so I can reach a happy medium between real books and digital.
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KalNJ
02:42 PM on 06/25/2010
Why are B&N even selling the Nook?

Wouldn't it will be more beneficial in the long run to give it away (or sell it at cost or below cost) if you join a "book club" which makes you buy a book a month for two years?

This way they'll create a long term relationship with you without asking the customer to make a big investment.
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BlackJAC
It's better to be a black king than a white knight
01:58 PM on 06/25/2010
How exactly is a price reduction an official indicator of where society is trending regarding technology? You still forget that a mass market paperback costs less than an E-book, doesn't require $150 worth of electronics to use, and still functions when the power goes out or it's dropped on the floor.
10:18 AM on 06/25/2010
I don't want to see the bookstore on the street end, however. That would be very, very bad as those places are very important to me. Consider that you can't go to Tower Records anymore and just hang out and check out what is new. It's a shame that itunes is all you get to look at anymore. That's what they call progress, unfortunately progress will take away what you once found valuable. Maybe we are becoming the Morlocks like H.G. Wells wrote. We may never go outside again.
10:58 PM on 06/24/2010
We will inevitably see some players drop out of the game now that the price is at a point where they can no longer compete. This is unfortunate, but the most likely result.

New devices are undoubtedly more appealing to the younger techier generation with higher inclination toward multifunctional devices. The dedicated eReaders will end up becoming more niched and geared toward those with a high focus on reading.

I do not feel that the eReader will go away so quickly however. Sure, they are becoming cheaper. But that does not mean their core market needs the eReader any less than it did a week ago. There is still a large demand for such devices by those who are enthusiastic about reading. The market for eReaders never really was about capturing everyone, just those who are serious about reading. Android powered tablets with ebook apps are not converting many true readers, mostly just people seeking multifunctional devices who happen to also read.

Anyway, fantastic post. I continued my above reaction on my blog post: http://ebookreader-ben.com/did-kindle-nook-price-wars-signal-the-end-of-ereaders/