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Randy Olson

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Hope Is for Environmentalists, Trust Is for Scientists

Posted: 03/02/11 04:14 PM ET

Let's talk about the differences between environmentalists and scientists.

They both seek the support of the general public but, at least in theory, their goals are different. For starters, environmentalists know what they want. Scientists don't. Environmentalists want a specific outcome. Scientists seek only knowledge.

Environmentalists know they want this particular forest or that specific estuary to be protected. Their mission is to communicate with the public in a manner that will prompt people to part with time or money to help "win" the battle to protect nature. Environmentalists are waging a struggle against their opposition, which means there is a competitive element to their mission involving the hope of winning and the fear of losing.

Scientists, on the other hand, are on a quest for knowledge -- a quest that in its purest form is so objective there really is no goal. For a true scientist, if chemical A cures cancer or doesn't cure cancer, the result is equally satisfying. At least, that's how it's supposed to be.

What this means is that "hope" is an important element for the environmental movement -- environmentalists need to make sure it remains prominent in their "messaging" to the public. In the same way that "hope springs eternal" for every last-place baseball team, every environmental cause has to retain the element of hope no matter how daunting the opposition.

But in the science world it's different. Scientists are assumed to be unbiased, looking at the world with a cold, clinical eye, not feeling any emotional connection to the direction of their research. They aren't supposed to "hope" that a hawk feeds on one species of mouse more than another. They are just supposed to study the natural world and tell us what they see.

As a result, it's logical that environmentalists would appeal to people with stories of hope -- that they would present data that suggest that a rare bird species can be brought back from the brink of extinction if people support efforts to establish a nature preserve. It's logical for environmentalists to say, "If we do this, there is cause for hope that the species will survive."

However, research scientists are in a different situation. And yet, they too need the public's support. So how can they achieve this?

The answer is trust. People support institutions they trust. Scientists have a long record of success. They have brought us technology, cured diseases, and improved the standard of living for humanity. Rather than pointing to the future and asking the public to hope for their continued success, scientists can draw on their past record to win public trust.

Medical scientists certainly know this. People visit doctors today not in the blind hope for a cure, but rather because of a trust established from decades of accumulating knowledge and eradicating disease.

Right now, the field of climate science is struggling to generate support for predictions of environmental calamity that have not yet been realized. Climate models indicate a dire future, but because the predictions are not 100 percent certain, opponents have an easy time attacking and undermining their credibility. And yet, if climate scientists were to use their past accomplishments to bolster their current claims, there would be less controversy, as it's more difficult to undermine the credibility of established achievements.

Let's take a look at one of the greatest climate science accomplishments of the past two decades: understanding the El Niño phenomenon. In 1998, in a questionnaire given to students on the first day of my introductory marine biology course at the University of Southern California, I asked, "What is El Niño?" Out of roughly fifty students, not a single student could answer the question.

Today, I guarantee that just about every student would immediately answer that the phenomenon refers to a year in which the weather gets wacky with massive rainfalls, mud slides and wildfires. A significant number would be able to add further details about the ocean being exceptionally warm and fishermen catching strange fish from the south, and a few would even be able to tell you that it's caused by ocean currents slowing down. More important are the benefits of this broad knowledge to the state of California. Every industry -- from fishing to farming to transport -- benefits from our understanding of "an El Niño year" and, especially, from the ability to predict its approach nearly a year in advance.

All of that is the result of climate science. Now imagine if a positive public relations campaign were launched, pointing this out to the general public. Think of General Electric's old ad campaign, "GE: We bring good things to life" and imagine something similar to "Climate science: We help make sense of your world."

The elements for building public trust are there. The only thing lacking is the large-scale instincts to take advantage of them -- to use past accomplishments to build trust rather than pointing to future threats in a gambit of hope and fear.

In a world of anti-science movements, winning the public's support for science is more difficult than ever. It's essential that scientists recognize two things:

  1. There is no more powerful form of mass communication than the telling of good stories.
  2. Support for science will come not from the promise of future solutions but from telling stories about solutions achieved in the past.

Reprinted from Solutions Journal.

 
Let's talk about the differences between environmentalists and scientists. They both seek the support of the general public but, at least in theory, their goals are different. For starters, environme...
Let's talk about the differences between environmentalists and scientists. They both seek the support of the general public but, at least in theory, their goals are different. For starters, environme...
 
 
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05:09 PM on 03/03/2011
You guys missed all the qualifiers -- "at least that's how it's supposed to be," "assumed to be," and "aren't supposed to." It's not quite the same essay if you choose to skip those bits.
12:24 PM on 03/03/2011
I think I will have to agree with the previous comments and disagree with the article's portrayal of the nature of scientists. Show me a scientist with no "emotional connection to the direction of their research" and I will show you a person at war with themselves. Truthfully, many of the science folk I associate with are incredibly passionate and driven by a set of strong beliefs which direct them to a hope or goal. Scientists are people, and people are biased.

This is not to say that their work is biased. In fact, the process of scientific inquiry itself is the lens by which bias is (hopefully) removed. Every step after the conception of an idea, from experimental design, to peer review is designed to eliminate bias and this is where misconceptions arise.

Take Einstien. If you were to read his manuscripts, you may conclude that he is the ideal unbiased, knowledge for the sake of knowledge, scientist. But read a few of his personal musings or quotes and there can be no question that he was a man driven by belief, direction, and a bias toward the way he saw the world.

You need the environmentalist and the scientist as a team. Both will be driven to solve the problem. The scientist is necessary to evaluate the best solution, the environmentalist is necessary to promote that solution. I agree with the title of your article, but the logical framework is a bit off in my opinion.
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04:32 AM on 03/03/2011
Mr Olson,

I can assure you, if you want to win the minds of the masses, you will do well to avoid sentences like "Scientists seek only knowledge." I recommend also, you do not mythologize scientists as dispassioned, purely objective seekers without any emotional connection to their subject, who evidently have never brought humanity anything other than a better standard of living. Elevated above it all, or, elevated above, i.e. better than. You are describing an archetype, which any can aspire to but none can be. But which, unfortunately, many a scientist has thought himself to be, every one of them with a blind spot wide enough to drive a legacy through, deep enough to bury a cause.

The Earth needs you, scientist. Be human, not an archetype. Don't elevate yourself above anyone, or anything.

www.offthegridmpls.blogspot.com
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rodjard
I Update my brain frequently
03:06 AM on 03/03/2011
I have replaced my synthroid with Iodine. I am finally getting well.
That is a scientific fact. Where did they drop the ball here?
04:52 AM on 03/03/2011
Stay off of fluoridated tap water also. It's all socialism.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPynwi_T8DQ&feature=player_embedded#at=45

NAC
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Chlorella
02:06 AM on 03/03/2011
"For starters, environmentalists know what they want. Scientists don't. Environmentalists want a specific outcome. Scientists seek only knowledge."

Oops. I guess someone forgot to tell James Hansen.

http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/23/james-hansen-top-us-climate-scientists-arrested-protest-on-mountaintop-removal/

Can we get an actual scientist in charge of the temperature record at NASA?
12:29 AM on 03/03/2011
I LOVE Randy Olson...
(right from your very first barnacle movies)