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Raymond J. Learsy

Raymond J. Learsy

Posted: June 30, 2010 01:11 AM

BP's Smoking Gun and the Manipulation of Oil Prices

What's Your Reaction:

In an eye-opening front page article the New York Times gives smoking gun evidence of the manipulation of oil and oil product prices through trading on the commodity exchanges. It places into focus the question: what benefit is derived from these exchanges as currently constituted, other than providing a speculation platform and con game for insiders and an instrument for oil producers to hype the price of their commodity? At the heart of the article and as shining example of miscreant trading behavior are our good friends at BP.

As the NYTimes informs us, "BP, whose reputation for taking risks in the oil fields is matched only by its daring in the energy markets," has remained committed to aggressive trading that has brought in as much as a fifth of the company's profits, or some $2 billion to $3 billion a year, which before the cost of the massive destruction in the Gulf, was big money.

Given its size, its ability to make enormous bets, its enormous financial resources permitting it to hold on to positions almost indefinitely, its vast infrastructure, its standing as one of the largest producers of oil in the world, it was able to take on, with little risk, huge positions, and hold on to them until they paid off.

Now this begs the question, using the commodity exchanges as a pricing tool, would BP or any other major producer (say the likes of Shell, or the national oil companies of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries or their agents) trade the exchanges to pressure prices lower? And that is the crux of the issue. Permit me to quote once again the words of Leon Hess, founder of Hess Oil, that erstwhile sage, and eminently successful general of the oil wars, made before a Senate Committee on Government Affairs some 20 years back. They were as true then as they are now when incorporating all the trading exchanges that have blossomed around the world, "I'm an old man, but I'd bet my life that if the Merc (the Nymex) was not in operation there would be ample oil and reasonable prices all over the world without this volatility".

Which brings us back to BP. Would BP trade on the exchanges to bring down the price of the company's basic profit generating commodities? Given BP's huge interest and investment in production resources it would be highly unlikely. One can fairly assume that BP would trade in a manner that would be supportive of the overall objectives of BP, which is to sell its oil and downstream products including gasoline and propane, at the highest price level possible. And when it does, it occasionally gets caught for trying to manipulate the market.

In 2005 BP agreed with the New York Mercantile Exchange 'Nymex' to pay a substantial settlement to resolve allegations of improper oil trading activities and assurances to clean up its trading activities in the future. The settlement cited so-called wash trades -- the simultaneous swaps of the same amount of a commodity for the same price. The technique is used to improperly boost trading volumes or revenue and most significantly, to influence market pricing. Clearly, the constraints on BP's activities on the Nymex would have little or no impact on their ongoing trading on the London, Singapore, Hong Kong or other world exchanges.

Nor did it stop them from subsequently trying to corner the propane market, waking up our otherwise somnambulant Commodities Futures Trading Commission seeking indictments against BP resulting in a fine of $303 million to settle civil charges and thereby avoiding criminal prosecution for allegedly manipulating and cornering the U.S. propane market.

Ironically Tony Hayward, CEO of BP, given his recent appearance before a Senate Committee, showing himself to be a wanting expert on Gulf Oil Spills and much else, proclaimed earlier this year, with deep inside knowledge, that the "drop in the dollar is a major factor behind oil prices breaking through $75/bbl." There, now you have heard it from an 'expert' without an agenda and without any interest in putting forward self serving explanations for every jump in the price of oil (a tutorial on that here).

Clearly the commodity exchanges are subject to being manipulated and have and in likelihood are continuing to be manipulated. Consider that more than 137 billion barrels of oil were traded on the Nymex alone last year. That is not counting all the other exchanges throughout the world referred to above. And yet the world consumes barely 30 billion barrels of oil annually. And here we have BP clearly in the game to maximize profits, and the higher they can push prices through their trading on the exchanges, the better for BP's bottom line. How many other producers worldwide are playing the same game? How many Wall Street or London or Singapore bank oil trading desks with no interest in consuming or producing oil, but with wide access to banking resources and to oil company trading intelligence, are going along for the profitable ride

And who pays the bill? Yes, you guessed it, you do. Not only at vast economic cost, but at grave risk to our national security.

Thanks for the lesson BP!


 
 
 
 
 
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Daniel R Cobb
A Democrat, a Patriot with a Brain
09:23 PM on 07/07/2010
Hey, Obama, thanks for stepping up. I voted for you and I'm not happy with you. I detest the Republicans, but what kind of "change" did you have in mind? The Gulf Oil Disaster (and the Federal response to it) has been far worse than Bush's FEMA and Katrina! The American Southeast will soon be an environmental and economic deadzone, and the criminal predator that is running the recovery show is... BP? Yeah Obama, thanks for stepping up. But I do have one suggestion for Americans. Boycott BP forever, even if they change their name. Sue BP forever. Destroy BP. MAKE GREED PAY.
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stevendedalus3
12:16 PM on 07/04/2010
All prices on the exchange are manipulated daily. Trading defies a natural, flowing market of supply and demand.
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Rosewren
The power of kindness is infinite
01:25 PM on 07/01/2010
Does BP need so much protection from the media and public comments that this thread needs to be fully moderated (censored)!!!!
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Rosewren
The power of kindness is infinite
01:15 PM on 07/01/2010
I keep seeing that "peak oil" is partly what is driving the price b ut I don't know if it's true or propaganda.
11:13 AM on 07/04/2010
some think it was reached in 2005, thus the sharp increase in price for two years.
12:13 PM on 07/01/2010
Don't worry, be happy cause the Tea Baggers will fix it all..... hahahahahahahahahahaha
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Devaron Namsaar
10:49 AM on 07/01/2010
All you are telling us is the obvious, that the oil industry is unregulated and out of control, and we the common people have to pay the price for this foolishness and greed. Now BP is in the news for an even worse form of corruption: Trying to kill the planet, one neighborhood at a time.
Its time for two things to happen in this world. One, humanity must grow up and take responsibility for its actions, all of its actions. Two, humanity must get away from capitalism entirely. The use of money in general is and has and will continue to be the number one nemesis against the growth of humanity into a decent and responsible race of Beings.
This thing humans have about profits at any cost is killing the planet and everything on it. You cannot name something that does not have a price including human life, the environment, the animals and forests of the planets etc..
Without the motivation for money this world would be a very different place than it presently is.
guilatty
Something has got to make sense eventually
10:28 AM on 07/01/2010
It is difficult to avoid this feeling of impotence in the face of corporate power. But I am finding a way. There is a way to live your life without enriching these guys any more than you absolutely have to. I have started walking, riding my bike, buying locally-grown vegetables, turning off the ridiculous cacaphony TV has become. Instead of vegging out in front of the TV or computer, I am strolling to my local farmer's market or riding my scooter and picking up some seasonal vegetables. Back home I take my time preparing them, putting up some flowers, drying some herbs, and deciding which book I want to read while stretching out in my hammock. By the end of the day I take delight in knowing neither BP or any other corporate greedmonger has taken more than a few pennies off me. I sold the boat and bought a kayak. My bicycle cost $15.00 at a yard sale and I have had a great time rebuilding it. I ride it down to somewhere there is live music and spend a wonderful afternoon. The money grab I spent most of my adult life enslaved by is gone. I really don't need your over-hyped labor saving make my life perfect crap. Just give me a couple hours with someone who knows how to do something and let me pick her brain. Life is better than ever. And BP--bite me.
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tosc
09:56 AM on 07/01/2010
blah, blah, blah, blah, this is not news! we know this personally. Everytime gasoline prices go up for no apparent reason...some one in the corporate castle has made a move. It is all a chess game and what is becoming overwhelmingly clear is that the Taxpayers around the world pay the bill for these manipulations and money schemes. It would seem that years of evolution have taken us no further than predatory, opportunitists, only this time we go for the money rather than the meat. We steal, manipulate, conduct fraud, deliberately take and hurt others all in the name of "economics" When will the world's taxpayers decide to quit flipping the bill for these money mongers?
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lambdin1
What's this?
07:21 AM on 07/01/2010
Gouging? You and others are just now discovering this?!? For many decades oil companies have gouged the motoring public! All oil companies do it and you are just now noticing it because of BP oil spill?!?
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johngary66
Accused of heresy and decided to go with that.
02:31 AM on 07/02/2010
Want to get back at big oil and their distributors? You need gas, but you don't need to buy anything else at a gas station! If the independent station owner can't make a go of it just selling gas, he will have to stop selling gas or fight the big oil companies. They need those stations to sell their gas. We can at least introduce a few flies into their ointment.
01:59 AM on 07/01/2010
Perhaps what we are moving towards economically is a place of honestly evaluating the intrinsic value of things as well as the principle of equal exchange. I do think the stock market is rigged, and it's an insiders' game. And we have allowed them to talk us into believing in this speculative-future/ past-debt scenario so much so that everyone not involved with financial products is ending up with the proverbial short end of the stick, to put it nicely. But what is real is here and now, and it has inherent value. If we are going to play "Society," or if we are going to claim Greatness, let alone Freedom or Justice for All, we have to get real about what we are really doing as a collective. As the Oil volcano has made clear, it really doesn't matter whether we made a million dollars on the stock market if we kill the planet in the process. This world doesn't just belong to humans. Even so, we all need shelter, food, water, and medical care, and these are just facts that we all share because we are human, and they will continue being facts no matter if there is a wall street or not.
But more to the point, of course BP manipulates markets. They are an oil company.
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12:40 AM on 07/01/2010
7/1/10, Never underestimate radicals. Maintain the distinct possibility of sabotage by environmentalists on that rig (4/20/10) to advance their agenda.
03:56 AM on 07/01/2010
Sheer right-wing speculation.
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Michael Cruise
08:54 AM on 07/01/2010
Oh take a breath already and give the rest of us a big break
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Norman Allen
It is forbidden to kill unless in large numbers an
12:15 AM on 07/01/2010
Wasn't BP one of DICK/Bush energy advisors who advocated invasion of Iraq to get rid of Saddam so the "seven sisters" would swim in oil and money after the occupation of Iraq? I bet these oil men are a pack of wolves stalking preys around the world. I bet the next victim will be Iran if they could isolate it as they did Saddam. The auto and oil industry has got us under their spill. Without oil and auto, civilization as we know it, will stop. Any suggestion how to control these rulers of the universe?
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GaelicWench
Be good - if not, be careful.
11:51 AM on 07/03/2010
" I bet the next victim will be Iran if they could isolate it....."


Not bloody likely. The younger generation of Iran may despise the likes of Ahmadinejad, but you can bet that if they feel any threat of invasion, they will do all they can to defend their country.....and rightfully so.

That would be the nail in the coffin for the United States to be seen as an invader and a dictatorship in order to attain the rights to other countries' mineral resources.
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11:24 PM on 06/30/2010
Silly to ask the question: It's doubtless that oil cartels manipulate prices -low prices to kill or buy up failing competitors, then jack them back up to cash in.

Blatantly illegal, but the politicians and policy makers are in the pockets of the industry, so nobody will investigate or indict.

Long past time for americans to stop waggling on the gas pump prices, and mandate that who-ever is in office, we need a mandate to make a difference: Flex-fuel for all cars sold or produced in the US, ASAP. Cut subsidies to oil companies and help farmers and alcohol/methanol producers.
Empower other nations that the Saudis, by encouraging fuel-producing industries worldwide.

OPEN FUEL STANDARD ACT recently introduced in both the House (HR1476) and the Senate (S.835)

Stop paying OPEC prices, break the islamic fundamental nuts in the Saudi royal family and their corrupting influence on both american political parties

http://setamericafree.org/
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12:21 AM on 07/01/2010
But don't bio fuels create their own problems? We already are a net importer of food, do we need to divert farm land to bio fuel? And, given the destruction of wildlife habitats and frightening loss of wildlife, we sure can't afford to destroy forests or habitat to grow bio fuel.

Why can't we put strict conservation measures in place? That would be the low cost, low tech, easy and quick solution to at least the immediate problem.
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johngary66
Accused of heresy and decided to go with that.
02:13 AM on 07/03/2010
KatK, there are many new biofuels that are inexpensive and easy to produce. There are diesel products being made from algea that do not require a lot of land or take food products off the table.
04:40 AM on 07/01/2010
So we can use subsidized ethanol?
11:23 PM on 06/30/2010
Don't forget those greasy crooks down at goldman-suks. Sold A Lot of BP stock in the days preceding the spill! As well as oil-ball "wayward Hayward"
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12:17 AM on 07/01/2010
If you have a cite or link for this, I would love to see it.

Is anyone claiming the spill was intentional? It sure looks planned if Hayward and GS ditched their stock just before the "accident".
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Michael Cruise
08:57 AM on 07/01/2010
There are plenty of credible sources that have reported on the selling of stocks by GS and Hayward in the weeks or days prior to the explosion. What, if anything, that has to do with the cause of the explosion...who knows. I doubt anything because it makes no sense financially to either party. But people do love a good conspiracy theory.
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realitytrumpsbull
Two 'alves of coconut!
10:08 PM on 06/30/2010
One of the reasons that BP's never made good on their 'beyond petroleum' slogan is that oil's a very lucrative business. Make that VERY lucrative. And, if suddenly, people start being able to get around from A to B in hyper-efficient, non-petroleum-consuming cars, BP and the others can just about start folding up their tents, cashing in their chips, making for the door, filling out the old resume. But, has oil's day come and gone? Are we indeed on the cusp of a brave new, non-oil-dependent world? Depends. It all hinges on whether or not the college kids, the energy companies, and other interested parties pick up the ball, and run with it. If they do, then there won't be a lot of brouhaha about offshore drilling anymore, maybe people complaining about the offshore windmills like up in Massachussets, but that'll be about it.

Personally, I think the 21st century will be a really electrifying experience. I think we'll start seeing electricity used more and more and in wider applications, simply because there's not much you can't really do as long as you can apply electrical current to drive motors that you can do with a gasoline or diesel-powered automobile. Natural gas, hydrogen, and electric are three ways to skin the rat. Do we want to keep on doing what we've been doing, or is it time to change? People voted Obama because they wanted change, ok, so let's do something, here.