Well no it hasn't happened yet. This in spite Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal's declaration that Saudi Arabia would "strongly respond" to an act that "reflects the policies of Iran". The act would be "within the framework of international law which Iran has violated." The plot comes at a time of rising tension between the Saudis and the Iranians as the Middle East shakes under the turmoil of the 'Arab Spring.'
While President Obama is declaring that Iran "must pay the price" the threat of additional sanctions against a swathe of industries/services doing business with Iran from banks, insurance companies, airline fuel suppliers, on and on, would have only minimal impact given the ineffectiveness of current sanctions to rein in Iranian transgressions.
The one singular arrow remaining other than war in the quiver of those societies, whether the United States, Saudi Arabia, neighboring nations of the Gulf, the Middle East extending to Europe within the sights and ambitions of Iran's bellicose policies soon to be enhanced with nuclear armaments (an issue of ever heightening concern as reported in today's New York Times, "To Isolate Iran, U.S. Presses Inspectors on Nuclear Data") is a total embargo on Iran's oil exports. 65% of Iranian revenues are derived from oil profits, funds that first go to financing the structure of Iran's oppressive government and paying the hoods of the Quds Force of Iran's Revolutionary Guard.
Rather than waiting for the United States government to take the lead would it not be salutary for this once to have Saudi Arabia take the initiative and formulate policy? Iran exports some 2.4 million barrels of oil a day. Well and good. Their top ten buyers of Iranian Crude Oil:
Rank Reporting Country 2005 - Destinations (Thousand bbl/d)
Japan 685,000
China 284,000
South Korea 195,000
Italy 193,000
France 142,000
Netherlands 139,000
Turkey 138,000
South Africa 134,000
Taiwan 125,000
Greece 88,000
Saudi Arabia loads out between 8 and 9 million barrels/day probably closer to 8 million. Their production capacity is 12.5 million/day and they have had tentative plans to increase production capability to 15 million/day.
A simple but significantly meaningful declaration by Saudi Arabia that they would undertake to supply world customers with whatever shortfall resulted from an embargo on Iranian oil. That the oil would be supplied in a manner that would cause no disruption of oil supply and would have no impact on the direction of oil prices.
That the pledge would hold fast until there is a meaningful change of government in Iran whose malign policies would desist and a government that would respect and would be in full compliance with the directives of the International Atomic Energy Agency.
That an oil embargo would be effective is validated by Syria's current travails. "Sanctions Pose Growing Threat to Syria's Assad" emblazoned a New York Times headline that the "Syrian economy is buckling under pressure by the West". A significant tool is the total embargo of Syrian oil exports by Syria's main customer base, Western Europe. Though small by comparison to those of Iran's (100,000 bbls/day vs Iran's 2.4 million bbls/day) it underlines how effective an oil embargo can be.
With Saudi Arabia taking a leadership role in this manner the United States and those other nations cognizant and responsive to the grave dangers posed by Iran's belligerency, not to speak of the Iranian regimes misrule and crushing of the Iranian people's liberties, a meaningful riposte could for once be structured without a call to arms.
Follow Raymond J. Learsy on Twitter: www.twitter.com/raymondLearsy
Ida Lichter, M.D.: Saudi Reforms Thwarted by Puritanical Laws
short supply, but i would flavor this idea with air strike to their Nuclear plant, which will send a signal
that "don’t waste your money on evil plans, use it on Iranian people, you know don't be stupid"
Iran will not dare to retaliate with their 1960's Soviet junk.
No one should be surprise if tomorrow someone comes up with idea of sanctioning Iran detergent and disinfection products in order for Iranians masses to get fed up and topple their government because of fleas and ticks, come-on!
All production data indicates that Saudi Arabia is either at or near their peak oil production.
That is, they have no "spare oil" to sell in place of Iran.
The statement ... "Their production capacity is 12.5 million/day and they have had tentative plans to increase production capability to 15 million/day" is a complete myth.
You have the right to ask any price for your property. Saudis have same right with their oil.
With "friends" like those....
Add to the the fact that we are just too damn stupid to exploit all our domestic options and you see the real problem.
A used car salesman? Followed by a laugh.
Writing as if this plot was in any way valid is misleading readers.
Siding with radical Saudi Arabia on anything is continuing the misguided status quo.
Stating that Iran will shortly have nuclear weapons without any factual substantiation is neocon opinion and again misleading.
Let's look at a fine past example of "Saudis leading" - once the USA had occupied Iraq, insurgents from outside flooded into Iraq to kill Iraqi Shia (and American soldiers) - from SAUDI ARABIA.
The Taliban and other extremists Sunni that murder Shia in Afghanistan and Pakistan - they are taught in SAUDI FUNDED SCHOOLS.
Thanks - BUT NO THANKS - the last thing the world needs is more "Saudi Leadership".
It looks like the same old "divide and conquer" tactics are once again at work in the strategic scheming, ahem.......I mean, strategic planning rooms in "high" places within the US and Israel. The fact that that policy blew up in their face in Iraq hasn't stopped them. They just think they didn't push hard enough to get it to really work. As we all know, this is nothing new. The United States supplied arms to both sides of the Iran/Iraq war and had a strong hand in emboldening Hussein to attack Iran in the first place.
Polls.........that ia an absolute joke. Who took those polls. CNN/Fox or some other "unbiased" media outlet. Please.......We are talking about a serious matter.