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Raymond J. Learsy

Raymond J. Learsy

Posted: January 16, 2010 07:32 AM

The House Oversight Committee Sets Its Focus Where The Senate Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Feared to Tread

What's Your Reaction:

Perhaps the key issue sticking in the craw of the public and Congress is under whose auspices were some $62.1 billion in derivatives positions reimbursed in full to AIG's counterparties virtually all with money made available by the government? These derivatives, in large measure credit default swaps, had no core rationale other than pure speculation -- a bit like buying Yen futures even though you have no business need for yen nor exposure to yen receivables. Pure speculation writ large. And in this case, speculative bets that had gone seriously sour. As Mr. Blankfein was quick to add later in his Senate testimony when it suited him, that by bundling mortgages, selling them to Retirement Funds and State Institutions and then betting against these instruments by positioning into credit default swaps, etc. Goldman was acting as a 'principal.' That usually means that the house (in this case Goldman) is taking title to the speculative position at its own risk and expense. And here it is the risk part of the trade that went badly off track. By having loaded up on CDS's and CDO's through a counterparty (AIG) that was about to fall into insolvency thereby risking leaving Goldman et al high and dry with billions of worthless derivatives.

During the Senate hearings many questions were asked, but not the question that would have been most revealing. Phil Angelides, Chairman of the Senate Commission, asked the Goldman Chairman whether either he or his staff had discussed with Treasury the dramatic counterparty exposure at risk with AIG. Blankfein looking straight into Angelides' eyes and said he had not, but that someone on staff might have have, but he couldn't recall all the details, insinuating that it had not been a key issue.

Now it seems it will be up to the House Committee to ask the core questions. Edolphus Towns, Chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, seems undeterred by the softball questions posed by the Senate Commission. He has asked Former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson to testify along with his successor Timothy Geithner before the Committee on January 27.

Geithner will certainly be asked hard questions as to why he is alleged to have tried assiduously to keep everyone in the dark about the recipients and the amounts of AIG's counterparty payments.

Even more significant will be Paulson's testimony. The key question is not, as in the Senate interrogatories, whether Blankfein discussed the counterparty payments with anyone at Treasury. The many telephone conversations Blankfein had with Paulson at the heart of the crisis were not even queried during the Senate hearings.

And thus a key point was missed. Was there any discussion at any time between Paulson and Blankfein, fundamental to the issue at hand; namely the status of AIG and its viability as a going concern? Sometimes certain things are best left unsaid and any mention between these two Goldman Chairmen about counterparty payments would have been flying a red flag screaming alleged collusion, were it to become public. And there was no need to go that far in their conversations. Paulson, as Blankfein's predecessor at Goldman, certainly knew Goldman's book as clearly as Blankfein. There was no need to go into detail over the AIG counterparty billions. They were well known to both players. The question unasked is what was the nature of the discussions between Paulson and Blankfein? Did AIG come up in the discussions and in what context? What an AIG bankruptcy would have meant to Goldman was as well known to Paulson as to Blankfein. Did they work together (possibly collude?) to minimize Goldman's damage, with the taxpayers being left to hold the bag? If there was even a semblance of collusion, can the recipients of AIG's/Government's largesse be made to buy back their counterparty derivatives at the price AIG paid for them?

As I have said before, scores of billions is a great deal of money and funny things can happen (please see: "Wall Street Triage: Was Lehman Sacrificed So That AIG Had To Be Bailed Out?"1.10.10).

Chairman Edolphus Brown, i'ts up to you now. The country has already been waiting far too long for answers.

 
 
 
Perhaps the key issue sticking in the craw of the public and Congress is under whose auspices were some $62.1 billion in derivatives positions reimbursed in full to AIG's counterparties virtually all ...
Perhaps the key issue sticking in the craw of the public and Congress is under whose auspices were some $62.1 billion in derivatives positions reimbursed in full to AIG's counterparties virtually all ...
 
 
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10:44 AM on 01/17/2010
The problem we have is presidents, CEOs and COOs of companies / organizations are evaluated by their boards by "how innovative they are, in thinking outside the box." Little credit (aka bonus) is given for a "steady as she goes" sail. Thus top managements' greatest asset is "spin" assisted by paid outside consultants. By the time the 'chickens come home to roost', top management has moved on with a severance package or they have found a target (usually the government) to blame for their poor judgments.

In the meantime the board members have also moved-on to enjoy their accolades, fat board stipends and reminiscent those golf outing trips and lavish retreats.

The only ones licking the wounds are the stock-holders, workers and the communities where these corporations were located.
01:46 PM on 01/16/2010
So it's a question of he said, he said. If nothing on record, then this line of questioning will produce nothing. You are left with either taking these banksters' testimonies at face value, or not believing them and at the end of the day, not being able to do a thing. Hope this is not the scenario/end result.
01:22 PM on 01/16/2010
False conspiracies dies a horrible death - gasping insistently for any life sustaining oxygen they can inhale. That's where your lunatic conspiracy theories rest, Raymond: on their death bed gasping for anything that even remotely resembles oxygen.

You already have your answers. There is no scandal. The AIG bailout was handled about the only way it could have been handled given the laws in effect.

Goldman Sachs had no exposure to AIG at the time of the AIG bailout, let alone "darmatic exposure".

The ML III assets that came from GS had a par value of 14 billion:

14 - par value
(5.6) - market value
(5.9) - AIG collateral already in GS's hands
(1.4) - 3rd-party collateral already in GS's hands
-----
1.1 billion - collateral due from 3rd-party backstop
-----
ZIPPO - Goldman Sach's exposure to an AIG default
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photo
Hiphopcrates
Kicking the money lenders out of the Temple
12:16 PM on 01/16/2010
Nicely defined Mr. Learsy. Only one mistake here, Phil Angelides was the former Treasurer of California, not a Senator. If Obama plays his cards right, he can throttle Wall St. in the eyes of America and appear a hero. Good luck with the Congress - they are bought and paid for already.
09:15 AM on 01/16/2010
After reading several books on the behind the scenes discussions and having watched hearings with the various CEOs I wonder if any one of the CEO even had a clue of what all those derivatives and instruments and positions were doing to the risk of their companies. Seeing the "deer in the headlights" look on Blankfein's face and stumbling over some of the terms when he had to explain some arcane aspect of their positions I am not all that sure he had enough brights to have known the risks involved. Even Dimon admitted the subprime mess caught them off guard. I think the CEOs were collectively clueless.
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ErnestineBass
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11:38 AM on 01/16/2010
Bollocks.

If that's their contention, then they are LIARS.

The knew EXACTLY how much "risk" was involved, and they took that "risk" knowing full well their buddy Treasury Secretary (and former Goldman Sachs CEO) Hank Paulson, would orchestrate a taxpayer bailout on their behalf.

This was a set up from the very beginning.

One of Bush's stated goals was to privatize Social Security, and when that grand idea failed to gain any traction in either the House or Senate, Wall Street went after the next best thing...the American people's private retirement funds.
01:49 PM on 01/16/2010
Of course! Makes perfect sense! Explains why Goldman Sacks & Howe bet against the "investment instruments" they sold to unsuspecting investors!