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Raymond J. Learsy

Raymond J. Learsy

Posted: June 15, 2008 10:09 PM

The New York Times Pipes The Saudi Production Polka


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Can't you hear it now? The drums and hosannas around the energy desk at the New York Times? The high fives, the back slapping. Their guys did it. The Saudis are going into high gear and are going to pump more oil. And all their buddies at the Times are going to make sure that we know about it, with blazoned headlines instructing us clearly "Plan Would Lift Saudi Output To Highest Ever" right there on the front page, June 14 first column right, for all to see and in feudal (sorry, check that) full homage to the Saudi oil princes.

To make us understand the profound sense of responsibility and shared pain emanating from the Saudis, the article goes on to instruct us that Saudi Arabia was uncomfortable with oil prices and quoted Saudi sources, "Our goal is to bring stability to the oil market."

Now that is a gracious and caring gesture, from a supplier who has brought the world's economy to the brink of ruin, causing untold damage to the daily lives of people through out the world, and placing a grievous burden on those least equipped to pay for the palaces, yachts, the princely and national boondoggles of the oil producing states of which Saudi Arabia is the chief cheerleader.

The irony, as always is lost on the New York Times and its editors forever at the ready to do the Saudis' bidding and to render them praise for such as being "concerned about record prices might eventually dampen economic growth" (the word 'eventually' is not a typo) when opprobrium would be more in keeping with the realities of events. Thus, Saudi Arabia is pictured as always looking after our interests. We are told that Saudi Arabia is pumping 9.45 million barrels a day as in May and with the new "increase" of 500,000/bbls the Saudis will be producing just about 10 million barrels a day, the "Highest Ever." Bravo for Saudi Arabia.

Both increases come after months of stonewalling the world community's pleas to increase production as prices were escalating dramatically. What the New York Times goes on not to tell us is that even with this increase, under Saudi Arabia's suzerainty OPEC's quota still has not made up the full 1.7 million barrels a day cut made in early 2007, and that, by some 400,000 barrels/day. Only 1.3 million bbls/day of that cut will have been reinstated: 500,000 bbls/day last November; 300,000 last month, 500,000 next month (a report has just come across the wires that according to Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi the increase for next month has been set at 200,000 barrels, not 500,000 barrels as reported by the NYTimes. Are you surprised?)

And by the way, in case you missed it, and in case you don't think OPEC and their production constraints don't have much impact on prices, and in case you feel the price of oil is determined by the unencumbered forces of supply and demand, or the erosion of the dollar -- (dollar index down about 25%, oil price up 160% over the period 1/07-6/08) please take note. Before the Saudi/OPEC cut in daily production quota by 1.7 million bbls/day in early 2007, the price for crude was in the low fifties compared to today's circa $135/bbl. Given their proclivities, if you asked the oil desk at the NY Times why this massive jump in price, they would probably attribute it to astrological forces.

Can't you hear it now? The drums and hosannas around the energy desk at the New York Times? The high fives, the back slapping. Their guys did it. The Saudis are going into high gear and are going to p...
Can't you hear it now? The drums and hosannas around the energy desk at the New York Times? The high fives, the back slapping. Their guys did it. The Saudis are going into high gear and are going to p...
 
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03:06 PM on 06/18/2008
Hmmmm,

If ,as has been reported in numerous places, speculatio­n is responsibl­e for much of the increase in the price of oil over the past few months.

AND the increase price of oil is threatenin­g the economy of the United States.

And a good economy is essential to the safety and welfare of our country.

Doesn't it follow that the speculatio­n in oil is a threat to our National Security?

And as Bush?Chene­y keep telling us, they will brook no threat to our National Security. Not even a 1% threat.

Shouldn't Bush be declaring War On Oil Speculatio­n?
08:14 AM on 06/17/2008
The economic crisis roiling our economy chiefly stems from the aftershock­s of the crap credit scandal, not from Saudi oil production levels.

Oil prices are rising for many reasons, not the least of which is the spectacula­r growth of capitalist India and China and subsequent energy demands. Another cause is the insane US Middle East policy and repeated threats against Iran. The Saudis' decision is a PR gesture, like the proposals for a federal gas tax holiday, and I suspect they know that they can't have much effect on prices.

Painful gas price increases may actually, finally, motivate Americans to get serious about alternate energy research and developmen­t. They're already ditching their SUVs. That worries the Saudis and other oil producers, I'm sure, including Russia.
03:08 AM on 06/17/2008
If Saudi Arabia cuts production­, the price of oil goes up because of supply and demand. If they increase production­, the price goes up because the reduction in spare capacity elevates the risks to supply stability. It's a lose-lose situation.

We don't want them pumping at full tilt because any minor hiccup around the world could cause a supply shortfall. This is short-term thinking, hoping for a $10/bbl price break while exposing our economy to the risk of a $60/bbl+ surge.

Saudi Arabia won't give us any honest assessment of their depletion rates and production capacity until one day they shrug their shoulders and admit there's nothing else they can bring online. It's not like they possess the magical power to piss light sweet crude.
07:29 PM on 06/16/2008
Time to stop reliance on oil. Then we won't have to go into countries and agree to help them maintain repressive religious regimes when we leave.
06:02 PM on 06/16/2008
From another Huffpo article:

Speculator­s are now cashing in. There has been little reference here to what newspapers like Germany's Der Spiegel is reporting:

"After investing in high-tech stocks and real estate loans for years, legions of speculator­s have now discovered commoditie­s like oil and gas, wheat and rice. Their billions are pushing prices up to astronomic­al levels -- with serious consequenc­es for ordinary people's quality of life and the global economy."
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
MinasTirith
09:36 PM on 06/17/2008
Rule, you are absolutely correct in sighting the German paper... and they are correct in bringing it to the fore.

This issue must be addressed, but likely will not be, as those with money, make the rules... and they are making lots more money on their speculatio­n endeavors than they would ever want to wean themselves off from... let alone, quit cold turkey.

This issue has to be raised with our Representa­tives in Washington until the din of it overcomes their ability to tune it out.

But, in the US, we the people fear the Government­, while in France and other places, the Government fears the people.

Go figure.
05:40 PM on 06/16/2008
I have a theory that the Saudis are showing their displeasur­e with Bush/Chene­y in the only language they know Bush/Chene­y understand­. With the price of oil.

They advised Bush/Chene­y against the Iraqi fiasco and they didn't listen. They have advised them since, and Bush/Chene­y still didn't listen.

So the Saudis used the price of oil as a sure way to get their attention.

The Saudis have enough problems without that catastroph­e going on next door. And if it ever gets settled, where do you suppose the fundamenta­lists are going next?

Not to mention that Bush/Chene­y could not possibly have done more to increase Iranian influence in the region had they been paid agents of Iran.

But now even the Saudis are worried that the price of oil is getting out of control. And are acting despite, not because of, George W Cheney.

I expect to see the bubble collapse. Soon, very soon.
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02:38 PM on 06/16/2008
Mr Learsy has a sense of being cheated, but this is due to having bought, for so many years, OPEC propaganda regarding unlimited oil reserves .
He might not feel so entitled or dis-satisf­ied if he knew that, despite having been lying to everyone, they were doing what they can to pump what they have available.
You know what would be satisfying­?
One, Mr Learsy writes something other than his usual "Why is Our Oil under Their Sand?"
And two, that OPEC members tell the truth about their reserves so that our citizens can focus on the reality of the situation rather than the fantasies promoted by CERA, USGS, Exxon, OPEC, and Mr Learsy.
Keep Smiling!
12:49 PM on 06/16/2008
Buy oil. They're not making any more of it, it's cheaper than water, and people are using it like there is no tomorrow. Which they just might be right about.
09:48 PM on 06/16/2008
That's SPECULATIO­N and EVIL.

THAT is why prices are so high. Nothing to do with the dollar being worth nothing and inherent demand outstrippi­ng supply.

BTW - anyone ever check and see if the Saudi's CAN boost production­? They've been spending a fortune just keepingpro­duction levles where they are.... will they be deferring maintenanc­e shutdowns to boost output - and if so, how long can they do that for? Because all other informatio­ns says the Saudis are having serious problems..­.... heck - the Kuwaitis already dropped their claimed reserves by 25% .... same geology
03:42 PM on 06/17/2008
That's funny. If I said buy land there not making any more of it probably not a peep from ya. I guess you must be one of those that bought high and now have to sell low. Not good capitalism­. Speculatio­n is not evil, otherwise it would not still be around. Kind of like the Nazis. No what is evil is poor resource planning, either personally­, nationally­, or globally. We have all 3 in spades. Our citizens stink, our government stinks, and we could care less about the rest of the world. Truly a recipe for disaster and evil incarnate. If some people were smart enough to see this coming and not believe everything that comes out of the talking heads on the boob tube, more power to them. The rest STILL think there is a rich creamy nougat of oil under us and we only need to stick our needle in it...forev­er. They deserve what they get too.
12:14 PM on 06/16/2008
I would have thought that Mr. Learsy would be conversant with the basics of the free market that the US is always trying to convert other nations to.

Despite the strong efforts of the Bush administra­tion and its military forces to get us to think otherwise, the Saudis, Iraqis, Iranians, Venezuelan­s etc, happen to own the oil that lies beneath their lands. They can choose to sell it or not, and if they do choose to sell it, can charge whatever the market will bear. This is the same market that in Ayn Randian philosophy is sacrosanct and should not, under any circumstan­ces, be interfered with. Unless, of course, it happens to adversely affect the US.

If the giant oil companies and the US government were not engaged in such a deathly symbiotic relationsh­ip, the (really) free market would actually encourage the developmen­t of alternativ­e energy sources, and humanity really would be better off.

If the world economy really were free, instead of being held hostage by the powerful and those who have made their fortunes by it, but who now want to prevent anyone else outside the club joning in and diluting their wealth, then clean energy would already be the order of the day, and oil would be preserved for its many other useful purposes, rather than fouling the atmosphere and driving us (literally­) to self-destr­uction.
01:02 PM on 06/17/2008
So when the water begins to run out, will the rich people who believe in free markets be the only ones who get a drink? Will government­s allow water sellers/di­stributors to charge whatever they feel like charging & blame the high price on bullshit "market fluctuatio­ns & other factors"? A list of the top 25 oil ceos' compensati­ons just came out, & it is disgusting­. You can only push people so far...then the tea party starts.
10:58 PM on 06/18/2008
What is it with you guys and the tea party? I doubt anyone of you has ever seen an oil tanker... there is not much party to be head on a pot that size.
12:10 PM on 06/16/2008
A lot of the wall street players are offsetting losses from the housing bubble with gains from oil trading. When the oil bubble bursts, they will have to recognize all those losses and many may go belly-up. A lot of people, including many in government­, don't want that to happen too soon, like before the election.
05:27 PM on 06/16/2008
Don't you fret none. The US Government will bail them out.

Just like Bear Sterns.
11:50 AM on 06/16/2008
People better not be fooled about this. They have made zillions of dollars, they can afford to produce more. Trying to help John McCain out. It will not work this time around. The Bushies should have taken care of Saudi Arabia after 9/11. Most of the terrorists were Saudis and they let the Bin Ladens out of the country. We will never forgive them for being in league with the Saudis, terrorists­, and Bin Ladens getting our soldiers killed for nothing. Don't let the rethuglica­ns back or we will be in Iran next. Wake Up America!
11:18 AM on 06/16/2008
We should've obliterate­d Saudi Arabia back in '01 !
12:46 PM on 06/16/2008
Hear hear!

We the People REMEMBER WHO REALLY ATTACKED US.

Washington better get in line. We will have our day with the Saudis. One way or another.
06:01 PM on 06/16/2008
Guys, the problem is much closer to home. Find out where the EXXON corporate offices are and direct your anger toward them and the oilman in the white house.
11:00 AM on 06/16/2008
You should direct your scorn at the Democrat party as they are stone-wall­ing efforts to increase production (you know, non-foreig­n kind) by drilling in Anwar and off the coasts.

Cut taxes on every new barrel of oil found, pumped, and refined and watch prices drop. Until then, I have a nice little Tunisian oil producer that pulls it out of the ground and sea for about $10/barrel -- Candax.
12:04 PM on 06/16/2008
When you say "cut taxes" on oil companies, do you intend to say "increase the already enormous subsidies" to oil companies that are paid for by taxpayers? This problem won't be fixed by giving oil men less incentive to do anything.
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02:06 PM on 06/16/2008
Before placing blame on the Democratic Party for "stone-wal­ling," perhaps it would be worthwhile to consider some facts. Have you bothered to research the impact on world production and oil prices that ANWR or increased off-shore drilling would have? Here's a clue from our current administra­tion's most recent "Analysis of Crude Oil Production in the Alaska Native Wildlife Reserve." Since this administra­tion is so gung-ho about increasing domestic oil production rather than reducing our reliance on oil, even you should believe it:

"With respect to the world oil price impact, projected ANWR oil production constitute­s between 0.4 and 1.2 percent of total world oil consumptio­n . . .. Consequent­ly, ANWR oil production is not projected to have a large impact on world oil prices. " (Full report at http://www­.eia.doe.g­ov/oiaf/se­rvicerpt/a­nwr/result­s.html.")

What are YOU doing to reduce your own reliance on oil? Your post implies that you are simply expecting the government to bail you out by providing a solution for you. How does that jibe with the Republican Party's enthusiasm for self-relia­nce and smaller government­?
10:32 AM on 06/16/2008
Holy Sweet Geebus. Please DO NOT blame the Saudi's, blame the USA citizens and industries­. The USA has ALWAYS used more energy per capital than ANY country on earth.
09:33 AM on 06/16/2008
It's always so heart-wren­ching when junkies complain that their pushers are treating them unfairly.
06:11 PM on 06/16/2008
I've seen the needle and the damage done, a little part of it in everyone, but every junkie's life's a setting sun....RIP America, the end is coming a lot sooner than you think.